England vs. France Odds, Picks, Predictions: Goals Galore as Kane, Mbappe Face Off
England and France will go head-to-head for a spot in the semifinals of the World Cup. Here is our top World Cup pick for England-France.
Two of Europe’s top teams headline the quarterfinal stage in Qatar. This will be the third World Cup meeting between England and France, with the Three Lions winning both previous encounters. They have never faced each other in the knockout stages of the competition.
France have only lost one of their last eight meetings with England across all competitions (five wins, two draws). The stars will be on show on Saturday, most notably this tournament’s top scorer Kylian Mbappe and the golden boot winner from Russia 2018, Harry Kane.
England are looking to win three consecutive World Cup matches for the first time since 1990. France are unbeaten in the 13 games that Mbappe has started in the World Cup and European Championships combined.
Here is our best England vs. France World Cup pick (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out our World Cup best bets.
England vs. France Game Info
- Date: Saturday, Dec. 10, 2 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX, Telemundo
- Location: Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor, Qatar
- Weather: 68 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 14-mph winds
England vs. France Odds Analysis
This is too close a match to call, even for the bookmakers. All sportsbooks have France as slight favorites. The moneyline is tight, with DraftKings, FanDuel, and Caesars pricing the French at +150. BetMGM have the lowest ML odds on the reigning champions at +135. England are as high as +200 at BetMGM and PointsBet.
The spread is 0.5 with England the underdogs. DraftKings have the best price for the Three Lions ATS at -175. France are +150 ATS, but the value SU is just as good without having the goal to make up.
England have only conceded two goals all tournament and kept clean sheets in each of their last three matches. France have been scored against in every game this World Cup. With the firepower on show in this match, the Over is the play on Saturday. The total is 2.5 goals with FanDuel offering the best price at +112. BetMGM is as low as +100, with others offering +105.
England vs. France Pick
Over 2.5 goals ★★★★★
Gareth Southgate and England will have a plan for Mbappe, but world-class talent always find a way to influence games. It’s not all about one player though. France’s all-time leading scorer, Olivier Giroud, has netted three goals already this tournament. France have never lost a World Cup match in which Giroud has started, winning 10 of 11.
Before the quarterfinals, no team had scored more goals in Qatar than England (12). Eight different players have scored for the Three Lions at this tournament, which is the biggest spread of goalscorers England have ever had at a single World Cup. Heading into the quarterfinals, only Portugal’s Bruno Fernandes had as many assists as Harry Kane (3).
Both teams are huge threats going forward, therefore neither side can afford to sit back and soak up pressure. There will be openings and there will be goals. This match could be an instant classic, and we could be cashing in on the Over.
England vs. France Best Odds
FanDuel (+112)
| FanDuel | DraftKings | Caesars | PointsBet | BetMGM |
| +112 | +105 | +105 | +105 | +100 |
England have scored 12 goals in their four games at the 2022 World Cup, their joint-most at a single major tournament (World Cup and European Championships), having also scored 12 at the 2018 World Cup. Southgate is looking to become the first England manager to guide the nation to two World Cup semi-finals, having reached the final four in 2018.
Not only is Mbappe the tournament’s leading scorer (5), no other player has had more attempts at goal than the Frenchman (20). Of all the quarterfinalists, only Portugal (5) had conceded more goals than France (4). We’ve got the leading scorers out of the final eight teams against the second-worst defense.
There’s a lot of value in FanDuel’s price. Their odds offer so much more than the other books with this play. This match has the defending champions against the European runners-up. There will elite attackers on show for both sides and each team can score when going behind. The total could be hit before halftime.
Where to Bet on England vs. France
Here are our best World Cup betting sites:
England vs. France picks made 12/09/2022 at 12 p.m. ET.
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