USA vs. Italy Prediction & Best Bets Today: Olympic Women's Hockey Quarterfinal Preview

The knockout stage begins in Milan - I break down why Italy might actually cover the massive 7.5-goal spread against team USA.
Hayley Scamurra - who highlights our USA vs. Italy predictions - of Team United States celebrates after scoring a goal.
Pictured: Hayley Scamurra - who highlights our USA vs. Italy predictions - of Team United States celebrates after scoring a goal. Photo by: James Lang-Imagn Images
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It's time for "win or go home" hockey, and we start with a David vs. Goliath story as I drop my best USA vs. Italy predictions for the women's Olympic hockey quarterfinals.

Both teams enter this game playing solid hockey, but it's the host nation that is a massive 7.5-goal underdog. Can they cover against juggernaut Team USA? Let's dig in. 


🏒 USA vs. Italy prediction: Olympic women's hockey

Our expert Olympic hockey picks are based on the latest betting odds at the best sports betting sites.

Bet type Bet Best odds Confidence Units
Puck line Italy +7.5 -130 via FanDuel  ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ 1u
Total Under 7.5 +100 via BetMGM ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 0.3u
Player prop Taylor Heise anytime goal-scorer +130 via FanDuel ⭐⭐⭐ 0.3u

💰 USA vs. Italy best bet: Italy +7.5 (-130)

Although Team USA will almost certainly win this game, asking them to cover 7.5 goals is absolutely absurd - it's one of the largest hockey spreads I've seen in 15 years of betting. Yes, Team USA extended its historic Olympic preliminary dominance to 25-0-0-3 all-time, and is deserving of this spread, don't get me wrong, but Italy's ability to get past the preliminary round is a historic achievement for the country. I'm giving them the benefit of the doubt to cover the spread as the host nation - it's too steep of a hill to climb against a team that will be playing a defensive shell from opening puck drop.

Score prediction: USA 8, Italy 1 

🏒 Line movement

The line opened up as Team USA -6.5 and has since moved to -7.5 as money came pouring in on Team USA. The time to pounce on Italy is now.


🔥 Best prop bet: Taylor Heise anytime goal-scorer (+130)

Heise isn't your prototypical goal-scorer by any means, but in a game that is projected to feature seven or eight goals from Team USA, the value we're getting here needs to be taken advantage of. Heise already has a goal in these Olympics, and will get the ice time necessary to give us plenty of opportunities to cash this one.


📺 How to watch USA vs. Italy

  • Date: Friday, Feb. 13
  • Puck drop: 3:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Milano Rho Ice Hockey Arena (Milan, Italy)
  • TV: Peacock

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