Hart Trophy Odds 2024: MacKinnon Still the Favorite as Kucherov Closes Gap
Our best sportsbooks list Colorado Avalanche ace Nathan MacKinnon as the consensus favorite by the 2024 Hart Trophy odds with a week left in the season, but Nikita Kucherov has closed the gap, while Connor McDavid has fallen off the pace slightly. Let's dive into the market using the best NHL odds.
Nathan MacKinnon's Hart Trophy odds lengthened across most of our best sports betting sites in the last week. He is now trading as short as -400 at Caesars, with the best value, -275, being offered at DraftKings.
While our best NHL betting sites still identify him as the favorite, his lead stop the oddsboard has shrunk thanks to Nikita Kucherov's clutch play down the stretch. Kucherov's odds improved substantially at most sportsbooks, the most drastic of which at DraftKings, shortening from +600 to +350.
Connor McDavid has fallen off the pace, with his MVP odds trading between +650 and +900.
Auston Matthews has completely fallen off the pace, while Sidney Crosby has remarkably entered the fray. While his odds are an astronomically long +11000 at FanDuel, it doesn't take away from his rise to prominence. Sid, the 36-year-old kid, has 17 points in the last nine games.
Here's our look at the Hart Trophy odds futures market.
Hart Trophy odds 2024
(Hart Trophy odds updated April 9)
| Player | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | -275 🔥 | -400 | -323 | -400 ❄️ | -350 |
| Nikita Kucherov | +350 | +370 | +400 | +360 | +350 |
| Connor McDavid | +750 | +900 | +650 | +700 | +700 |
| Auston Matthews | +2500 🔥 | +2300 | +1600 | +2100 ❄️ | +2500 |
| Sidney Crosby | +10000 | +11000 | +10000 | N/A | +10000 |
Hart Trophy odds 2024: Favorite
Nathan MacKinnon (-275 via DraftKings)
After increasing to 76.19%, MacKinnon's has seen his implied probability, via our odds converter, drop to 73.34%. While his status as favorite has weakened, he is still in the driver's seat as the undeniable frontrunner.
With four games remaining, MacKinnon has 133 points, second behind Kucherov for the league lead. McDavid has 130 points but has six games remaining, one more than Kucherov and two more than MacKinnon.
MacKinnon's home-point streak ended at 35 games on March 28 against the New York Rangers. His +33 is one behind McDavid and Matthews as far as the MVP contenders go.
He is the only one of the favorites who hasn't won a Hart Trophy. That will likely change if he maintains his pace through the end of the season.
Hart Trophy odds 2024: Contender
Nikita Kucherov (+400 via BetMGM)
Kucherov is back to his old tricks again, lighting up the scoresheet everywhere he plays. The diminutive rockstar leads the league in points (136) and has nine points in the last three games.
Kucherov has 51 more points than Brayden Point, who has the second-highest point total for the Lightning. That discrepancy from first to second is larger than any other favorite by a wide margin.
Hart Trophy odds 2024: Long Shot
Connor McDavid (+900 via FanDuel)
Despite McDavid's best effort, he remains a somewhat distant third.
McDavid has 98 points in 53 games since former head coach Jay Woodcroft was fired on Nov. 12, a 1.85 points-per-game return that ranks first in the NHL, slightly better than MacKinnon's 1.82.
The three-time MVP winner has the most assists and primary assists while notching an otherworldly 81 points in 36 home contests. He also has 100 points in the 47 Oilers' wins in which he played, reinforcing his unparalleled importance to the team.
However, he has only 31 goals, tied for 28th overall. He is tied for the worst shooting percentage of his career (12%), which he set in 2016-17. Somewhat counterintuitively, he still took home the Hart Trophy that season.
Hart Trophy odds over time
MacKinnon's odds have lengthened across most of our best sportsbooks. His lines have seen the following movement in the last week: From -320 to -275 at DraftKings, -340 to -400 at FanDuel, from -500 to -400 at Caesars.
Kucherov, on the other hand, has seen the largest improvement, his odds shortening at DraftKings from +600 to +350, from +500 to +370 at FanDuel, from +600 to +360 at Caesars, from +500 to +400 at BetMGM.
2024 Hart Trophy opening odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | +100 |
| Leon Draisaitl | +1000 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | +1000 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | +1000 |
| David Pastrnak | +1200 |
| Auston Matthews | +1400 |
| Jack Hughes | +1600 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | +1600 |
| Cale Makar | +2200 |
| Jason Roberston | +2500 |
| Nikita Kucherov | +2500 |
| Tage Thompson | +2500 |
| Mikko Rantanen | +4000 |
| Elias Pettersson | +5000 |
| Jack Eichel | +5000 |
| Kyle Connor | +6600 |
| Sebastian Aho | +6600 |
| Ilya Sorokin | +8000 |
| Mitch Marner | +8000 |
| Sidney Crosby | +8000 |
Recent Hart Trophy winners
| Year | Player | Position | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-2023 | Connor McDavid | C | Edmonton Oilers | +300 |
| 2021-2022 | Auston Matthews | C | Toronto Maple Leafs | +900 |
| 2020-2021 | Connor McDavid | C | Edmonton Oilers | +600 |
| 2019-2020 | Leon Draisaitl | C | Edmonton Oilers | +4000 |
| 2018-2019 | Nikita Kucherov | RW | Tampa Bay Lightning | +1500 |
| 2017-2018 | Taylor Hall | LW | New Jersey Devils | N/A |
| 2016-2017 | Connor McDavid | C | Edmonton Oilers | +600 |
| 2015-2016 | Patrick Kane | RW | Chicago Blackhawks | N/A |
| 2014-2015 | Carey Price | G | Montreal Canadiens | +5000 |
| 2013-2014 | Sidney Crosby | C | Pittsburgh Penguins | +300 |
| 2012-2013 | Alex Ovechkin | LW | Washington Capitals | +1350 |
Hart Trophy betting analysis
MacKinnon's Hart Trophy odds at our best live betting sites lengthened slightly as most sportsbooks. However, he's still the consensus favorite with just over a week to play.
Hart Trophy FAQ
Who is the Hart Trophy favorite?
Colorado Avalanche star MacKinnon is the favorite to win the Hart Trophy, trading between -275 and -400.
Who won the Hart Trophy last year?
Edmonton Oilers center Connor McDavid won the Hart Trophy for the 2022-2023 season, finishing ahead of Pastrnak and Florida Panthers winger Matthew Tkachuk.
When will the Hart Trophy be decided?
Votes from the Professional Hockey Writers' Association must be filed before the Stanley Cup Playoffs begin. The 2023-24 regular season ends on April 18.
NHL betting odds pages
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