Under umpire streakers

**DirkDiggler** · 08-28-14, 01:22 PM

You have been rolling lately and i greatly appreciate it but the old " gun to the head" would you go under on those 2?

**mitch51** · 08-28-14, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by DirkDiggler

You have been rolling lately and i greatly appreciate it but the old " gun to the head" would you go under on those 2?

Nope. We bet every single game we possibly can after handicapping them if we figure they'll cash. No more, no less. We have learned some hard lessons regarding this.

**DirkDiggler** · 08-28-14, 02:15 PM

Well said. I will not force the action. Thank you again for your great work and picks..

**Ebumdude** · 08-28-14, 04:29 PM

Let's turn these books into ATM's.

**mitch51** · 08-28-14, 11:51 PM

Evening update:

Thurs, 8/28/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

NONE
84-51-6 +22.28u 62.2%

Thurs, 8/28/14 DOGS

#906 METS +110 1.00u/1.10u

0-1 -1.00u
139-138 +15.75u 50.2%

Thurs, 8/28/14 FUN

NONE
25-15 +6.75u 63.0%

Goodnight all

Ali & Mitch

**mitch51** · 08-29-14, 10:43 AM

Good morning everyone

I did a little homework last night and the two games not in a new series had umpires that were below 60%. This morning I verified they are the umpires listed.

Fri, 8/29/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

No games today.

Fri, 8/29/14 DOGS

#961 LAD +100 1.00u/1.00u

Fri, 8/29/14 FUN

NONE

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

**mitch51** · 08-30-14, 01:35 AM

Late evening update:

Fri, 8/29/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

None
84-51-6 +22.28u 62.2%

Fri, 8/29/14 DOGS

#961 LAD +100 1.00u/1.00u

0-1 -1.00u
139-139 +14.75u 50.0%

Fri, 8/29/14 FUN

NONE
25-15 +6.75u 63.0%

Goodnight all

Ali & Mitch

**mitch51** · 08-30-14, 10:13 AM

Lots of games today, I think. Totally the opposite of yesterday. It's either feast or famine I guess. We're gonna hit the books hard today.

**mitch51** · 08-30-14, 11:42 AM

Good morning

Sat, 8/30/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

#903 UN 8 -110 CUBs/STL gm#2 1.10u/1.00u
Porter 8ov/17un L25gms 68.0%

#922 UN 9.5 -120 DET/CWS gm#2 1.20u/1.00u
Barry 7ov/16un L23gm 69.6%

#933 UN 6.5 +100 WAS/SEA 1.00u/1.00u
Blaser 7ov/13un L20gms 65.0%

Sat, 8/30/14 DOGS

#920 CWS +105 1.05u/1.00u gm#1
#924 BAL RL -1.5 +115 1.15u/1.00u
#907 MIA +120 1.20u/1.00u
#903 CUBS +110 1.10u/1.00u gm#2

Sat, 8/30/14 FUN

NONE

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

**KingHawkins** · 08-30-14, 06:22 PM

Loved the CWS G1 and it paid off huge for me ML/RL. Hoping everything else comes through for you guys.

And do you guys want the "Betpoints"? I tried to give you a bunch and it wouldn't seem to work until I got down to low single digits.

**mitch51** · 08-30-14, 06:37 PM

Originally posted by KingHawkins

Loved the CWS G1 and it paid off huge for me ML/RL. Hoping everything else comes through for you guys.

And do you guys want the "Betpoints"? I tried to give you a bunch and it wouldn't seem to work until I got down to low single digits.

Don't need betpoints, but thanks. Good job on Game 1, that's the way to hit them. Yeah, we took a lot of games for us. Hope they come through.

**mitch51** · 08-30-14, 11:43 PM

Evening update

Sat, 8/30/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

#903 UN 8 -110 CUBs/STL gm#2 1.10u/1.00u
Porter 8ov/17un L25gms 68.0%

#922 UN 9.5 -120 DET/CWS gm#2 1.20u/1.00u
Barry 7ov/16un L23gm 69.6%

#933 UN 6.5 +100 WAS/SEA 1.00u/1.00u
Blaser 7ov/13un L20gms 65.0%

1-2 -1.30u
85-53-6 +20.98u 61.2%

Sat, 8/30/14 DOGS

#920 CWS +105 1.05u/1.00u gm#1

#924 BAL RL -1.5 +115 1.15u/1.00u

#907 MIA +120 1.20u/1.00u

#903 CUBS +110 1.10u/1.00u gm#2

2-2 +.25u
141-141 +15.00u 50.0%

Sat, 8/30/14 FUN

NONE
25-15 +6.75u 63.0%

Goodnight all

Ali & Mitch

**J.M. Disciple** · 08-31-14, 12:35 AM

was trying to work on a system betting under after a team scores zero runs. It is not a chase, you only bet their next game to go under. Here are the results not counting the pushes. If next game was a push I did not bet the next game.

Bal 8-1
bos 7-5 *pending tomorrow
nyy 2-3 *pending tomorrow
tb 7-6
tor 5-3
atl 6-2 *pending tomorrow
mia 1-4
nym 6-2
phi 5-8
wash 6-1
cws 3-3
cle 3-3
det 2-5
kc 3-3
min 6-4
chc 8-3
cinci 5-7
mil 6-2
pit 2-4
stl 6-5
hou 6-6
laa 2-1
oak 3-4*pending tomorrow
sea 9-5
tex 4-3*pending tomorrow
arz 5-5*pending tomorrow
col 1-6
lad 2-2
sd 11-5
sf 3-9

142-120 (54%)

54% might show a small profit with the correct odds, but it would be very small indeed. Would need some type of money management system to go with this. I thought this might help cap some of the unders though.

**mitch51** · 08-31-14, 10:02 AM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

was trying to work on a system betting under after a team scores zero runs. It is not a chase, you only bet their next game to go under. Here are the results not counting the pushes. If next game was a push I did not bet the next game.

Bal 8-1
bos 7-5 *pending tomorrow
nyy 2-3 *pending tomorrow
tb 7-6
tor 5-3
atl 6-2 *pending tomorrow
mia 1-4
nym 6-2
phi 5-8
wash 6-1
cws 3-3
cle 3-3
det 2-5
kc 3-3
min 6-4
chc 8-3
cinci 5-7
mil 6-2
pit 2-4
stl 6-5
hou 6-6
laa 2-1
oak 3-4*pending tomorrow
sea 9-5
tex 4-3*pending tomorrow
arz 5-5*pending tomorrow
col 1-6
lad 2-2
sd 11-5
sf 3-9

142-120 (54%)

54% might show a small profit with the correct odds, but it would be very small indeed. Would need some type of money management system to go with this. I thought this might help cap some of the unders though.

Hey, this is some good stuff. Any profit is good. For some reason the line always seems to be minus when going under. The books have caught on to at least this much, lol.

**Martinr** · 08-31-14, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

was trying to work on a system betting under after a team scores zero runs. It is not a chase, you only bet their next game to go under. Here are the results not counting the pushes. If next game was a push I did not bet the next game.

Bal 8-1
bos 7-5 *pending tomorrow
nyy 2-3 *pending tomorrow
tb 7-6
tor 5-3
atl 6-2 *pending tomorrow
mia 1-4
nym 6-2
phi 5-8
wash 6-1
cws 3-3
cle 3-3
det 2-5
kc 3-3
min 6-4
chc 8-3
cinci 5-7
mil 6-2
pit 2-4
stl 6-5
hou 6-6
laa 2-1
oak 3-4*pending tomorrow
sea 9-5
tex 4-3*pending tomorrow
arz 5-5*pending tomorrow
col 1-6
lad 2-2
sd 11-5
sf 3-9

142-120 (54%)

54% might show a small profit with the correct odds, but it would be very small indeed. Would need some type of money management system to go with this. I thought this might help cap some of the unders though.

these numbers are from just this season?
Just asking because the SDQL guys could run a query for past seasons and see how it fares.

**J.M. Disciple** · 08-31-14, 11:26 AM

Originally posted by Martinr

these numbers are from just this season?
Just asking because the SDQL guys could run a query for past seasons and see how it fares.

Ya just this season. I was pretty surprised how many teams actually get shut out over 9 innings.
Only part I wanted to look at is the under when a team holds another team to zero. I thought there were so many series the numbers would be pretty much the same.

**J.M. Disciple** · 08-31-14, 11:32 AM

Looking at the pending plays, I think the books know this and the juice is set to -115 on the pending teams. With that juice it would be a 1u profit over 100 game sample at 54%.

**mitch51** · 08-31-14, 11:34 AM

Morning all

Sun, 8/31/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

#953 UN 6.5 -110 CIN/PIT 1.10u/1.00u
Reynolds 7ov/16un L23gms 69.6%

#967 UN 8.5 -115 MIN/BAL 1.15u/1.00u
Muchlinski 8ov/16un L24gms 66.7%

#975 UN 8.5 -120 TX/HOU 1.20u/1.00u
Randazzo 2ov/13un L15gms 86.7%

#959 UN 7 -115 LAD/SD 1.15u/1.00u
Fagan 10ov/17un L27gms 63.0%

#961 UN 8 -110 CO/AZ 1.10u/1.00u
Marquez 3ov/10un L13gms 76.8%

Sun, 8/31/14 DOGS

#951 PHI +116 1.00u/1.16u
#961 CO +104 1.00u/1.04u

Sun, 8/31/14 FUN

#973 DET -112 1.00u/.89u

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

**J.M. Disciple** · 08-31-14, 11:43 AM

wow a lot of unders for me today. Up 8u on the week, lets get back into double digits.

**killacappapilla** · 08-31-14, 11:53 AM

Went big on hou/tex. Hope it cashes

**mitch51** · 08-31-14, 12:32 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

wow a lot of unders for me today. Up 8u on the week, lets get back into double digits.

Good going on the week. Let's get 'em.

**mitch51** · 08-31-14, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by killacappapilla

Went big on hou/tex. Hope it cashes

Congrats!!! That's the way it's done.

**killacappapilla** · 08-31-14, 07:36 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

Congrats!!! That's the way it's done.

Woohoo, cheers

**J.M. Disciple** · 08-31-14, 08:44 PM

bos 7-5 *win
nyy 2-3 *win
atl 6-2 *win
oak 3-4*lose
tex 4-3*win
arz 5-5*lose

based on my previous post. I might be onto something.

**mitch51** · 09-01-14, 12:01 AM

Evening update:

Sun, 8/31/14 UNDERUmpireStreakers

#953 UN 6.5 -110 CIN/PIT 1.10u/1.00u

Reynolds 7ov/16un L23gms 69.6%

#967 UN 8.5 -115 MIN/BAL 1.15u/1.00u

Muchlinski 8ov/16un L24gms 66.7%

#975 UN 8.5 -120 TX/HOU 1.20u/1.00u

Randazzo 2ov/13un L15gms 86.7%

#959 UN 7 -115 LAD/SD 1.15u/1.00u

Fagan 10ov/17un L27gms 63.0%

#961 UN 8 -110 CO/AZ 1.10u/1.00u PUSH
Marquez 3ov/10un L13gms 76.8%

2-2-1 -.30u
87-55-7 +20.68u 61.2%

Sun, 8/31/14 DOGS

#951 PHI +116 1.00u/1.16u

#961 CO +104 1.00u/1.04u

0-2 -2.00u
141-143 +13.00u 49.6%

Sun, 8/31/14 FUN

#973 DET -112 1.00u/.89u

0-1 -1.00u
25-16 +5.75u 61.0%

Goodnight all

Ali & Mitch

**mitch51** · 09-01-14, 11:05 AM

Good morning everyone and hope you are enjoying your holiday!

In doing a little homework last night, I thought we might have two possible umpire games today. The rotation of Layne and Wegner were changed, no listed umpires.

Mon, 9/01/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

NONE

Mon, 9/01/14 DOGS

#914 LAD +104 1.00u/1.04u
#921 SEA +128 1.00u/1.28u

Mon, 9/01/14 FUN

#904 MIA -128 1.00u/.78u
#906 STL -118 1.00u/.85u

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

**mitch51** · 09-01-14, 10:58 PM

Evening update:

Mon, 9/01/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

NONE
87-55-7 +20.68u 61.2%

Mon, 9/01/14 DOGS

#914 LAD +104 1.00u/1.04u

#921 SEA +128 1.00u/1.28u

These dogs have rabies.

0-2 -2.00u
141-145 +11.00u 49.3%

Mon, 9/01/14 FUN

#904 MIA -128 1.00u/.78u

#906 STL -118 1.00u/.85u

2-0 +1.63u
27-16 +7.38u 62.8%

Goodnight all

Ali & Mitch

**1fastmr2** · 09-02-14, 06:54 AM

Hope everyone have fun and safe holiday!! Thanks for the plays!! I'm ready for some football!!

**mitch51** · 09-02-14, 09:24 AM

Originally posted by 1fastmr2

Hope everyone have fun and safe holiday!! Thanks for the plays!! I'm ready for some football!!

I think we're gonna try for some hockey dogs. We have been back testing, it looks very promising. And the price is gonna be the same. Until then, these dogs better shape up.

**mitch51** · 09-02-14, 01:02 PM

Good morning everyone

Tues, 9/02/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

#955 UN 7.5 -125 MIL/CUBS 1.25u/1.00u
Barry 8ov/16un L24gms 66.7%

Tues, 9/02/14 DOGS

#979 CIN +130 1.00u/1.30u
#973 CWS +120 1.00u/1.20u

Tues, 9/02/14 FUN

#970 TB -110 1.00u/.91u
#962 SD -115 1.00u/.87U

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

**jkatakoon** · 09-02-14, 01:13 PM

Thanks and goodluck today!

I saw somewhere down the street that an ump for the Pitts/STL game has an under trend. Did you notice that and skipped over it or did you not notice it?

**mitch51** · 09-02-14, 01:19 PM

Originally posted by jkatakoon

Thanks and goodluck today!

I saw somewhere down the street that an ump for the Pitts/STL game has an under trend. Did you notice that and skipped over it or did you not notice it?

Eddings is not behind the plate today, we did notice this. Thanks.

**HeffreyPicasso** · 09-02-14, 01:30 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

Eddings is not behind the plate today, we did notice this. Thanks.

gilmo played it lol, lets get em today ali and mitch

**RollinDo** · 09-02-14, 01:46 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

Eddings is not behind the plate today, we did notice this. Thanks.

Isn't Eddings in SD tonight?
I have Hoye listed in StL (An Under Ump)

**jkatakoon** · 09-02-14, 01:58 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Isn't Eddings in SD tonight?
I have Hoye listed in StL (An Under Ump)

Yes, I believe I saw Hoye somewhere down the street.