Under umpire streakers

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  • IrishLuck777
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-25-14
    • 332

    #386
    Well damn i was in a hurry this morning and quickly put a small bet on detroit. guess i should have just left it alone. hopefully the rest of the games come through tonight and i can still show a profit on the day.
    Comment
    • J.M. Disciple
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-16-10
      • 5154

      #387
      Anyone good at data mining? I was testing something for the o/u where if game 1 was over you bet over agian. If game 2 is over you bet over for game 3 etc, if game 4 is under then game 5 bet u. Just betting whether or not the last game went o or u and for next game to be the same result. I tested AL east and it was 320 wins and 292 losses but based on an average of -110 juice you would lose like 1u with this record (52%).

      Takes a lot of time to do this manually and I know there are programmers out there that can look something like this up really quick. Many people have tried to invent chase systems using the o/u but over a 5-10 year sample always come up short. Only way to beat it I think is following the trends similar to GILz and flat betting.

      Thoughts or anyone have any data on this?
      Comment
      • mitch51
        SBR MVP
        • 05-15-12
        • 4587

        #388
        Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
        Anyone good at data mining? I was testing something for the o/u where if game 1 was over you bet over agian. If game 2 is over you bet over for game 3 etc, if game 4 is under then game 5 bet u. Just betting whether or not the last game went o or u and for next game to be the same result. I tested AL east and it was 320 wins and 292 losses but based on an average of -110 juice you would lose like 1u with this record (52%).

        Takes a lot of time to do this manually and I know there are programmers out there that can look something like this up really quick. Many people have tried to invent chase systems using the o/u but over a 5-10 year sample always come up short. Only way to beat it I think is following the trends similar to GILz and flat betting.

        Thoughts or anyone have any data on this?
        The Under Umpire Streakers + handicapping streaks, trends, + LUCK , with flat betting = $$$$$$$$$$$.
        Comment
        • mitch51
          SBR MVP
          • 05-15-12
          • 4587

          #389
          Evening update


          Sat, 8/23/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

          #969 UN 9 +100 DET/MIN 1.00u to win 1.00u
          TGibson 10ov/16un L26gms 61.5%

          #953 UN 8 +100 STL/PHI 1.00u to win 1.00u
          Onora 5ov/17un L22gms 77.3%

          #977 UN 9 -105 KC/TX 1.05u to win 1.00u PUSH
          Wendelstedt 7ov/12un L19gms 63.2%

          0-2-1 -2.00u
          75-49-6 +15.53u 60.5%



          Sat, 8/23/14 DOGS

          #970 gm#1 MIN +108 1.00u to win 1.08u

          #975 HOU +150 1.00u to win 1.50u

          #959 MIA +100 1.00u to win 1.00u


          1-2 -.92u
          136-133 +16.90u 51.0%



          Sat, 8/23/14 FUN

          #973 SEA -102 1.00u to win .98u

          #953 STL -115 1.00u to win .87u

          #956 MIL -133 1.00u to win .75u

          #977 KC -115 1.00u to win .87u
          3-1 +1.72u
          24-12 +8.88u 66.7%



          Goodnight all


          Ali & Mitch
          Comment
          • alamo
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-21-09
            • 7131

            #390
            Horror finish to that rangers game. 2 outs no one on and they give up a walk then single allows runners go uncontested to third and second where of course they bloop a single to give them the 2 runs to push our bet.

            Nothing we can do about that. Nice work !
            Comment
            • upscope
              SBR MVP
              • 04-26-11
              • 2837

              #391
              Originally posted by alamo
              Horror finish to that rangers game. 2 outs no one on and they give up a walk then single allows runners go uncontested to third and second where of course they bloop a single to give them the 2 runs to push our bet.

              Nothing we can do about that. Nice work !
              That's the 3rd time this week that exact scenario has happened with these unders
              Comment
              • mitch51
                SBR MVP
                • 05-15-12
                • 4587

                #392
                Good morning, sunn and cool here so far.

                Sun, 8/24/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

                #917 UN 8.5 -115 TB/TOR 1.15u/1.00u
                BWelke 9ov/15un L24gms 62.5%

                #919 UN 7 -110 CWS/NYY 1.10u/1.00u
                Winters 6ov/12un L18gms 66.7%

                #921 UN 8 -120 SEA/BOS 1.20u/1.00u
                Carapazza 10ov/16un L26gms 61.5%



                Sun, 8/24/14 DOGs


                #911 MIA +102 1.00u/1.02u




                Sun, 8/24/14 FUN


                #917 TB -115 1.00u/.87u
                #919 CWS -118 1.00u/.85u
                #903 STL -120 1.00u/.83u

                GLTA


                Ali & Mitch
                Comment
                • mitch51
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-15-12
                  • 4587

                  #393
                  Originally posted by upscope
                  That's the 3rd time this week that exact scenario has happened with these unders
                  Whatever your drug of choice is, you gotta pull it out when doing these unders. And the dogs are pooping in the kennel.
                  Comment
                  • J.M. Disciple
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-16-10
                    • 5154

                    #394
                    I missed just about every single bet today.... Looks like a good day too!
                    Comment
                    • mitch51
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-15-12
                      • 4587

                      #395
                      Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                      I missed just about every single bet today.... Looks like a good day too!
                      It's a good thing you missed the BOS under.
                      Comment
                      • J.M. Disciple
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-16-10
                        • 5154

                        #396
                        SORRY for jynxing it... unders look like 1-1-1, fun , hoping MIa comes through. Them and MIL for ON3 system only two bets I have. Thought about live bets but didn't like the lines.
                        Comment
                        • whtsox13
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-02-12
                          • 1401

                          #397
                          Hope your thread survives Mitch/Ali, now that the 'kiss of death' has made an appearance.
                          Comment
                          • alamo
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-21-09
                            • 7131

                            #398
                            And the white sox hit a HR top of the ninth to tie the game and screw us.
                            Comment
                            • mitch51
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-15-12
                              • 4587

                              #399
                              Evening update

                              Sun, 8/24/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

                              #917 UN 8.5 -115 TB/TOR 1.15u/1.00u
                              BWelke 9ov/15un L24gms 62.5%

                              #919 UN 7 -110 CWS/NYY 1.10u/1.00u
                              Winters 6ov/12un L18gms 66.7%

                              #921 UN 8 -120 SEA/BOS 1.20u/1.00u
                              Carapazza 10ov/16un L26gms 61.5%

                              1-2 -1.30u
                              76-51-6 +14.23u 59.8%




                              Sun, 8/24/14 DOGs

                              #911 MIA +102 1.00u/1.02u


                              0-1 -1.00u
                              136-134 +15.90u 50.3%



                              Sun, 8/24/14 FUN


                              #917 TB -115 1.00u/.87u

                              #919 CWS -118 1.00u/.85u

                              #903 STL -120 1.00u/.83u

                              1-2 -1.13u
                              25-14 +7.75u 64.1%


                              Goodnight all

                              Ali & Mitch
                              Comment
                              • mitch51
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-15-12
                                • 4587

                                #400
                                Hello everyone

                                Mon, 8/25/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

                                NONE



                                Mon, 8/25/14 DOGS



                                #953 STL +125 1.00u/1.25u
                                #959 TB +110 1.00u/1.10u
                                #969 MIA +150 1.00u/1.50u




                                Mon, 8/25/14 FUN


                                NONE



                                GLTA

                                Ali & Mitch
                                Comment
                                • phokingjuice
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-27-14
                                  • 339

                                  #401
                                  Cheers
                                  Comment
                                  • J.M. Disciple
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-16-10
                                    • 5154

                                    #402
                                    Nice days for the dogs. Was only on the late game favorites tonight. Still trying to recover from the weekend loss. It was very small only 6u overall down on the week, but today I had 2.5u each on the final 3 games. Going to be 3u each tomorrow, hoping I can get a sweep soon and recover those losses from last week. Looking forward to a few unders tomorrow.
                                    Comment
                                    • mitch51
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-15-12
                                      • 4587

                                      #403
                                      Evening update:

                                      Mon, 8/25/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

                                      NONE
                                      76-51-6 +14.23u 59.8%




                                      Mon, 8/25/14 DOGS


                                      #953 STL +125 1.00u/1.25u

                                      #959 TB +110 1.00u/1.10u

                                      #969 MIA +150 1.00u/1.50u


                                      2-1 +1.75u
                                      138-135 +17.65u 51.0%




                                      Mon, 8/25/14 FUN

                                      NONE
                                      25-14 +7.75u 64.1%


                                      Goodnight all


                                      Ali & Mitch
                                      Comment
                                      • bluetooth3
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-01-14
                                        • 2075

                                        #404
                                        Those Dogs had some BARK tonight! I'm a big dog bettor and we had a good night!
                                        Comment
                                        • mickjam42
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 12-28-11
                                          • 692

                                          #405
                                          Sweet stuff. Thanks!
                                          Comment
                                          • mitch51
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-15-12
                                            • 4587

                                            #406
                                            Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                            Nice days for the dogs. Was only on the late game favorites tonight. Still trying to recover from the weekend loss. It was very small only 6u overall down on the week, but today I had 2.5u each on the final 3 games. Going to be 3u each tomorrow, hoping I can get a sweep soon and recover those losses from last week. Looking forward to a few unders tomorrow.
                                            It's sweep day today, take out the brooms. Hopefully the dogs have quit pooping in the house for a while. We LOVE the dogs but 50% losses, still haven't got used to that part.
                                            Comment
                                            • mitch51
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-15-12
                                              • 4587

                                              #407
                                              Good morning

                                              Tues, 8/26/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

                                              #911 UN 6.5 +105 MIL/SD 1.00u/1.05u
                                              Marquez 3ov/9un L12gms 75.0%

                                              #913 UN 6.5 -120 CO/SF 1.20u/1.00u
                                              Blaser 7ov/12un L19gms 63.2%

                                              #927 UN 7.5 -115 TX/SEA 1.15u/1.00u
                                              Fagan 10ov/16un L26gms 61.5%




                                              Tues, 8/26/14 DOGS


                                              #901 STL +120 1.00u/1.20u




                                              Tues, 8/26/14 FUN


                                              #916 TOR -130 1.00u/.77u



                                              GLTA

                                              Ali & Mitch
                                              Comment
                                              • bluetooth3
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 06-01-14
                                                • 2075

                                                #408
                                                Ali & Mitch great job tonight. Glad we were able to bring home the bacon on national dog day! Haha appreciate all of your hard work! Let's keep cashing those tickets
                                                Comment
                                                • KingHawkins
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-18-13
                                                  • 1311

                                                  #409
                                                  3-0 streaker sweep tonight, awesome work.
                                                  SF/COL Under was my only MLB play today. I hit it last night, and made it a 3X this afternoon when I saw that the ump was streaking and it had made your play list.
                                                  Very nice to see you guys back to profiting the past two days, cheers to a good tomorrow.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mitch51
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-15-12
                                                    • 4587

                                                    #410
                                                    Late night update


                                                    Tues, 8/26/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

                                                    #911 UN 6.5 +105 MIL/SD 1.00u/1.05u
                                                    Marquez 3ov/9un L12gms 75.0%

                                                    #913 UN 6.5 -120 CO/SF 1.20u/1.00u
                                                    Blaser 7ov/12un L19gms 63.2%

                                                    #927 UN 7.5 -115 TX/SEA 1.15u/1.00u
                                                    Fagan 10ov/16un L26gms 61.5%

                                                    3-0 +3.05u
                                                    79-51-6 +17.28u 61.0%




                                                    Tues, 8/26/14 DOGS

                                                    #901 STL +120 1.00u/1.20u


                                                    0-1 -1.00u
                                                    138-136 +16.65u 50.4%



                                                    Tues, 8/26/14 FUN

                                                    #916 TOR -130 1.00u/.77u

                                                    0-1 -1.00u
                                                    25-15 +6.75u 63.0%



                                                    Goodnight all

                                                    Ali & Mitch
                                                    Comment
                                                    • J.M. Disciple
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-16-10
                                                      • 5154

                                                      #411
                                                      I got lucky and only bet the late games today with the unders and on3's system. -6u overall last week and this week up 9.5u so turned a profit with which I am pretty sure If I add up the total losses and wins I would have more. In fact went 10w-18L last week and this week 6w and 4L for a combined 16w-22L record with a 3.5u profit

                                                      Its nice to follow two winning cappers / systems with a maximum profit strategy. a simple 1u, 1.5u, 2u, 2.5u until I profit then reset it back to 1u once I am at my peak profit again. Works a little faster then the labby, but very similar and doesn't get as carried away as a martingale strategy.

                                                      I would just like to thank on3 & "mitch&ali" for keeping two smoothly ran threads and making everyone some basically free money. SBR is slowly becoming my ATM machine. Also thanks to Jack for keeping the owners happy!

                                                      Good night and good luck onto tomorrow.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mitch51
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-15-12
                                                        • 4587

                                                        #412
                                                        Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                                        I got lucky and only bet the late games today with the unders and on3's system. -6u overall last week and this week up 9.5u so turned a profit with which I am pretty sure If I add up the total losses and wins I would have more. In fact went 10w-18L last week and this week 6w and 4L for a combined 16w-22L record with a 3.5u profit

                                                        Its nice to follow two winning cappers / systems with a maximum profit strategy. a simple 1u, 1.5u, 2u, 2.5u until I profit then reset it back to 1u once I am at my peak profit again. Works a little faster then the labby, but very similar and doesn't get as carried away as a martingale strategy.

                                                        I would just like to thank on3 & "mitch&ali" for keeping two smoothly ran threads and making everyone some basically free money. SBR is slowly becoming my ATM machine. Also thanks to Jack for keeping the owners happy!

                                                        Good night and good luck onto tomorrow.

                                                        Thanks and I'll tell Jack"son".

                                                        Ali
                                                        Comment
                                                        • phokingjuice
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 06-27-14
                                                          • 339

                                                          #413
                                                          Good job on under's yesterday. Let's wreck em today
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mitch51
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-15-12
                                                            • 4587

                                                            #414
                                                            Originally posted by phokingjuice
                                                            Good job on under's yesterday. Let's wreck em today
                                                            After a little cold streak, Ali is killing it with the unders again. A lot of handicapping with the unders. Gilz found out how good she is at these, lol! By the way, where IS Gilz?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RollinDo
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-04-13
                                                              • 13322

                                                              #415
                                                              Originally posted by mitch51
                                                              After a little cold streak, Ali is killing it with the unders again. A lot of handicapping with the unders. Gilz found out how good she is at these, lol! By the way, where IS Gilz?
                                                              Man. Didn't know there was someone out there who 1 ups me with Unders.
                                                              I am hitting a shade Under 60% since June 1. I am not a big capper...just a stats guy.
                                                              I hit 62% on nhl Under last season (my 1st betting nhl)...don't even watch much hockey.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Atl_jess
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 07-01-14
                                                                • 18

                                                                #416
                                                                What's the plays?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mitch51
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-15-12
                                                                  • 4587

                                                                  #417
                                                                  Morning all

                                                                  12:35pm ET game (will post the afternoon games later)

                                                                  #951 UN 7.5 -115 STL/PIT 1.15u/1.00u
                                                                  Randazzo 2ov/12un L14gms 85.7%


                                                                  GLTA

                                                                  Ali & Mitch
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • phokingjuice
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 06-27-14
                                                                    • 339

                                                                    #418
                                                                    Thanks for the early post! Early games get me through the work day quicker
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RollinDo
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 09-04-13
                                                                      • 13322

                                                                      #419
                                                                      On this too...Unfortunately locked in at -125 early this a.m. thinking total would hit 7.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • RollinDo
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 09-04-13
                                                                        • 13322

                                                                        #420
                                                                        Love Detroit Under and Under in NY Mets game today....not sure if it jives with you guys though.
                                                                        Comment
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