Eurovision Odds & Favorites 2025: Sweden Favored With Semifinals Set to Begin

The 2025 Eurovision Song Contest semifinals are about to start, and Sweden remains on top as the favorite.
Eurovision odds 2025
Pictured: Kaj on the turquoise carpet during the opening ceremony of the Eurovision Song Contest in Switzerland. Photo by Sander Koning/ANP/Sipa USA.

The delightfully colorful Eurovision is almost set to return to our lives with its pulsating beats and creative costumes, and one of our best sports betting sites is featuring Eurovision odds.

It's been a long road to the main event in Switzerland, with 37 countries submitting a song for the 2025 contest. The process of shrinking the field begins tomorrow during the first of two semifinals. The next round goes on Thursday, and then only 10 countries will remain for the grand finale on Saturday.

Sweden is still the sizable favorite by the odds at -125, representing an implied win probability of 55.56%. However, Austria is closing in fast, with its odds shortening from +440 to +270 over the past two weeks.

πŸ“Š Eurovision odds 2025

The Eurovision odds to win the song contest in 2025 are from FanDuel Ontario.

Country Odds (FanDuel) Implied probability Profit ($10 bet)
Sweden -125 55.56% $8
Austria +270 27.03% $27
France +1200 7.69% $120
Israel +1900 5% $190
Belgium +2600 3.70% $260
Finland +2600 3.70% $260
Netherlands +2900 3.33% $290
Switzerland +4500  2.17% $450
Estonia +4700 2.08% $470
Malta +5500 1.79% $550

πŸ₯‡ Eurovision odds favorite

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden Eurovision odds (-125)

Sweden is just one year removed from winning Europe's song contest. That's when Loreen took home the honor for her country with "Tattoo."

Now KAJ is representing the Swedes with the stage-thumping banger "Bara Badu Bastu."

Sweden is a Eurovision powerhouse and is tied with Ireland for the most wins (seven) in the history of a competition that's been going since 1956. But unlike Ireland, the success of the Swedes has been more recent, with three of the nation's triumphs coming since 2012.

However, Sweden could face a challenge from the fast-rising Austria, with that country's odds shortening dramatically after moving from +1900 in March to +270 as the competition nears.

A $10 wager on Sweden would lead to a profit of just $8 at these odds from FanDuel.

Best odds: -125 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 55.56%

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πŸ‘€ Eurovision country to watch

πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Netherlands Eurovision odds (+2900)

Although there are some dominant countries in Eurovision like Sweden and France, long shots frequently ascend the ranks, too. We only need to glance back to last year when Switzerland was getting +700 odds entering the final after the field had been reduced, and Nemo's hit "The Code"  still eventually prevailed.

Now we look to the Netherlands, which was in the top five a few weeks ago while getting +1600 odds, but the Dutch have since fallen to seventh by the odds at +2900. But similar to Sweden, the Netherlands boasts an established history of success at this event after winning it five times, with the last in 2019.

A $10 wager on the Netherlands would lead to a $290 profit.

Best odds: +2900 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 3.33%

πŸ“œ Recent Eurovision winners

Year Country Artist Song
2024 Switzerland Nemo The Code
2023 Sweden Loreen Tattoo
2022 Ukraine Kalush Orchestra Stefania
2021 Italy Maneskin Zitti E Buoni
2019 Netherlands Duncan Laurence Arcade
2018 Israel Toy Netta
2017 Portugal Salvador Sobral Amar Pelos Dois
2016 Ukraine Jamala 1944
2015 Sweden Mans Zelmerlow Heroes
2014 Austria Conchita Wurst Rise Like a Phoenix

*Eurovision wasn't held during 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic

❓Eurovision odds FAQ

What is Eurovision?

Eurovision is an international song contest in which each participating country submits an original song. It's been running since 1956.

This year, 37 countries submitted entries, with 31 moving on to the semifinals.

Which country is the favorite to win Eurovision this year?

Sweden is the favorite at -125, which leads to an implied probability of 55.56%.

Which country won Eurovision last year?

Switzerland won Eurovision last year with "The Code" by Nemo. It was a significant upset, as the country entered the final round getting odds as long as +700 (an implied probability of 12.50%), while Croatia sat around -130.

Where will Eurovision be held this year?

Eurovision will be held in Basel, Switzerland.

When is Eurovision this year?

The two semifinals for Eurovision will be held on May 13 and 15, with the final on May 17.

How does judging for Eurovision work?

Judging is split between a jury of music professionals and the public. The latter can submit their vote through a phone call, text message, or through the official contest app.

🎢 Best Eurovision betting sites

Want to bet on Eurovision 2025? Check out the best sports betting apps and best sportsbook promos for the competition:

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* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
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