Titans vs. Dolphins Prediction Tonight: Monday Night Football Odds & MNF Picks
The Miami Dolphins (1-2) will have a new quarterback under center when they host the Tennessee Titans (0-3) as slight favorites by the latest Monday Night Football odds.
- Miami enters tonight with a losing record for the first time under head coach Mike McDaniel
- The Dolphins are the only team that hasn't had a lead this season
- Miami announced Saturday that Tyler Huntley will make his first start for the team in place of injured QB Skylar Thompson
Along with our Titans vs. Dolphins prop bets, here is our best Titans vs. Dolphins prediction for tonight's matchup, which kicks off from Hard Rock Stadium at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Titans vs. Dolphins odds movement: Monday Night Football
The Dolphins opened as a 1.5-point favorites entering Week 4, and that line has moved to a consensus -2.5 across our best sportsbooks in the hours ahead of tonight's kickoff.
That comes as the total drops from as high as 39.5 earlier this week to a near-consensus 37 with DraftKings offering the best Under odds at -108.
Both of those moves are likely tied to the Dolphins' decision to start Huntley in place of Thompson, who went down last week and wasn't effective even when he was healthy.
As we outlined in our NFL Week 4 player props, Huntley doesn't like to force the ball downfield but can be an effective game-manager in the quick game. That's why we like his chances of leading Miami to a win tonight.
Best Titans vs. Dolphins picks
NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: Dolphins -1.5 (-108 via DraftKings) vs. Titans ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop: Tony Pollard Over 67.5 rushing and receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
Titans vs. Dolphins against the spread prediction: Monday Night Football
Dolphins to cover the spread: -1.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -108 via DraftKings| Implied probability: 51.92%
This spread is one of two on the 16-game Week 4 slate to have jumped the fence, as the Titans opened as high as -1.5 favorites last Monday.
Dolphins backers started to weigh in despite the team’s murky quarterback situation. With Huntley named the starter, the line has moved away from Miami at some of our best sports betting sites, which I agree with.
Titans had difficulty preparing for this matchup
Tennessee is in a similar predicament to last week from a preparation perspective. The Green Bay Packers held out hope that Jordan Love would return from injury in time to start in Week 3, but the Titans were forced to prepare for him and the more mobile Malik Willis, who has an entirely different skill set.
The Titans are in the same boat this week, as Thompson was not ruled out until Friday (the team said he could fill in as the emergency quarterback if needed). It is anyone’s guess how Miami will deploy Huntley in this first start with the team, but his mobility should concern the Tennessee coaching staff.
Huntley has big game experience
Though he is certainly a downgrade from the injured Tua Tagovailoa, Huntley likely gives the Dolphins a better chance to win than Thompson.
Huntley went 2-2 in four games as a starter for the Baltimore Ravens in 2022, keeping them afloat and helping them earn a playoff spot.
In 11 appearances for Baltimore, Huntley completed 64.4% of his passes, adding a 226-yard and two-touchdown performance in a playoff game en route to Pro Bowl honors.
His effectiveness under center is one reason why Brenden Schaeffer is targeting Tyreek Hill as part of his Titans vs. Dolphins MNF parlay.
It's also why Philip Wood ikes Hill's chances to score a touchdown as part of his best Tyeek Hill MNF player prop bets.
Miami should play cleaner football
The Dolphins were undone by 11 offensive penalties in last week’s loss. But with a more conservative run-heavy game plan likely in place, it should be much easier to play disciplined football.
Tennessee ranks 21st in rushing yards per game allowed, but it is in the passing game where Miami’s running backs should do the most damage.
De’Von Achane has seen at least five targets every game, and the Titans have allowed the ninth-most receiving yards and three receiving touchdowns to opposing running backs.
The line ticked up to -2.5 at FanDuel after the Huntley news was announced.
Thus, I am taking advantage of the remaining -1.5, and DraftKings is the only one of our best NFL betting sites charging less than the standard -110. A winning $10 wager at the -108 odds would profit $9.26.
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Titans vs. Dolphins player prop
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Tony Pollard Over 67.5 rushing and receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
Tony Pollard has already been heavily involved in the Titans offense, and he figures to be even more involved when facing a Dolphins defense that has been a sieve to running backs.
Pollard has accounted for 40% of Tennessee’s touches and 25% of its scrimmage yards, and he leads the team in receptions while ranking second in targets.
Meanwhile, Miami has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to running backs and ranks dead-last in red zone points to the position.
While the latter statistic makes Pollard’s +180 anytime touchdown odds enticing, it is a risky play given the low 37-point total. It is hard to envision him staying under 70 scrimmage yards.
This is a three-star play, as Pollard has at least 94 rushing and receiving yards combined in two of three games this year while touching the ball at least 19 times.
In games where he has 15-plus touches, he has averaged 15.2 fantasy points.
This line is as high as 70.5 at FanDuel, so BetMGM is the best shop for Over backers. A winning $10 wager at BetMGM’s -115 odds would net $8.70 in profits.
Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%
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Titans vs. Dolphins odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Monday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Titans vs. Dolphins
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Fla.)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: 86 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 7 mph E
- Favorite: Dolphins -1.5 (-110 via DraftKings)
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