Liverpool vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks & Odds Today: Champions League Matchday 4 Best Bets
My Liverpool vs. Real Madrid prediction today breaks down the matchup on Tuesday between two European soccer giants. Kickoff is at 3 p.m. ET from Anfield in Liverpool, England (3 p.m. ET, DAZN).
My Champions League best bets expect a low-scoring game, backing Under 3.5 goals, but target the in-form Kylian Mbappe to get on the scoresheet for a third time in four matches. Both teams are at near even-money odds to win ahead of this marquee matchup.
⚽ Liverpool vs. Real Madrid predictions
Soccer picks for Tuesday; odds subject to change.
- Game pick: Tie (+290 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 3.5 goals (-128 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop bet: Kylian Mbappe anytime goal (-105 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
👇️ See more SBR!
Want to make sure SBR shows up often in your Google search results and Discover feed? Simply click here and add Sportsbook Review as one of your "source preferences".
🆚 Who will win Liverpool vs. Real Madrid?
⚽️ Liverpool, Real Madrid to share the spoils
While draws are rare at Anfield in the Champions League, I expect both teams to leave with a share of the spoils. Real Madrid has a 100% record through three matches. However, they face a Liverpool side that, despite a poor run of form, almost never loses at home in this competition.
Score prediction: Liverpool 1 - 1 Real Madrid
✅ Liverpool vs. Real Madrid best bet
⬇️ Under 3.5 (-128) ⭐⭐⭐
Liverpool has struggled defensively recently, allowing at least two goals in five of the previous eight matches in all competitions. However, Arne Slot's rearguard has been more reliable in the Champions League, conceding only once in two of three matches.
These pivotal European nights are also usually reserved for more defensive matchups, despite both teams' embarrassment of attacking riches. Only one of their previous five meetings had more than three goals, an uncharacteristic seven-goal thriller in 2023.
Two of Los Blancos' three Champions League tilts had three goals or fewer, with the 5-0 victory over the palpably inferior Kazakhstan side Kairat Almaty the only exception.
Liverpool showed signs of recapturing its hard-to-score-against identity from previous seasons against an in-form Aston Villa side on the weekend, securing its first clean sheet in 11 matches.
I'm expecting both teams to score in a 1-1 draw. If one team prevails, a score of 2-1 feels like the most apt outcome. A winning $10 bet at FanDuel, which provides the best value (-128), will profit $7.81 on a winning $10 bet. The -128 odds imply a 56.14% probability.
Looking for a team that I think will capture all three points? My matchday 4 expert picks cover a couple of moneyline plays.
💰 Best Liverpool vs. Real Madrid player prop bet
Our player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
🔥 Kylian Mbappe goal (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Mbappe leads the competition with five goals, tied with Harry Kane. He made the most of a soft spot in the schedule, bagging a hat trick against Kairat Almaty. He scored a brace in the opener against Marseille and has 18 goals in 14 Champions League and La Liga matches.
He's on an eight-match goal-scoring streak in La Liga and netted in all but two of 14 matches in all competitions. Of the best sports betting sites, FanDuel offers the best odds (-105), providing a $9.52 profit on a $10 winning bet. bet365 provides the least value (-139), and its odds would profit $7.19 on the same bet.
📊 Liverpool vs. Real Madrid odds
Champions League odds updated live in real time.
Liverpool vs. Real Madrid odds analysis
Real Madrid opened as the +230 betting underdog, with Liverpool the +105 betting favorite. However, Liverpool's poor recent form has seen its odds lengthen to +155. Real Madrid's odds shortened to +145, making it the marginal betting favorite at BetMGM, a rare occurrence at Anfield.
📈 Liverpool vs. Real Madrid form & trends
| Liverpool | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Last game | W (2-0 vs. Aston Villa) | W (4-0 vs. Valencia) |
| Last 5 form | WLLWL | WWWWW |
📺 How to watch Liverpool vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Tuesday, Nov. 4
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Where: Anfield (Liverpool)
- Weather: 55 degrees, 15 mph winds to 23 mph, 40% PoP
- TV: DAZN, Peacock
💡 Champions League expert picks
- Champions League predictions for Matchday 4
- PSG vs. Bayern Munich prediction
- Liverpool vs. Real Madrid prediction
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
Related Articles
