Man City vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Picks & Odds: Champions League Matchday 4 Best Bets
My Man City vs. Borussia Dortmund prediction for Wednesday's match at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester (3 p.m. ET, DAZN) analyzes the chances of the home betting favorite winning in a match with at least three goals.
City is the massive -225 betting favorite to secure all three points. My Champions League best bets also include Erling Haaland, who looks to continue his near-unprecedented goal-scoring form.
⚽ Man City vs. Borussia Dortmund predictions
Soccer picks for Wednesday; odds subject to change.
- Game pick: Man City ML & Over 2.5 combined goals (-125 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 2.5 goals (-235 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
- Player prop bet: Erling Haaland 2+ goals (+240 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
👇️ See more SBR!
Want to make sure SBR shows up often in your Google search results and Discover feed? Simply click here and add Sportsbook Review as one of your "source preferences".
🆚 Who will win Man City vs. Borussia Dortmund?
⚽️ Man City to extend winning run against German opponents
Man City has won 11 straight home matches against German opponents, which I expect will extend to 12.
✅ Man City vs. Borussia Dortmund best bet
⬆️ Man City ML & Over 2.5 combined goals (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
City prepares for Wednesday's match knowing Rodri will be fit and available. That's an enormous boost for a Man City side that has won 11 consecutive matches at the Etihad Stadium against German opponents.
Pep Guardiola's side has won five in a row at home, including a 2-0 victory over Napoli in their lone Champions League match this season in Manchester.
They suffered just one defeat in the previous 12 matches, showing cursory signs of recapturing their status as Europe's best team.
Borussia Dortmund, meanwhile, are scoring for fun in the Champions League, with 12 goals in three matches. Only PSG has scored more (13). The German side hasn't been as impressive at the back, conceding seven times, including four against Juventus in Turin.
It has allowed six goals in two away matches, which bodes well for a Man City side that has no shortage of scoring options, including the world's most prolific scorer this season. Erling Haaland scored the only time he faced his former side in Manchester.
BetMGM offers the best price (-125) on this combo play, where a successful $10 wager will profit $8.
💰 Best Man City vs. Borussia Dortmund player prop bet
Our player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
🔥 Erling Haaland 2+ goals (+240) ⭐⭐⭐
Haaland to score one goal is too expensive, with odds of -200 being the best you'll find. A winning $10 bet at those odds, which imply a 66.67% probability, would elicit a $5 profit.
So, I'm adding a goal to the Norwegian's final tally. So far this season, he scored two goals in five of 10 Premier League matches and bagged a brace in one of three in the Champions League.
The 25-year-old has 16 multi-goal games in 51 Champions League matches, a rate of 31.3%. That's just slightly higher than the 29.41% implied probability these +240 odds at DraftKings represent. I backed a pair of Europe's top strikers to score in my Liverpool vs. Real Madrid prediction and PSG vs. Bayern Munich prediction.
If Haaland bags two or more, you'll earn a $24 profit on a $10 bet.
📊 Man City vs. Borussia Dortmund odds
Champions League odds updated live in real time.
Man City vs. Borussia Dortmund odds analysis
Borussia Dortmund opened as the +625 betting underdog. That line has since shortened to +500. That's partly due to Man City's up-and-down form to start the season. City is the -227 betting favorite, which has lengthened from the opening line of -263.
📈 Man City vs. Borussia Dortmund form & trends
| Man City | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Last game | W, 2-0 Valencia | W, 4-2 Copenhagen |
| Last 5 form | WDW | WWD |
| Head-to-head record | 3W, 2T, 1L | 1W, 2T, 3L |
📺 How to watch Man City vs. Borussia Dortmund
- Date: Wednesday, Nov. 5
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Where: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
- Weather: 54 °F, 8-mph to 12-mph winds, 40% PoP
- TV: DAZN, Paramount+
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
Related Articles
