Maple Leafs vs. Devils Odds, Picks, Predictions: New Jersey Has Edge on Injured Toronto

Missing some key pieces up front, the Toronto Maple Leafs face a tough matchup against the New Jersey Devils on Tuesday. Here's sports betting analyst Scott Cullen's top NHL pick based on the best NHL odds.

Tuesday brings a premier matchup when the teams in third and fourth place in the overall standings meet in New Jersey.

The Maple Leafs lost 4-1 at Vancouver on Saturday, but Toronto has delivered consistently strong results. Toronto's .646 points percentage over the past two months ranks seventh in that span.

While the Leafs have been very good since the calendar turned, the Devils have been a notch higher. New Jersey has gone an incredible 17-3-3 since Jan. 7,  good for an .804 points percentage which ranks second overall.

Here is our best Maple Leafs vs. Devils NHL pick (odds via DraftKings; pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our NHL best bets for Tuesday.

Maple Leafs vs. Devils pick

Devils ML (-130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Even at full strength, the Maple Leafs would face a tough test in New Jersey. With John Tavares and Ryan O'Reilly both out of the Toronto lineup, the Devils hold a clear edge.

The Leafs have struggled on the road, going just 4-5-1 in their last 10 away from Scotiabank Arena. Tuesday's task becomes all the more daunting with Tavares and O'Reilly out, because the Devils can focus their defensive attention on Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner. 

The Devils have eight wins in their past nine home games – and while five of those wins have come after 60 minutes, the Devils also have a plus-25 goal differential in the past 23 games, fourth-best in the league over the past two months. 

More importantly for the Devils is that they're healthy. Jack Hughes has nine points in eight games since returning to the lineup and has received a left wing upgrade with the acquisition of Timo Meier, who scored in his Devils debut Sunday.

This is a quality matchup of two top teams, but the healthy home side is in a better position to take this game.

Check out our latest Hart Trophy odds.

Maple Leafs vs. Devils best odds

DraftKings (-130) 

It looks like our best sportsbooks agree on this game, with only minor variations between them.  

At -130, DraftKings has the best value, while the rest are in the -133 to -137 range. The seven percent difference between DK and FD is worth mentioning here, but the edge is slight.

Check out our Rocket Richard Trophy odds and Norris Trophy odds.

Maple Leafs vs. Devils odds

Check out our Calder Trophy odds.

Maple Leafs vs. Devils odds analysis

FanDuel opened with the Devils at -130, compared to the Maple Leafs at +108. 

There has been a little movement toward New Jersey. With 61% of the consensus moneyline wagers coming in on the Devils, New Jersey is now -137 with Toronto at +114. 

The total opened at 6.5, with opening odds at -110 for both the Over and the Under. That has resulted in wagers on both sides. With 51% of total wagers on the Under the Under has moved to -112 and the Over is at -108.

Maple Leafs vs. Devils game info

• Date: Tuesday, March 7, 7 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN+, TVAS, MSGSN, TSN4
• Location: Prudential Center, Newark, NJ

Maple Leafs-Devils pick made 3/7/2023 at 1:45 p.m. ET.

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