⚽ Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid Prediction: Picks for Wednesday's Champions League Match
The stakes will be high when European heavyweights Bayern Munich and Real Madrid clash in the second leg of their Champions League quarterfinal matchup. After Bayern won 2-1 on the road, our Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid prediction examines the visitors' chances of pulling off an upset, with kickoff from the Allianz Arena in Munich set for 3 p.m. ET (streaming on Paramount+).
Real Madrid will be hoping for a Champions League miracle, as they enter the game as a +380 betting underdog against a Bayern side favored to win at -185 odds. My Champions League best bets expect the game to be high scoring and for Kylian Mbappe to stay hot.
⚽ Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid predictions
See our experts' soccer picks based on the latest Champions League odds:
| Predictions | Best odds | Bet size | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich ML | -185 via DraftKings | 1 unit -> 0.5 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 2.5 goals | -380 via DraftKings | 2 units -> 0.53 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Both teams to score | -265 via bet365 | 2 units -> 0.8 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Kylian Mbappe anytime goal-scorer | +125 via FanDuel | 0.5 units -> 0.63 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 5.5 units | Max profit: 2.46 units
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💰 Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid best bet
I also back the favorite to win with my Arsenal vs. Sporting CP prediction.
Bayern Munich ML (-185)
Bayern Munich can further cement their place as the best team in the world if they knock out 15-time European champions Real Madrid in Wednesday's Champions League quarterfinal.
Although Kylian Mbappe's goal gave Real Madrid hope, the Spanish side's chances of pulling off the upset in Germany seem dismal. The Allianz Arena has been an extremely difficult stadium for visiting teams, as Bayern have only lost once in 20 games there this season, while winning all of their Champions League games at home.
Considering that Real Madrid have struggled to keep a clean sheet of late, especially without injured goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois, don't be surprised if Bayern Munich add to their lead en route to a decisive aggregate victory.
Score prediction: Bayern Munich 3, Real Madrid 2 (Bayern win 5-3 on aggregate)
🔥 Best Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid prop bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Both teams to score (-265)
This could be one of the games of the season for neutral fans. But for supporters of Real Madrid and Bayern Munich, it could be 90 minutes of torture.
We're backing this game to unfold similarly to the last eight meetings between Bayern and Real Madrid when both teams scored at least one goal.
Bayern Munich have evolved into a scoring machine under Vincent Kompany, recently smashing the Bundesliga scoring record by scoring 105 goals with five games left. But they've shown signs of defensive vulnerability in the Champions League, conceding in all but two of their 11 Champions League games.
As we're expecting Real Madrid to come out firing to start the game, the second leg game has the potential to be an entertaining match featuring plenty of opportunities at both ends of the field as these two European giants go toe-to-toe.
🙌 Best Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid goal-scorer prediction
Kylian Mbappe, Real Madrid (+125)
Kylian Mbappe needs to have a big day if Real Madrid have any hope of keeping their Champions League campaign alive.
After scoring in the first leg, Mbappe will be relied on heavily again to continue his impressive scoring run on the road, where the French striker has scored nine of his 14 Champions League goals. He could also become the first player in Champions League history to record 10 away goals if he finds the back of the net Wednesday.
Mbappe, who is just three goals away from equalling Cristiano Ronaldo's record (17) for most goals scored in a single Champions League season, is in a great position to score again given that he's the team's designated penalty taker and the attacking focal point for a Real Madrid side that will play aggressively.
🚀 Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid same-game parlay
We've gone with a highly correlated set of bets for this "safe" single-game parlay. The probability of all of these bets hitting depends on both defenses struggling in a high-scoring game that features a goal by Kylian Mbappe for the visitors. If Mbappe scores, we'll be well on our way to a winning ticket.
💵 Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid SGP picks
- Over 2.5 goals (-380)
- Both teams to score (-265)
- Kylian Mbappe anytime goal-scorer (+125)
Best odds: +152 DraftKings (2 units -> 3.4 units)
⚖️ How I'm handicapping Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid
Real Madrid avoided getting shutout on home soil, but it's hard to envision them moving on in the Champions League against a Bayern Munich team that's outscoring opponents 16-3 in the competition.
Injuries to key Real Madrid players also don't help, as Thibaut Courtois remains sidelined with an injury and midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni is suspended for the second leg.
Real Madrid's desperation could leave them open at the back, potentially leading to Bayern Munich adding to their advantage.
Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid key stats
| Bayern Munich | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 34 (11 games) | 30 (13 games) |
| Goals against | 11 | 16 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 |
| Shots on target | 85 | 89 |
📊 Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid odds
The betting world seems convinced that Bayern Munich will hold on and advance to the semifinals. But we're not writing off Real Madrid just yet. The betting lines have stayed consistent since they were released, but Real Madrid have proved in the past that they're capable of pulling off a Champions League comeback when the odds are against them.
🆚 Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid projected lineups
Here are Wednesday's projected lineups for Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid; lineups subject to change:
| Bayern Munich | Real Madrid |
|---|---|
| Neuer | Lunin |
| Laimer | Carreras |
| Tah | Huijsen |
| Upamecano | Rüdiger |
| Stanisic | Alexander-Arnold |
| Pavlovic | Guler |
| Kimmich | Camavinga |
| Díaz | Bellingham |
| Gnabry | Valverde |
| Olise | Vinicius Junior |
| Kane | Mbappe |
📈 Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid betting trends
| Bayern Munich | Statistic | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 10-0-1 | Season record | 9-0-4 |
| 12-4-13 | H2H record | 13-4-12 |
| W-W-W-W-W | Last 5 games | W-W-L-L-D |
| Won 5-0 vs. St. Pauli | Previous result | Draw 1-1 with Girona |
| Bayern Munich have only beaten Real Madrid once in both legs of a knockout-round tie (2000-01). | Key stat | Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last four away games against Bayern Munich. |
Bayern Munich are playing their best football when it matters most. After beating Real Madrid 2-1 at the intimidating Santiago Bernabeu, Vincent Kompany's side went on to trounce St. Pauli 5-1 to solidify their lead atop the Bundesliga table. The Bavarians are 12 points clear of second-placed Borussia Dortmund.
Meanwhile, Real Madrid slumped to another disappointing result, drawing Girona 1-1. With Barcelona winning their La Liga match and extending their lead to nine points, the Champions League is Real Madrid's best chance for silverware this season.
🌤️ Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid weather
It's set to be a cloudy evening with the temperature going as low as 45. There's little chance of rain, so the pitch should be relatively normal for the game. Ideal conditions, really.
📺 How to watch Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Wednesday, April 15
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Allianz Arena (Munich)
- TV: Streaming on Paramount+
❓ Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid FAQ
Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid?
Bayern Munich are a -185 betting favorite against Real Madrid on Wednesday.
What is the best Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid bet?
The best bets for Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid include Kylian Mbappe to score (+125).
Where to watch Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid in the US and Canada?
You can watch Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid on Paramount+ in the United States, or stream the game on DAZN in Canada.
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