JJ's Underdog System

[imotiv8]

This is JJs Underdog system...i'm starting this thread but it's going to take everyones help to keep up with plays.

It someone wants to step up and solely post plays, let me know

[imotiv8]

"How to select a series the following criteria must be met .

*Do not select teams in the first week of the regular season.
*Do not select a team for Game 1 that is in last place in their conference. This conference placing exception no longer applies after betting on Game 1.

1) Find the NBA matchups where the money line for the underdog in the selection is +500 or greater.

2) The underdog in the matchup must have a point spread of +9 or greater.

How to bet a series the following criteria must be met .

1) After you find a matchup, buy three points and bet the selection.

2) You will be betting on the series on the same team at +500. For example, let’s say the Wizards were an A-Bet at +500. The B-Bet would be when the Wizards are +500 again.

3) Recommended bankroll management strategy.
a. Game 1 of 3 (A), 1 unit
b. Game 2 of 3 (B), 3 units
c. Game 3 of 3 (C), 7 units"

[oilcountry99]

Are the wagers risk or win?

Does the line have to match exactly for each game of the chase?

Good luck

[oilcountry99]

Do you have the average ATS odds? And an ABC breakdown of the previous seasons?

[NZT-48]

Tonight's play below:


76ers (B) vs Thunder 11/13/15 - Loss


Remember this rule that was added a few yrs ago - dont bet on the worst teams in each Conference


The reasoning behind the 76ers game was a play tonight even though they are the worst team in the Eastern Conference


They were an A Bet on 11/9/15 when they didn't have the worst record in the Conference at the time


Hope all that makes sense - let me know



NZT-48

[NZT-48]

You bet the system just like JM's play

And yes certain books or websites will sometimes be close or off a 1/2 pt. or so like for ex.


The line may start off at +510 but then before the game starts it goes down to +475 so stuff like that may occur so just be weary of that


It doesnt happen to often but it can and will sometimes


According to James Jones he goes by scoresandodds.com site for final line movement to determine official plays


I hope that helps and everyone else has been doing the system as long as me or still gets the plays please chime in - to keep us all in check thanks =))



NZT-48

Are the wagers risk or win?

Does the line have to match exactly for each game of the chase?

Good luck

[imotiv8]

Tonight's play below:


76ers (B) vs Thunder 11/13/15 - Loss


Remember this rule that was added a few yrs ago - dont bet on the worst teams in each Conference
The reasoning behind the 76ers game was a play tonight even though they are the worst team in the Eastern Conference
They were an A Bet on 11/9/15 when they didn't have the worst record in the Conference at the time

NZT-48

Welcome NZT-48! Thanks!

[NZT-48]

I used to have the data for last years plays - I think I kept up with all the plays but it seems unfortunately that the file has gotten corrupted so I wont be able to share. Sorry guys.


But I do have this yrs record so far if everyone wants to see it.


Please also keep in mind that one of the things most people who have never bet this ystem have experienced before is: There can be a long delay between Bets sometimes as long as a month between an A & B Bet.


Just letting everyone is all. =))



NZT-48

Do you have the average ATS odds? And an ABC breakdown of the previous seasons?

[imotiv8]

Might have a good chance of a C bet tomorrow with Philly, they are playing Spurs at San Antonio, looking like -18 right now. We'll see

[NZT-48]

Thanks man glad to help =))

I didnt know if you wanted to add the name of the thread as being James Jones TPS (Triple Play System) unless he calls it differently now - thats what it started as being lol its all good



NZT-48

Welcome NZT-48! Thanks!

[NZT-48]

Yeah sure looks like it lol & also a play on the Nets as well


I will post tomorrow for sure on official plays or someone can post too if they want


Also to everyone reading this and following along I DO NOT have the emails being sent directly to me from JJ on this system so if something happens or is different dont beat me up b/c of it ok? lol


Just going by what I know to be true on the original pdf file of the system I got back 5 yrs ago and the updates I get from other members and of course me just following the system by myself thru the yrs


Its a good added system in my opinion just like JM's NBA Versions as well



NZT-48

Might have a good chance of a C bet tomorrow with Philly, they are playing Spurs at San Antonio, looking like -18 right now. We'll see

[imotiv8]

Yeah sure looks like it lol & also a play on the Nets as well


I will post tomorrow for sure on official plays or someone can post too if they want

NZT-48

Nope, posting is all yours buddy. Thank you

[NZT-48]

Ok cool thanks man lol - I feel like we are talking to an empty room haha

Nope, posting is all yours buddy. Thank you

[A4K]

Not sure I follow how this system works, but I'm reading.

[danhimal]

Ok cool thanks man lol - I feel like we are talking to an empty room haha

Checking in!

[Kev the Brit]

imotiv,
NZT is correct about the Game 1 exception. Its in Version 2 of the system rules and it got by me when I was searching for the pdf in my files. So:

Are you able to edit Post #2 as follows:

Under the "Select" heading:

Add new (1):
(1) Do not select teams in the first week of the regular season.

Make old (1) and (2) new (2) and (3). Add new (4)
(4) Do not select a team for Game 1 that is in last place in their conference. This conference placing exception no longer applies after betting on Game 1.

Under the "Bet" heading:
Delete (3) and make existing (4) the new (3)

I'm reluctant to post the pdf due to Intelligent Property issues. In this regard you should consider editing out any reference to the author and then simply call this the "NBA Underdog System". You might even have to delete this thread entirely and any reference to it in the JM NBA thread and start a new thread with my suggested name. Your call.

[Kev the Brit]

imotiv:
I'm about to post a daily template below, which you can use as a stand out daily notice. Are you on the east coast or west coast and would your daily routine allow you the time to get the post on the board well ahead of the game?

[imotiv8]

imotiv,
nzt is correct about the game 1 exception. Its in version 2 of the system rules and it got by me when i was searching for the pdf in my files. So:

Are you able to edit post #2 as follows:

Under the "select" heading:

add new (1):
(1) do not select teams in the first week of the regular season.

make old (1) and (2) new (2) and (3). Add new (4)
(4) do not select a team for game 1 that is in last place in their conference. This conference placing exception no longer applies after betting on game 1.

Under the "bet" heading:
delete (3) and make existing (4) the new (3)

done

[imotiv8]

imotiv:
I'm about to post a daily template below, which you can use as a stand out daily notice. Are you on the east coast or west coast and would your daily routine allow you the time to get the post on the board well ahead of the game?

Can't delete thread, but i'm thinking JJ will be ok. PM me if I missed something or you want to add something

NZT-48 will be posting. Please post daily template, if he is busy one day i'll pick up the slack and vise versa.

[danhimal]

Appreciate the collaboration guys!

[NZT-48]

Im going to go ahead and post these now even though its early in the day but these are flat out obvious plays with these lines haha so it wont matter.

76ers (C) vs Spurs 11/14/15

Nets (A) vs Warriors 11/14/15



NZT-48

[NZT-48]

Hey Kev is that Rule #1 in the new version of the pdf? B/c it isnt in my old pdf. It doesnt mention not to bet the 1st week of the season. Just confirming that with you b/c if it is the case then I may have to change up my record so far for the season. =)). You can send the pdf to me in my inbox if you like.


And yes he changed the worst team nonsense I think back in 2011.


And I wouldnt think that JJ would give a crap about posting his pdf on the board b/c he doesnt even send out pdf's anymore b/c of sites like this haha. And Im serious b/c Ive called JJ people before and asked them and thats what they told me.



NZT-48




[QUOTE=Kev the Brit;24809269]imotiv,


Add new (1):
(1) Do not select teams in the first week of the regular season.

[Kev the Brit]

Results 11/13 and Plays 11/14

Note 1: You are strongly recommended to read and understand the rules here before you play this system.

11/13 Results
(Scoresandodds.com)

Legend/Abbreviations/Definitions: won 1 unit - Series won 1 unit. lost - Bet did not win but series continues. lost -xx.xx units - Series lost stated amount. Filtered out - worst team SU in conference

#6 Philadelphia: B Bet lost. C Bet 11/14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

11/14 Plays
(All times EST)

#7 Philadelphia: C Bet to win 1 unit plus lost A & B Bet stakes
#8 Brooklyn: A Bet to win 1 unit
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Results to Date (11/9 - 11/13)
Including incomplete series

Total P/L so far (3 point buy all bets recorded @ odds -185/1.54): -3.12 units

[Kev the Brit]

Hey Kev is that Rule #1 in the new version of the pdf? B/c it isnt in my old pdf. It doesnt mention not to bet the 1st week of the season. Just confirming that with you b/c if it is the case then I may have to change up my record so far for the season. =)). You can send the pdf to me in my inbox if you like.


And yes he changed the worst team nonsense I think back in 2011.

And I wouldnt think that JJ would give a crap about posting his pdf on the board b/c he doesnt even send out pdf's anymore b/c of sites like this haha. And Im serious b/c Ive called JJ people before and asked them and thats what they told me.



NZT-48

imotiv,


Add new (1):
(1) Do not select teams in the first week of the regular season.

I've tried to send attachments by PM, but its not allowed. Please send me your email address and I will send you the pdf and some instructions on how to copy and paste the daily post

[danhimal]

Can we confirm if 76ers are a play or not? Kev has them (A) but filtered out and NZT has them listed as (C)?

[danhimal]

I'll probably hit them anyways since its a (B) on Wallco's Chase 110 but I tend to salivate more when 2+ systems agree.

[NZT-48]

Hey dan not sure what happened but yes it is indeed a C Bet - they just played last night as a B Bet vs the Thunder


And just to confirm even further if it wasnt a C Bet it certainly wouldnt be an A Bet b/c right now as we speak the 76ers are the worst team record wise in the Eastern Conf.


I hope that helps you =))



NZT-48

Can we confirm if 76ers are a play or not? Kev has them (A) but filtered out and NZT has them listed as (C)?

[Kev the Brit]

Hey dan not sure what happened but yes it is indeed a C Bet - they just played last night as a B Bet vs the Thunder


And just to confirm even further if it wasnt a C Bet it certainly wouldnt be an A Bet b/c right now as we speak the 76ers are the worst team record wise in the Eastern Conf.


I hope that helps you =))



NZT-48

I might be wrong, but I think the 76ers would not have qualified for their A Bet on Nov 9, as I think they were the worst team in their conference at the time. But, NZT knows his stuff so I'm quite happy to record the 76ers as a C Bet.

[danhimal]

Got it, thanks for the quick response!

[NZT-48]

As far as I researched which is the hardest thing about keeping track of the system is that: the 76ers at the time of the 9th were better than the Nets as of the date of the game.


Sooo could I possibly be wrong? maybe so I hope not but I think Im spot on - if I am wrong then it wouln't be an A Bet today either b/c then that would mean 76ers have the worst record in the Eastern conf.


I think we shall be fine =))



NZT-48

I might be wrong, but I think the 76ers would not have qualified for their A Bet on Nov 9, as I think they were the worst team in their conference at the time. But, NZT knows his stuff so I'm quite happy to record the 76ers as a C Bet.

[NZT-48]

Welcome man - I like how its nice and polite in here haha I hope it stays that way b/c some threads are freaking brutal haha

Got it, thanks for the quick response!

[Kev the Brit]

As far as I researched which is the hardest thing about keeping track of the system is that: the 76ers at the time of the 9th were better than the Nets as of the date of the game.


Sooo could I possibly be wrong? maybe so I hope not but I think Im spot on - if I am wrong then it wouln't be an A Bet today either b/c then that would mean 76ers have the worst record in the Eastern conf.


I think we shall be fine =))



NZT-48

I've corrected my error. Thanks NZT

[zxc]

Hey guys does anyone have the results for the previous years?

[Kev the Brit]

Results 11/14 and Plays 11/15

Note 1: You are strongly recommended to read and understand the rules here before you play this system.

11/14 Results
(Scoresandodds.com)

Legend/Abbreviations/Definitions: won 1 unit - Series won 1 unit. lost - Bet did not win but series continues. lost -xx.xx units - Series lost stated amount. Filtered out - worst team SU in conference

#7 Philadelphia: C Bet won 1 unit
#8 Brooklyn: A Bet won 1 unit
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

11/15 Plays
(All times EST)

None
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Results to Date (11/9 - 11/14)
Including incomplete series

Total P/L so far (3 point buy all bets recorded @ odds -185/1.54): +6.00 units

[NZT-48]

Winners Baby!!!!


Kev already posted thanks for that man. Sorry for my lateness. No plays today as well.


Keep in mind for this season and even in the past. A lot of the times this system doesnt need you to buy pts. Now please let me make this VERY clear you still do b/c you may need them sometimes.


But so far this season we have had 14 plays and we have 13 winners - we still have an open B Bet play on Dallas hopefully sometime later this yr. to be played yet.


Out of the 13 winners only 2 of them required you to buy any pts. So that means 11 out of the 13 winners didnt need a pt. - kind of like last night plays.


So in case anyone was wondering or asking about that there you go. Just laid it out for you to look at 11 out of 13 plays = 85% of the plays so far didnt need a pt to buy to win the game.


But please follow the system is all. That stat is for people who dont like to buy pts or maybe you are out in Vegas or something and you cant buy pts and you wanna bet on that particular game. I hope that helps =))



NZT-48