-
Comment -
A very specific query regarding Cardinals/Reds games involving either of tomorrow night's starters.
team=Cardinals and o:team=Reds and (starter=Shelby Miller or o:starter=Homer Bailey)Comment -
Looks like Cleveland won against in extra innings.
Barely any samples, but as a road dog, coming off 2 extra inning games in which a team won the previous extra inning game against the team they are playing again.
AD and p:XW and pp:X and SG=2
Occurred earlier this year and the opponent covered RL as well. Last 4 have been loses as well (all covered).
(could also just do AD and p:X and pp:X and SG=2) still yields decent results.Comment -
Hey guys. After following and reading the thread for a long time I finally registered to the forums.
Tigers in a home game against a righthanded starter after they lost the last home game with at least 5 runs difference in a month past April since 2010:
team=Tigers and p:margin<-6 and H and p:site=home and season>2009 and o:STR and month>4
SU: 10-1
(2.82, 90.9%)avg line:
-153.3 / 137.5on / against:
+$890 / -$905ROI:
+53.3% / -81.9%RL: 7-4
(1.32, 63.6%)avg line:
146.2 / -159.5on / against:
+$577 / -$656ROI:
+51.6% / -37.2%OU: 4-5-2
(0.18, 44.4%)avg total:
8.6over / under:
-$140 / +$65ROI:
-11.6% / +5.3%Last edited by posey; 05-23-14, 08:18 AM.Comment -
Rockies on the road against a team from the NL East after a home game in Colorado since 2008:
team=Rockies and o:division=NL East and A and p:H and season>2007
SU2-11
(-2.92, 15.4%)avg line:
131.3 / -146.3on / against:
-$867 / +$817ROI:
-62.6% / +41.3%RL5-8
(-2.12, 38.5%)avg line:
-129.7 / 117.3on / against:
-$506 / +$460ROI:
-28.2% / +31.3%OU7-6-0
(1.69, 53.8%)avg total:
8.2over / under:
+$50 / -$165ROI:
+3.5% / -11.5%Last edited by posey; 05-23-14, 09:43 AM.Comment -
Games with home dogs with a dog line greater than 140 and a game total of less than 8.0 against Clayton Kershaw:
o:starter=Clayton Kershaw and HD and line>140 and total<8
SU0-9
(-3.78, 0.0%)avg line:
164.5 / -180.5on / against:
-$900 / +$900ROI:
-100.0% / +54.7%RL0-9
(-2.28, 0.0%)avg line:
-103.0 / -105.8on / against:
-$976 / +$930ROI:
-100.0% / +94.7%OU2-5-2
(-0.44, 28.6%avg total:
6.7over / under:
-$370 / +$275ROI:
-36.8% / +28.2%Comment -
hey posey...welcome and bol to you and us miners!Comment -
This looks rather interesting...there was one big fav of <-200 within the time parameter of this situation and it was King Felix himself, whom lost? Astros????
H and tA(runs) <= 4.5 and 5.7 >= o:STDSERA >= 4.7 and o:conference = AL and month = 5 and 2010 <= season and rest = 0 and SG<4Comment -
Here we want to fade a AL road dog of >=130, with a starting pitcher of 3.5 or better; against a starter who throws more than 6.5 innings per start. enjoy and gl
A and line>=130 and STDSERA<=3.50 and t:conference=AL and A(Starter: o: innings pitched@o: starter and season) >6.5 and 2009<=seasonComment -
teams on a >=3 game losing streak as HFs
conference non division opponents as home favs are +EV in series games 2 only.....looking at SD and Tigers.
Stronger for AL teams....tough to take a team like the Padres, but may do so anyway.
HF and streak <= -3 and not DIV and series game = 2 and C and playoffs = 0Comment -
maybe fading Edwin Jackson here will help you:
A and starter='Edwin Jackson' and s:walks allowed<2
fading Jackson on the road after he allows less than 2 walks in the previous outing.
surprising results ever since he went to the cubs.
EVEN better when you filter it for SG>1 and stays excellent after you filter it with the Cubs winning the previous game.Comment -
Interesting query about the Cubs pitcher Jackson....I played it before I saw your submission...nice....don't know how some of you guys have the time to go through all the individual pitching stats, but if it gives you and others winners it's all good.Comment -
Lots of winners in here thanks everybody!Comment -
Lets get started with an easy one. The Indians on the road against the Orioles with both teams sending out a righthanded starter:
'team=Indians and o:team=Orioles and A and STR and o:STR'
SU4-9
(-1.69, 30.8%)avg line:
-101.4 / -108.6on / against:
-$545 / +$500ROI:
-38.7% / +34.4%RL4-6
(-1.60, 40.0%)avg line:
-116.9 / 103.0on / against:
-$360 / +$284ROI:
-26.2% / +22.3%OU12-0-1
(4.12, 100.0%)avg total:
9.3over / under:
+$1,200 / -$1,275ROI:
+81.1% / -92.7%Comment -
H and starter='John Danks' and s:runs allowed>6 and month>4
here's how danks fares after a terrible start past the month of april.
liking the movement on the line as well so might put this in early.
for the TB/BOS game
H and p:WOW and pp:WOW and SG=2 and season>2010
fading a team starting off a series with a Walk off win after their last game was a walk off win
some queries with david price's bounceback games support BOS but not sure if this would be a good play.Last edited by nbilln; 05-24-14, 03:53 AM.Comment -
Here come 3 queries for 1 bet.
1) The Braves in a 2nd game of a home series in which they won the first game and are favorites with a line between -150 and -120 against a starter with an ERA higher than 3.0 in April, May or June since 2010:
'series game=2 and team=Braves and H and p:W and -150 < line < -120 and 7>month and season>2009 and o:STDSERA>3':
2) Mike Minor against the Rockies:6-0 (3.50, 100.0%) avg line: -139.0 / 129.0 on / against: +$600 / -$600 ROI: +71.7% / -100.0% 5-1 (2.00, 83.3%) avg line: 160.0 / -173.7 on / against: +$706 / -$775 ROI: +117.7% / -74.4% 4-2-0 (1.92, 66.7%) avg total: 7.6 over / under: +$175 / -$255 ROI: +26.9% / -38.1%
'starter=Mike Minor and o:team=Rockies'
3) The Braves hosting the Rockies with the Rockies sending out a righthanded starter with an ERA higher than 4.0 dating back to 2010:4-0 (3.75, 100.0%) avg line: -151.6 / 137.6 on / against: +$400 / -$400 ROI: +64.3% / -100.0% 2-2 (2.25, 50.0%) avg line: 123.2 / -134.2 on / against: +$57 / -$79 ROI: +14.2% / -14.7% 2-2-0 (1.00, 50.0%) avg total: 8.8 over / under: -$30 / -$25 ROI: -6.7% / -5.7%
'team=Braves and o:team=Rockies and o:STR and o:STDSERA>4 and season>2009 and H'
8-0 (4.12, 100.0%) avg line: -176.0 / 157.1 on / against: +$800 / -$800 ROI: +55.2% / -100.0% 6-2 (2.62, 75.0%) avg line: 125.2 / -137.0 on / against: +$617 / -$679 ROI: +75.5% / -61.6% 4-4-0 (0.00, 50.0%) avg total: 7.6 over / under: -$40 / -$50 ROI: -4.6% / -5.6% Last edited by posey; 05-24-14, 03:49 AM.Comment -
really loving the yanks in this spot.
team=White Sox and p:HW and pp:HW and SG=3 and line>-150 and season>2010
H and starter='John Danks' and p:W and pp:W and SG=33-11 (-2.00, 21.4%) avg line: -105.1 / -104.9 on / against: -$960 / +$890 ROI: -59.8% / +55.5% 2-12 (-2.21, 14.3%) avg line: 121.9 / -134.8 on / against: -$1,134 / +$1,094 ROI: -70.1% / +53.6% 7-6-1 (1.46, 53.8%) avg total: 8.5 over / under: +$30 / -$165 ROI: +1.9% / -10.8%
hes struggled to finish off the sweep at home AND
H and starter='John Danks' and p:WOW
cant keep the team's mojo running.
A and team=Yankees and p:L and pp:L and SG=3 and season>2009 and line<150
Yanks dont like getting swept on the road either.
team=White Sox and p:WOW and season>2009
white sox cant seem to win following a walk off win.
starter='John Danks' and p:WOW and season>2010
looks like Danks cant either.Comment -
Maybe one has thought of backing the Tigers again after yesterday's revenge against the Rangers. I stay away from it.
Continuing yesterday's bet:
The Tigers in a third consecutive home game, in which they won the previous home game against a righthanded starter after they lost the home game before by at least 7 runs:
team=Tigers and pp:margin<-6 and p:H and pp:site=home and season>2009 and po:STR and month>4 and p:W
SU: 2-6 (-1.50, 25.0%) | avg line: -144.0 / 130.7 | on / against: -$671 / +$591 | ROI: -57.5% / +69.1%
RL: 1-6 (-3.50, 14.3%) | avg line: 136.3 / -148.9 | on / against: -$488 / +$456 | ROI: -66.6% / +43.2%
OU: 4-3-0 (1.29, 57.1%) | avg total: 8.3 | over / under: +$75 / -$160 | ROI: +10.1% / -20.1%Comment -
@nbilln:
Look at this:
starter=John Danks and s:SPT>105 and s:margin<-2 and season>2010
Comment -
A query that has won 13 straight versus run line and 11-2 last 13 games straight up
playoffs = 0 and streak <= -3 and AD and SG = 2 and DIV and line<150 and p:runs<3 and p:margin=-1Comment -
Reds as host against division opponents when favored between -160 and -105 in May since 2011:
Cardinals as road dogs in division games in May since 2010:14-2 (2.12, 87.5%) avg line: -132.8 / 122.8 on / against: +$1,130 / -$1,150 ROI: +52.6% / -71.9% 10-6 (0.62, 62.5%) avg line: 164.1 / -178.7 on / against: +$1,024 / -$1,167 ROI: +64.0% / -40.8% 10-6-0 (0.75, 62.5%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$360 / -$500 ROI: +20.6% / -28.1%
2-5 (-0.71, 28.6%) avg line: 108.4 / -118.4 on / against: -$295 / +$275 ROI: -42.1% / +32.7% 3-4 (0.79, 42.9%) avg line: -191.6 / 175.7 on / against: -$445 / +$384 ROI: -33.2% / +54.9% 5-2-0 (1.21, 71.4%) avg total: 8.4 over / under: +$270 / -$365 ROI: +35.3% / -47.1%
Uh the odds have changed in my book. Now the Cards are favored.Last edited by posey; 05-24-14, 08:51 AM.Comment -
I hope that you don't mind me taking your query as an inspiration. Came up with the following:
Rivals from the same league with both having a negative winning percentage, the away team having lost at least 2, the home team having won at least 1, the away team's away winning percentage being higher than the home team's home winning percentage, the road team being a dog, since 2011 in a month after April:
8-23 (-1.94, 25.8%) avg line: 119.3 / -129.7 on / against: -$1,392 / +$1,313 ROI: -44.8% / +32.7% 16-15 (-0.73, 51.6%) avg line: -167.5 / 152.7 on / against: -$866 / +$690 ROI: -16.1% / +20.6% 17-11-3 (1.08, 60.7%) avg total: 7.7 over / under: +$485 / -$790 ROI: +14.1% / -23.3% Comment -
Cubs as road dogs in the third game of a series in which they won the first one and lost the second, with a starter who has an ERA higher than 4, dating back to 2010:
1-10 (-2.18, 9.1%) avg line: 148.5 / -163.5 on / against: -$842 / +$832 ROI: -76.5% / +44.9% 6-5 (-0.68, 54.5%) avg line: -150.2 / 137.2 on / against: -$73 / +$22 ROI: -4.6% / +2.0% 4-6-1 (-0.36, 40.0%) avg total: 8.4 over / under: -$280 / +$160 ROI: -22.6% / +13.4% Comment -
anyone else ever experience a slow response time on the Mlb database?Comment -
yes, I am too. Sometimes it's worse than this morning.Comment -
Yeah me too. Few hours ago it was way faster.Comment -
look to see how the astros do on the road after allowing 6 or more runs in a NGT game. around the 2011 mark
Comment -
-
from now on I'll email him when the server is slow, which has happened quite a few times over the past few weeks, as long as I know his email Address... I'll check for it.Comment
