NFL Touchdown Scorer Prop Picks for Week 15: Williams Too Much for Titans

Against the undersized and banged up Tennessee Titans' cornerbacks, Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Mike Williams is expected to put on an impressive performance. He's paying plus-money to find the end zone and checks out as one of our top NFL touchdown-scorer prop picks for Week 15.

There continues to be huge variance in the available odds in touchdown markets across our top-rated sportsbooks, so don’t be shy about shopping for the best number. ‘Tis the season, after all.

Here are our Week 15 NFL touchdown prop picks (odds via Caesars Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook, and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our NFL best bets and all of our top NFL picks for Week 15.  

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks

• A.J. Brown anytime TD scorer (+112 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
• Mike Williams anytime TD scorer (+145 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
• J.K. Dobbins anytime TD scorer (+220 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
• D.J. Moore anytime TD scorer (+230 via Caesars) ⭐⭐

A.J. Brown anytime TD scorer (+112) ⭐⭐⭐

Brown has found the end zone in three consecutive games and 10 times across 13 contests overall. He’s set to line up opposite one of the worst pass defenses in the league in Week 15, and yet plus-money odds are available for him to find the end zone against in Chicago.

Count me in.

The Bears last in defensive DVOA against opposing No. 1 wide receivers per Football Outsiders, and also allow the highest EPA per dropback. Additionally, Bears starting cornerbacks Jaylon Johnson and Kyler Gordon rank 81st and 197th at the position, respectively, in coverage grade per Pro Football Focus.

Mike Williams anytime TD (+145) ⭐⭐⭐

Tennessee has multiple cornerbacks dealing with injuries, and top Titans corner Kristian Fulton (groin) didn’t participate in practice Wednesday or Thursday. With the Titans’ secondary already among the worst pass defenses in the league, this matchup becomes even more favorable for Williams.

The Titans have allowed 19 touchdowns to wide receivers across 13 games while ranking 28th in pass defense DVOA. Sweetening the pot, the 6-foot-4 Williams also towers over all the Tennessee corners, and he scored in his return to action last week following an ankle injury.

J.K. Dobbins anytime TD scorer (+220) ⭐⭐⭐

Dobbins was shot out of a cannon in his return from injured reserve last week, ripping off 120 yards and a touchdown on just 15 carries against the Pittsburgh Steelers. He also handled two red-zone rushes and paced the Baltimore Ravens in both carries and snaps out of the backfield.

This week, Dobbins draws a cushy ground matchup against the Cleveland Browns. The Brownies rank 30th in rush defense DVOA per Football Outsiders and 29th in run defense grade per Pro Football Focus while also allowing the highest EPA per rush in the league.

Cleveland has surrendered 17 touchdowns to opposing running backs through 13 games. Dobbins is a great bet to add to that tally this weekend.

D.J. Moore anytime TD scorer (+230) ⭐⭐

After failing to register a single catch against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 14, I’m eyeing a rebound showing from Moore against the Steelers. The fifth-year wide receiver still garnered a season-high two red-zone targets against Seattle, and he also had a monster Week 12 showing against the Denver Broncos that included a touchdown reception.

Pittsburgh has surrendered 15 receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers and sports a middling rank of 14th in DVOA against opposing No. 1 wide receivers while grading 18th in coverage per PFF.

An ankle injury downgraded Moore to limited practice Friday following full showings Wednesday and Thursday, and he's officially listed as questionable, so monitor the injury report before taking the plunge here. But if Moore is good to go, he's a great value play here.

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Week 15 NFL touchdown prop picks made 12/16/2022 at 1:30 p.m. ET.