Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Player Props: Game 6 Odds & NHL Expert Picks for Friday, May 16

Last Updated: May 16, 2025 3:46 PM EDT • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link

It's a must-win situation for the Toronto Maple Leafs tonight when they face elimination at the hands of the Florida Panthers. Puck drop at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Fla., is at 8 p.m. (ET, TNT).
We're rolling with two Maple Leafs vs. Panthers player props and NHL picks for Game 6, including a plus-money play on a forward who has been a thorn in the Maple Leafs' side for years. After being thumped 6-1 in Game 5, the Maple Leafs are significant underdogs at our best sports betting sites.
🏒 Best Maple Leafs vs. Panthers player prop bets: Game 6
✅ Sam Bennett Over 0.5 points (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Brad Marchand Over 0.5 points (+105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🥅 Our best NHL player props for Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
🔎 Our NEW NHL player prop odds tool can help you find the best NHL odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!
🚨 Sam Bennett Over 0.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Bennett brutalizes the Maple Leafs time and again, with a point in four of five games this series. His consistency extends back to the Tampa Bay Lightning series, where he tallied a point in the same 80% of games. So, that's a point in eight of 10 postseason games thus far. He's incredibly effective at getting under Toronto's collective skin and making it count where it hurts the most.
Our best NHL betting sites are gradually shortening his odds to post a point, but not enough, considering his impressive consistency.
💰 Best odds: -115 via bet365
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🚨 Brad Marchand Over 0.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The only player the Maple Leafs loath more than Bennett is Marchand. You can see why with the diminutive agitator's underhanded gamesmanship and astonishing consistency against the Buds, whom he has a point against in four of five. He offers the best value-for-money pick at +105, which implies a 48.78% probability.
Marchand posted at least a point in six of the last seven playoff games and has been one of my most profitable props. A winning $10 wager at bet365 would profit $10.50.
💰 Best odds: +105 via bet365
📈 Maple Leafs vs. Panthers betting insights
Here are some betting insights from BetMGM during the hours before puck drop.
- A whopping 70% of the moneyline bets are on the Panthers at -250
- The Over on 5.5 goals is also drawing plenty of attention while getting 72% of the bets and 70% of the money
- There's been minimal moneyline movement after the Panthers opened at -225
💵 Best hockey betting sites
Want to bet on the Stanley Cup playoffs? Check out the best NHL betting sites and best sportsbook promos for today's games:
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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Gary Pearson X social