Premier League Best Bets for Matchday 15: Matchups, Odds, Picks, Predictions
Manchester United keep finding their rhythm, while Leeds’ massive upset saved Jesse Marsch’s job for one more day. Read on for that and more with our Premier League odds and best bets.
A thrashing of Nottingham Forest kept Arsenal atop the table. Meanwhile, Tottenham avoided a scare from Bournemouth to stay in the top four.
Here are our best bets for the Matchday 15 Premier League slate (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, Pointsbet, and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Premier League Matchday 15 Schedule and Odds
(odds via DraftKings)
- Manchester City (-800) vs. Fulham (+1900)
- Wolves (+230) vs Brighton (+130)
- Leeds (-135) vs. Bournemouth (+370)
- Nottingham Forest (+175) vs. Brentford (+160)
- Everton (+145) vs. Leicester (+205)
- Chelsea (+165) vs. Arsenal (+170)
- Southampton (+300) vs. Newcastle (-110)
- Aston Villa (+240) vs. Manchester United (+115)
- West Ham (-110) vs. Crystal Palace (+320)
- Tottenham (+225) vs. Liverpool (+115)
Premier League Matchday 15 Best Bets
- Moneyline: Brighton (+130 via DraftKings)
- Total: Tottenham-Liverpool Over 3.5 goals (+176 via FanDuel)
- Upset: Arsenal (+170 via DraftKings)
- Prop bet: Callum Wilson to score (+150 via FanDuel)
- Parlay: Manchester City ML + Phil Foden to score (+130 via DraftKings) ★★★
Premier League Top Picks
Moneyline: Brighton (+130) ★★★★
Leandro Trossard has scored seven goals on 4.2 expected goals this season. He's averaging 0.63 goals per 90 minutes and has scored in both of Brighton’s last two matches against Manchester City and Chelsea.
Wolves have won just one of their last seven matches, and that was against bottom-dwellers Nottingham Forest. They've scored just three goals since Sept. 17.
Brighton have recent wins over Chelsea and Manchester United, and they've played tough against Tottenham and Liverpool.
Wolves' shaky offense and defense that is allowing 1.46 goals per game is no match for Brighton.
Spread: Leicester -0.25 (+145) vs. Everton
Despite sitting 18th, Leicester are showing signs of improvement after winning two of their last three games. They've also allowed just one goal against across their last four matches.
Harvey Barnes and James Maddison have combined for 10 goals this season, and Jamie Vardy finally broke his scoring drought against Wolves during a 4-0 win.
Meanwhile, Everton have secured one victory over their last five games, scoring four goals during that span. They've also notched just a single multi-goal win this campaign. Leicester have found their confidence and will keep it close against Everton.
Total: Tottenham-Liverpool Over 3.5 (+176) ★★★
Liverpool have failed to score against Tottenham just once in their last 20 meetings. Meanwhile, the Reds have conceded the first goal eight times this season, the third-worst record in the Premier League.
Tottenham are averaging two goals per game this season, while Liverpool are averaging 1.92 goals per contest.
Liverpool are looking to win for the first time in three matches, and with Mohamed Salah finding his confidence, it is sure to be a high-scoring match between the two teams.
Upset: Arsenal (+170) ★★★★
Chelsea may be favored in the match due to home-field advantage, but Arsenal have the advantage in this fixture under manager Mikel Arteta. The Gunners have won their last two matches at Stamford Bridge.
Arsenal are coming off a 5-0 win against Forest to boost their confidence after a subpar performance against Southampton. They're averaging 2.5 goals per game, with Gabriel Jesus producing 6.8 expected goals and Martinelli contributing 2.8.
The Blues, meanwhile, are coming off a 4-1 loss to Brighton in which they scored two own goals.
League-leaders Arsenal may slip up as the season progresses, but it won't be this weekend.
Prop bet: Wilson to score (+150) ★★★★
Newcastle have stretched their undefeated streak to eight games, and a 4-0 performance against Aston Villa was kicked off by two goals by Wilson followed by efforts from Joelinton and Miguel Almiron.
Wilson has six goals (on six expected goals) and two assists. He's scoring 0.74 goals per 90 minutes for the Magpies.
Playing against a Southampton team that has allowed 20 goals this season, an average of 1.54 per game, Newcastle will get help from Wilson to bring their undefeated streak to nine.
Parlay: Manchester City ML + Foden to score (+130) ★★★
Erling Haaland is taking City by storm with 17 goals, but Phil Foden has quietly tallied six goals (3.3 expected goals) and four assists this season.
City are averaging 3.08 goals per game while allowing just 0.92, which has them once again firmly entrenched in the title picture. However, they're coming off a lackluster 1-0 win over 18th-place Leicester.
Meanwhile, Fulham are playing above their Championship level. They sit seventh in the league thanks to the efforts of striker Aleksandar Mitrovic. However, they've also conceded 22 this season.
With Haaland’s status in question for the game, Foden will be looking to capitalize on a Fulham team that has won just two of its last six games.
Where to Bet on Premier League Picks
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Premier League odds and best bets from 11/04/2022 at 2:19 p.m. ET.
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