Under umpire streakers

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  • DirkDiggler
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-21-14
    • 104

    #456
    You have been rolling lately and i greatly appreciate it but the old " gun to the head" would you go under on those 2?
    Comment
    • mitch51
      SBR MVP
      • 05-15-12
      • 4587

      #457
      Originally posted by DirkDiggler
      You have been rolling lately and i greatly appreciate it but the old " gun to the head" would you go under on those 2?
      Nope. We bet every single game we possibly can after handicapping them if we figure they'll cash. No more, no less. We have learned some hard lessons regarding this.
      Comment
      • DirkDiggler
        SBR High Roller
        • 08-21-14
        • 104

        #458
        Well said. I will not force the action. Thank you again for your great work and picks..
        Comment
        • Ebumdude
          SBR MVP
          • 11-15-12
          • 2189

          #459
          Let's turn these books into ATM's.
          Comment
          • mitch51
            SBR MVP
            • 05-15-12
            • 4587

            #460
            Evening update:

            Thurs, 8/28/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

            NONE
            84-51-6 +22.28u 62.2%




            Thurs, 8/28/14 DOGS

            #906 METS +110 1.00u/1.10u


            0-1 -1.00u
            139-138 +15.75u 50.2%




            Thurs, 8/28/14 FUN

            NONE
            25-15 +6.75u 63.0%



            Goodnight all

            Ali & Mitch
            Comment
            • mitch51
              SBR MVP
              • 05-15-12
              • 4587

              #461
              Good morning everyone

              I did a little homework last night and the two games not in a new series had umpires that were below 60%. This morning I verified they are the umpires listed.



              Fri, 8/29/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

              No games today.



              Fri, 8/29/14 DOGS


              #961 LAD +100 1.00u/1.00u



              Fri, 8/29/14 FUN


              NONE


              GLTA

              Ali & Mitch
              Comment
              • mitch51
                SBR MVP
                • 05-15-12
                • 4587

                #462
                Late evening update:

                Fri, 8/29/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

                None
                84-51-6 +22.28u 62.2%



                Fri, 8/29/14 DOGS

                #961 LAD +100 1.00u/1.00u


                0-1 -1.00u
                139-139 +14.75u 50.0%




                Fri, 8/29/14 FUN

                NONE
                25-15 +6.75u 63.0%



                Goodnight all

                Ali & Mitch
                Comment
                • mitch51
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-15-12
                  • 4587

                  #463
                  Lots of games today, I think. Totally the opposite of yesterday. It's either feast or famine I guess. We're gonna hit the books hard today.
                  Comment
                  • mitch51
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-15-12
                    • 4587

                    #464
                    Good morning

                    Sat, 8/30/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

                    #903 UN 8 -110 CUBs/STL gm#2 1.10u/1.00u
                    Porter 8ov/17un L25gms 68.0%

                    #922 UN 9.5 -120 DET/CWS gm#2 1.20u/1.00u
                    Barry 7ov/16un L23gm 69.6%

                    #933 UN 6.5 +100 WAS/SEA 1.00u/1.00u
                    Blaser 7ov/13un L20gms 65.0%




                    Sat, 8/30/14 DOGS

                    #920 CWS +105 1.05u/1.00u gm#1
                    #924 BAL RL -1.5 +115 1.15u/1.00u
                    #907 MIA +120 1.20u/1.00u
                    #903 CUBS +110 1.10u/1.00u gm#2



                    Sat, 8/30/14 FUN

                    NONE



                    GLTA

                    Ali & Mitch
                    Comment
                    • KingHawkins
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-18-13
                      • 1311

                      #465
                      Loved the CWS G1 and it paid off huge for me ML/RL. Hoping everything else comes through for you guys.

                      And do you guys want the "Betpoints"? I tried to give you a bunch and it wouldn't seem to work until I got down to low single digits.
                      Comment
                      • mitch51
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-15-12
                        • 4587

                        #466
                        Originally posted by KingHawkins
                        Loved the CWS G1 and it paid off huge for me ML/RL. Hoping everything else comes through for you guys.

                        And do you guys want the "Betpoints"? I tried to give you a bunch and it wouldn't seem to work until I got down to low single digits.
                        Don't need betpoints, but thanks. Good job on Game 1, that's the way to hit them. Yeah, we took a lot of games for us. Hope they come through.
                        Comment
                        • mitch51
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-15-12
                          • 4587

                          #467
                          Evening update


                          Sat, 8/30/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

                          #903 UN 8 -110 CUBs/STL gm#2 1.10u/1.00u
                          Porter 8ov/17un L25gms 68.0%

                          #922 UN 9.5 -120 DET/CWS gm#2 1.20u/1.00u
                          Barry 7ov/16un L23gm 69.6%

                          #933 UN 6.5 +100 WAS/SEA 1.00u/1.00u
                          Blaser 7ov/13un L20gms 65.0%

                          1-2 -1.30u
                          85-53-6 +20.98u 61.2%




                          Sat, 8/30/14 DOGS

                          #920 CWS +105 1.05u/1.00u gm#1

                          #924 BAL RL -1.5 +115 1.15u/1.00u

                          #907 MIA +120 1.20u/1.00u

                          #903 CUBS +110 1.10u/1.00u gm#2


                          2-2 +.25u
                          141-141 +15.00u 50.0%



                          Sat, 8/30/14 FUN

                          NONE
                          25-15 +6.75u 63.0%



                          Goodnight all

                          Ali & Mitch
                          Comment
                          • J.M. Disciple
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-16-10
                            • 5154

                            #468
                            was trying to work on a system betting under after a team scores zero runs. It is not a chase, you only bet their next game to go under. Here are the results not counting the pushes. If next game was a push I did not bet the next game.

                            Bal 8-1
                            bos 7-5 *pending tomorrow
                            nyy 2-3 *pending tomorrow
                            tb 7-6
                            tor 5-3
                            atl 6-2 *pending tomorrow
                            mia 1-4
                            nym 6-2
                            phi 5-8
                            wash 6-1
                            cws 3-3
                            cle 3-3
                            det 2-5
                            kc 3-3
                            min 6-4
                            chc 8-3
                            cinci 5-7
                            mil 6-2
                            pit 2-4
                            stl 6-5
                            hou 6-6
                            laa 2-1
                            oak 3-4*pending tomorrow
                            sea 9-5
                            tex 4-3*pending tomorrow
                            arz 5-5*pending tomorrow
                            col 1-6
                            lad 2-2
                            sd 11-5
                            sf 3-9




                            142-120 (54%)

                            54% might show a small profit with the correct odds, but it would be very small indeed. Would need some type of money management system to go with this. I thought this might help cap some of the unders though.
                            Comment
                            • mitch51
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-15-12
                              • 4587

                              #469
                              Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                              was trying to work on a system betting under after a team scores zero runs. It is not a chase, you only bet their next game to go under. Here are the results not counting the pushes. If next game was a push I did not bet the next game.

                              Bal 8-1
                              bos 7-5 *pending tomorrow
                              nyy 2-3 *pending tomorrow
                              tb 7-6
                              tor 5-3
                              atl 6-2 *pending tomorrow
                              mia 1-4
                              nym 6-2
                              phi 5-8
                              wash 6-1
                              cws 3-3
                              cle 3-3
                              det 2-5
                              kc 3-3
                              min 6-4
                              chc 8-3
                              cinci 5-7
                              mil 6-2
                              pit 2-4
                              stl 6-5
                              hou 6-6
                              laa 2-1
                              oak 3-4*pending tomorrow
                              sea 9-5
                              tex 4-3*pending tomorrow
                              arz 5-5*pending tomorrow
                              col 1-6
                              lad 2-2
                              sd 11-5
                              sf 3-9




                              142-120 (54%)

                              54% might show a small profit with the correct odds, but it would be very small indeed. Would need some type of money management system to go with this. I thought this might help cap some of the unders though.
                              Hey, this is some good stuff. Any profit is good. For some reason the line always seems to be minus when going under. The books have caught on to at least this much, lol.
                              Comment
                              • Martinr
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-08-13
                                • 529

                                #470
                                Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                was trying to work on a system betting under after a team scores zero runs. It is not a chase, you only bet their next game to go under. Here are the results not counting the pushes. If next game was a push I did not bet the next game.

                                Bal 8-1
                                bos 7-5 *pending tomorrow
                                nyy 2-3 *pending tomorrow
                                tb 7-6
                                tor 5-3
                                atl 6-2 *pending tomorrow
                                mia 1-4
                                nym 6-2
                                phi 5-8
                                wash 6-1
                                cws 3-3
                                cle 3-3
                                det 2-5
                                kc 3-3
                                min 6-4
                                chc 8-3
                                cinci 5-7
                                mil 6-2
                                pit 2-4
                                stl 6-5
                                hou 6-6
                                laa 2-1
                                oak 3-4*pending tomorrow
                                sea 9-5
                                tex 4-3*pending tomorrow
                                arz 5-5*pending tomorrow
                                col 1-6
                                lad 2-2
                                sd 11-5
                                sf 3-9




                                142-120 (54%)

                                54% might show a small profit with the correct odds, but it would be very small indeed. Would need some type of money management system to go with this. I thought this might help cap some of the unders though.
                                these numbers are from just this season?
                                Just asking because the SDQL guys could run a query for past seasons and see how it fares.
                                Comment
                                • J.M. Disciple
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 11-16-10
                                  • 5154

                                  #471
                                  Originally posted by Martinr
                                  these numbers are from just this season?
                                  Just asking because the SDQL guys could run a query for past seasons and see how it fares.
                                  Ya just this season. I was pretty surprised how many teams actually get shut out over 9 innings.
                                  Only part I wanted to look at is the under when a team holds another team to zero. I thought there were so many series the numbers would be pretty much the same.
                                  Comment
                                  • J.M. Disciple
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-16-10
                                    • 5154

                                    #472
                                    Looking at the pending plays, I think the books know this and the juice is set to -115 on the pending teams. With that juice it would be a 1u profit over 100 game sample at 54%.
                                    Comment
                                    • mitch51
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-15-12
                                      • 4587

                                      #473
                                      Morning all

                                      Sun, 8/31/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

                                      #953 UN 6.5 -110 CIN/PIT 1.10u/1.00u
                                      Reynolds 7ov/16un L23gms 69.6%

                                      #967 UN 8.5 -115 MIN/BAL 1.15u/1.00u
                                      Muchlinski 8ov/16un L24gms 66.7%

                                      #975 UN 8.5 -120 TX/HOU 1.20u/1.00u
                                      Randazzo 2ov/13un L15gms 86.7%

                                      #959 UN 7 -115 LAD/SD 1.15u/1.00u
                                      Fagan 10ov/17un L27gms 63.0%

                                      #961 UN 8 -110 CO/AZ 1.10u/1.00u
                                      Marquez 3ov/10un L13gms 76.8%




                                      Sun, 8/31/14 DOGS

                                      #951 PHI +116 1.00u/1.16u
                                      #961 CO +104 1.00u/1.04u



                                      Sun, 8/31/14 FUN

                                      #973 DET -112 1.00u/.89u




                                      GLTA

                                      Ali & Mitch
                                      Comment
                                      • J.M. Disciple
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-16-10
                                        • 5154

                                        #474
                                        wow a lot of unders for me today. Up 8u on the week, lets get back into double digits.
                                        Comment
                                        • killacappapilla
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 10-01-13
                                          • 881

                                          #475
                                          Went big on hou/tex. Hope it cashes
                                          Comment
                                          • mitch51
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-15-12
                                            • 4587

                                            #476
                                            Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                            wow a lot of unders for me today. Up 8u on the week, lets get back into double digits.
                                            Good going on the week. Let's get 'em.
                                            Comment
                                            • mitch51
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-15-12
                                              • 4587

                                              #477
                                              Originally posted by killacappapilla
                                              Went big on hou/tex. Hope it cashes

                                              Congrats!!! That's the way it's done.
                                              Comment
                                              • killacappapilla
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-01-13
                                                • 881

                                                #478
                                                Originally posted by mitch51
                                                Congrats!!! That's the way it's done.
                                                Woohoo, cheers
                                                Comment
                                                • J.M. Disciple
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 11-16-10
                                                  • 5154

                                                  #479
                                                  bos 7-5 *win
                                                  nyy 2-3 *win
                                                  atl 6-2 *win
                                                  oak 3-4*lose
                                                  tex 4-3*win
                                                  arz 5-5*lose

                                                  based on my previous post. I might be onto something.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mitch51
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-15-12
                                                    • 4587

                                                    #480
                                                    Evening update:


                                                    Sun, 8/31/14 UNDERUmpireStreakers

                                                    #953 UN 6.5 -110 CIN/PIT 1.10u/1.00u
                                                    Reynolds 7ov/16un L23gms 69.6%

                                                    #967 UN 8.5 -115 MIN/BAL 1.15u/1.00u
                                                    Muchlinski 8ov/16un L24gms 66.7%

                                                    #975 UN 8.5 -120 TX/HOU 1.20u/1.00u
                                                    Randazzo 2ov/13un L15gms 86.7%

                                                    #959 UN 7 -115 LAD/SD 1.15u/1.00u
                                                    Fagan 10ov/17un L27gms 63.0%

                                                    #961 UN 8 -110 CO/AZ 1.10u/1.00u PUSH
                                                    Marquez 3ov/10un L13gms 76.8%

                                                    2-2-1 -.30u
                                                    87-55-7 +20.68u 61.2%



                                                    Sun, 8/31/14 DOGS

                                                    #951 PHI +116 1.00u/1.16u
                                                    #961 CO +104 1.00u/1.04u

                                                    0-2 -2.00u
                                                    141-143 +13.00u 49.6%




                                                    Sun, 8/31/14 FUN

                                                    #973 DET -112 1.00u/.89u

                                                    0-1 -1.00u
                                                    25-16 +5.75u 61.0%


                                                    Goodnight all


                                                    Ali & Mitch
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mitch51
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-15-12
                                                      • 4587

                                                      #481
                                                      Good morning everyone and hope you are enjoying your holiday!

                                                      In doing a little homework last night, I thought we might have two possible umpire games today. The rotation of Layne and Wegner were changed, no listed umpires.


                                                      Mon, 9/01/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

                                                      NONE




                                                      Mon, 9/01/14 DOGS


                                                      #914 LAD +104 1.00u/1.04u
                                                      #921 SEA +128 1.00u/1.28u




                                                      Mon, 9/01/14 FUN


                                                      #904 MIA -128 1.00u/.78u
                                                      #906 STL -118 1.00u/.85u



                                                      GLTA

                                                      Ali & Mitch
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mitch51
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-15-12
                                                        • 4587

                                                        #482
                                                        Evening update:


                                                        Mon, 9/01/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

                                                        NONE
                                                        87-55-7 +20.68u 61.2%




                                                        Mon, 9/01/14 DOGS

                                                        #914 LAD +104 1.00u/1.04u

                                                        #921 SEA +128 1.00u/1.28u

                                                        These dogs have rabies.

                                                        0-2 -2.00u
                                                        141-145 +11.00u 49.3%





                                                        Mon, 9/01/14 FUN

                                                        #904 MIA -128 1.00u/.78u

                                                        #906 STL -118 1.00u/.85u


                                                        2-0 +1.63u
                                                        27-16 +7.38u 62.8%



                                                        Goodnight all

                                                        Ali & Mitch
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 1fastmr2
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 03-02-13
                                                          • 487

                                                          #483
                                                          Hope everyone have fun and safe holiday!! Thanks for the plays!! I'm ready for some football!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mitch51
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-15-12
                                                            • 4587

                                                            #484
                                                            Originally posted by 1fastmr2
                                                            Hope everyone have fun and safe holiday!! Thanks for the plays!! I'm ready for some football!!
                                                            I think we're gonna try for some hockey dogs. We have been back testing, it looks very promising. And the price is gonna be the same. Until then, these dogs better shape up.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mitch51
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-15-12
                                                              • 4587

                                                              #485
                                                              Good morning everyone

                                                              Tues, 9/02/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

                                                              #955 UN 7.5 -125 MIL/CUBS 1.25u/1.00u
                                                              Barry 8ov/16un L24gms 66.7%



                                                              Tues, 9/02/14 DOGS


                                                              #979 CIN +130 1.00u/1.30u
                                                              #973 CWS +120 1.00u/1.20u




                                                              Tues, 9/02/14 FUN


                                                              #970 TB -110 1.00u/.91u
                                                              #962 SD -115 1.00u/.87U



                                                              GLTA

                                                              Ali & Mitch
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jkatakoon
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 08-28-14
                                                                • 9

                                                                #486
                                                                Thanks and goodluck today!

                                                                I saw somewhere down the street that an ump for the Pitts/STL game has an under trend. Did you notice that and skipped over it or did you not notice it?

                                                                Comment
                                                                • mitch51
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-15-12
                                                                  • 4587

                                                                  #487
                                                                  Originally posted by jkatakoon
                                                                  Thanks and goodluck today!

                                                                  I saw somewhere down the street that an ump for the Pitts/STL game has an under trend. Did you notice that and skipped over it or did you not notice it?
                                                                  Eddings is not behind the plate today, we did notice this. Thanks.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • HeffreyPicasso
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-04-13
                                                                    • 1830

                                                                    #488
                                                                    Originally posted by mitch51
                                                                    Eddings is not behind the plate today, we did notice this. Thanks.
                                                                    gilmo played it lol, lets get em today ali and mitch
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RollinDo
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 09-04-13
                                                                      • 13322

                                                                      #489
                                                                      Originally posted by mitch51
                                                                      Eddings is not behind the plate today, we did notice this. Thanks.
                                                                      Isn't Eddings in SD tonight?
                                                                      I have Hoye listed in StL (An Under Ump)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jkatakoon
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 08-28-14
                                                                        • 9

                                                                        #490
                                                                        Originally posted by RollinDo
                                                                        Isn't Eddings in SD tonight?
                                                                        I have Hoye listed in StL (An Under Ump)
                                                                        Yes, I believe I saw Hoye somewhere down the street.
                                                                        Comment
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