UFC Fight Night Odds: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira Betting Lines & Card Info
Want to pad that bankroll ahead of Super Bowl Sunday? Well, this weekend's UFC card is the way to go. UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira is set for Saturday, Feb. 7, at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas. We have live UFC Fight Night Odds and betting outlooks for the entire card, with key stats and insight for every fighter.
Top bantamweights Mario Bautista and Vinicius Oliveira headline a night stacked with prospects and veterans, all streaming live on Paramount+ starting with the prelims at 5 p.m. ET.
📊 UFC Fight Night odds - Main Card
Mario Bautista (16-3) vs. Vinicius Oliveira (23-3)
Mario Bautista notes:
- Back on track? Bautista had an eight-fight win streak snapped last time out, losing a decision to Umar Nurmagomedov in October
- Key stat: Lands a whopping 5.58 significant strikes per minute, coupled with a 54.09% accuracy
Vinicius Oliveira notes:
<>- Highlight reel: Sixteen of LokDog's 23 career wins have come via KO/TKO, although his last three bouts have gone to the judges
- Key stat: While Oliveira doesn't rely on submissions, he averages more takedowns/15 minutes (1.67) with more accuracy (50%) and a better takedown defense (80%) thana Bautista
🩸 Betting outlook
Bautista brings a wealth more experience, with Oliveira having only four UFC fights on his resume; however, his one-punch power and takedown defense will keep him as a live dog.
Amir Albazi (17-2) vs. Kyoji Horiguchi (35-5)
Amir Albazi notes:
- Never finished: Albazi has just two career losses (one in Brave CF, and one in UFC), both coming via decision; he's 5-0 via KO/TKO and 9-0 via submission
- Key stat: Albazi ranks in the top 10 of the flyweight division in numerous wrestling categories - not all positive - including control time (22.6%) and top position percentage (16.9%) but also bottom time (1:25) and bottom percentage (1.73%)
Kyoji Horiguchi notes:
- Back in the big show: Horiguchi had eight fights (including a title fight) between 2013-16, before leaving for Rizin & Bellator; won his UFC re-debut via submission over Tagir Ulanbekov in November
- Key stat: Horiguchi has an edge in strikes landed per minute (3.64 to 2.72), striking accuray (46% to 34%), and strikes absorbed per minute (2.26 vs. 3.71)
🩸 Betting outlook
Horiguchi should be a great position to score volume on scorecards if he's able to keep Albazi from securing a finish, which is a tough ask against someone with as much experience and cage IQ as Kyoji
Jailton Almeida (22-4) vs. Rizvan Kuniev (12-3-1)
Jailton Almeida notes:
- The replacement: Almeida was announced as a replacement for Ryan Spann on Jan. 20; he last suffered a split decision loss to Alexander Volkov in October
- Key stat: Almeida is one of the best wrestlers in the heavyweight division, with four submission wins across 10 UFC fights and a 6.66 takedown average
Rizvan Kuniev notes:
- Sad debut: Lost a split decision to Curtis Blaydes in his UFC debut in January
- Key stat: Kuniev is a giant (6-foot-4, 264 lbs) with six KO/TKO wins across 12 victories
🩸 Betting outlook
Kuniev could be live if his line creeps closer to +175 or +200 instead of its current range, he has the size and pedigree to perhaps give Almeida a run for his money. However, even on short notice, Almeida could use his superior wrestling to control his way to a victory.
Michal Oleksiejczuk (21-9) vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (17-10)
Michal Oleksiejczuk notes:
- Quick work: Oleksiejczuk enters off two straight first round KO/TKO victories last year, over Sedriques Dumas (Apriil) and Gerald Meerschaert (August)
- Key stat: Seventeen of Hussar's 21 victories have come via stoppage (three decisions pre-UFC debut in 2017), and seven of his nine losses have come via finish
Marc-Andre Barriault notes:
- Dirty boxing, dirtier results: Barriault thrived as a grind out artist, but lately, not so much: he has four losses in his last five fights, two via decision and two via first-round KO/TKO
- Key stat: His 5.70 significant strikes landed per minute often helped overwhelm opponents earlier in his career, but at 35 it seems his best days are behind him
🩸 Betting outlook
Recent results here lend to idea that this match could find its way to a very early finish, so the move here might be to look toward a quick finish
Jean Matsumoto (17-1) vs. Farid Basharat (14-0)
Jean Matsumoto notes:
- Too close to call: Matsumoto's last two fights have both ended via split decision, with his lone-career loss coming to Rob Font in Feb. 2025 and a bounce back win vs. Miles Jones in August
- Key stat: Matsumoto lands more strikes per minute (5.43 vs. 4.05) but also absorbs many, many more strikes per minute (5.43 vs. 2.47)
Farid Basharat notes:
- The undefeated: Basharat has rattled off five straight UFC wins since joining the company, improving to a perfect 14-0 (1-0 via TKO/KO, 6-0 via submission)
- Key stat: His takedown averages (accuracy, defense) don't rank him within the top 10 in the bantamweight division, but both are higher than Matsumoto
🩸 Betting outlook
Both of these fighters have regularly gone the judges throughout their UFC careers, leading to the smart play perhaps being on the Over rounds, the fight to go the distance, or Basharat by points
Dustin Jacoby (21-9-1) vs. Julius Walker (7-1)
Dustin Jacoby notes:
- Second wind: Jacoby was around the fringes of MMA, including two UFC fights, between 2010-2015 before stepping away and returning to the UFC in 2020
- Key stat: Jacoby is one of the most experienced active light heavyweights, and his 5.37 significant strikes per minute are amongst the weight class elite
Julius Walker notes:
- Size and youth: Walker may have much less experience, but at 26 years old (to Jacoby's 37 years) he has youth on his side; he stands at 6'4" (one inch taller) and has a two-inch reach advantage
- Key stat: Walker has averaged a commanding 3.50 takedowns per 15 across his two UFC fights, which could nullify Jacoby's advantage on the feet
🩸 Betting outlook
This might be a spot to focus on live betting: if Walker looks to be able to get takedowns, jump on the underdog early.
📊 UFC Fight Night odds - Prelims
🔍️ Find the best odds for every bet
Search the best UFC betting sites for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.
Alex Morono (24-12) vs. Daniil Donchenko (13-2)
Bruna Brasil (11-5-1) vs. Ketlen Souza (15-6)
Said Nurmagomedov (18-5) vs. Javid Basharat (14-2)
Wang Cong (8-1) vs. Eduarda Moura (12-1)
Muin Gafurov (20-6) vs. Jakub Wiklacz (17-3-2)
Klaudia Sygula (7-2) vs. Priscila Cachoeira (13-7)
📺 Where to watch UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
- Date: Saturday, Feb. 7
- Start times: 5 p.m. ET (prelims), 8 p.m. ET (main card)
- Location: Meta APEX (Las Vegas)
- TV: Paramount+
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