FIFA World Cup 2026 Odds: Spain the Favorites With 42 of 48 Nations Confirmed
Before you know it, we'll be watching World Cup odds favorite Spain at the most-watched sporting event on the planet.
Spain will look to replicate its winning performance from 2010, while England, with the second-shortest odds, hopes to be crowned the world's best for the first time in 60 years. Will it be one of the juggernauts, or is a fairytale story on the horizon? My World Cup 2026 soccer picks below include the updated odds, a winner's prediction and an intriguing long-shot play.
🏆 FIFA World Cup 2026 odds
Odds provided by FanDuel, one of the best sports betting sites.
| Team | Odds | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | +440 | 18.52% | $44 |
| England | +600 | 14.29% | $60 |
| France | +700 | 12.50% | $70 |
| Argentina | +750 | 11.76% | $75 |
| Brazil | +750 | 11.76% | $75 |
| Portugal | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Germany | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| Netherlands | +1900 | 5% | $190 |
| Norway | +3000 | 3.23% | $300 |
| Italy | +3000 | 3.23% | $300 |
🇪🇸 FIFA World Cup 2026 odds favorite: Spain
Spain is the No. 1-ranked team in the world and the World Cup odds favorite. That has been the case since World Cup qualifying began two years ago. Nothing has changed, and nothing will on that front in the lead-up to the tournament.
Not only is La Roja stacked at every position, but it also has breakout superstar, 18-year-old Lamine Yamal and 2024 Ballon d'Or winner Rodri anchoring the midfield. The Spaniards enter the tournament as the defending European champions after beating England in the Euro 2024 final.
It took 16 of a possible 18 points in qualifying, topping Group E. While this team will be significantly different than previous iterations, La Roja must exorcise recent World Cup demons. It hasn't advanced past the Round of 16 since winning World Cup 2010.
Then again, I'm sure the Three Lions would prefer that scenario to the one they face. Spain's World Cup odds are +440 at FanDuel, implying an 18.52% win probability. A winning $10 bet would yield a $44 profit.
🏴 FIFA World Cup 2026 winner prediction: England
If 60 years seems like a lifetime, it's because it basically is. The Three Lions look to win their first World Cup since 1966 and 2026 represents the best chance of scraping that decomposing monkey from their back.
England was the most impressive European team in qualification, winning all eight matches without conceding a goal in an admittedly weaker Group K. Like Spain, England is chock-full of top-tier talent at every position, with bundles of depth if injuries become a concern.
They have arguably the world's most lethal attacking contingent, led by captain Harry Kane, Phil Foden, Jude Bellingham, and Bukayo Saka.
It has one of the best defensive midfielders in Declan Rice, along with a shrewd manager, Thomas Tuchel, who has done his fair share of winning at the club level.
Kane is scoring for fun with Bayern Munich, and the 2026 World Cup will represent his last at the zenith of his goal-scoring power. Making the final in consecutive European Championships, along with the semifinal at World Cup 2018, England has built up the requisite callouses to jump the final hurdle.
The best sports betting sites have reached a consensus, offering +600 odds. A winning $10 bet will profit $60.
🇪🇨 FIFA World Cup 2026 best long shot: Ecuador
Ecuador poses one of the most intriguing long-shot plays. It finished second in CONMEBOL World Cup qualification, behind only Argentina. CONMEBOL's 18-match qualification is the most grueling and challenging path to securing a spot in the World Cup.
Ecuador navigated it masterfully, losing twice and finishing above perennial contenders and powerhouses Brazil, Colombia, and Uruguay. That inspirational quest was mainly thanks to boasting one of the world's best collective defenses.
La Tricolor allowed five goals in 18 matches, never conceding more than one. And it defeated Argentina 1-0 at home.
Its odds to shock the world range from +6600 to +10000, with the latter offered by DraftKings and bet365. Those odds imply a measly 0.99% win probability. If it pulls off the miraculous, a winning $10 bet would yield a $1,000 profit.
❓FIFA World Cup 2026 FAQ
Who is the favorite to win the World Cup?
Spain is the World Cup odds favorite, with odds of +440 at FanDuel. Those odds imply an 18.52% win probability.
Who won the last World Cup?
Lionel Messi and Argentina won the the last World Cup.
Where is the 2026 World Cup?
Canada, Mexico, and the United States will host the 2026 World Cup, with 16 cities holding matches.
When is the 2026 World Cup?
The 2026 World Cup is set to run from June 11, 2026, until July 19, 2026.
How to bet on World Cup 2026
Your first port of call is to sign up for one of the best sports betting apps.
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