Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions & Best Bets for Sunday Night Football: NFL Week 14
Last Updated: December 7, 2025 7:00 PM EST • 5 minute read X Social Google News Link
The Kansas City Chiefs (6-6) and Houston Texans (7-5) meet tonight on Sunday Night Football (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC), and we've gathered all of our Texans vs. Chiefs predictions and best bets for this SNF matchup from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo., as part of our NFL Week 14 predictions.
Texans vs. Chiefs predictions & best bets: Sunday Night Football
See all of our NFL picks for every game based on the latest NFL odds.
| Wager type | Best bet | Best odds |
|---|---|---|
| Game prediction | Chiefs -3 | -120 via bet365 |
| Over/Under pick | Under 42.5 | -115 via FanDuel |
| Best player prop bet | Travis Kelce Under 48.5 receiving yards | -112 via DraftKings |
| Best anytime TD pick | Xavier Worthy to score anytime TD | +310 via FanDuel |
| Best first TD pick | Nico Collins to score first TD | +950 via DraftKings |
Texans vs. Chiefs prediction
Here's an excerpt from our NFL expert Mike Spector on why he's betting Under 42.5 as the best bet in his Texans vs. Chiefs prediction for Sunday Night Football:
"Weather should be a huge factor in this game, with temperatures dropping well below 30 degrees at night. Under head coach DeMeco Ryans, the Texans are 0-2 at Arrowhead Stadium, with both games being played in sub-40-degree weather. With this being the first time Houston has played in cold weather this season, I am expecting a sluggish day offensively, leading to the Texans cashing their team total Under of 19.5 points (-104)."
We break down the latest forecast tonight in our Texans vs. Chiefs weather report, which analyzes the betting impact for projected sub-freezing temperatures tonight.
Texans vs. Chiefs player props
Here's an excerpt from our NFL expert Phil Wood on why he's betting Travis Kelce Under 48.5 receiving yards as one of his best Texans vs. Chiefs player props for Sunday Night Football:
"Kelce has recorded back-to-back games with 45 or fewer yards. The Texans are allowing just 174.0 passing yards per game, and they’ve allowed just 473 yards to tight ends, which is the fifth-fewest in the NFL. Through 12 games, that’s an average of just 39.4 yards per game. Kelce obviously isn’t an average tight end, but he’s had five games with fewer than 48.5 receiving yards this season."
Texans vs. Chiefs anytime TD pick
Here's an excerpt from our NFL expert Esten McLaren on why he's betting Xavier Worthy to score a touchdown as one of his best Texans vs. Chiefs anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Sunday Night Football:
"Worthy's averaging 11.5 yards per reception while catching an adequate 59.3% of his targets. Yet his only receiving touchdown was in mid-October, and he has zero rushing touchdowns after scoring three such TDs last season. The Texans allow a league-low 53.7% catch rate to receivers, but they've still given up seven touchdowns to the position. Worthy continues to play the bulk of the offensive snaps, and he was targeted 33 times over his last five games."
You can follow all of our NFL touchdown props for the biggest games every week.
Texans vs. Chiefs first TD pick
Here's an excerpt from our NFL expert Corey Scott on why he's betting Nico Collins to score the first touchdown as one of his best Texans vs. Chiefs first touchdown scorer predictions for Sunday Night Football:
"Nico Collins is seeing boosted odds since the Texans are underdogs - and thus less likely to score first - but there’s a lot of variance in this game, as it’s unclear how Kansas City’s offense will perform with so many injuries on the offensive line. These +950 odds from DraftKings imply a probability of just 9.52%, though the reality is likely closer to 11%. Collins has scored a touchdown in two of his last three games, including cashing as the first TD scorer in a Week 11 road game against the Tennessee Titans."
Collins is also highlighted as a value in the player props market in our Texans vs. Chiefs AI picks for tonight's SNF matchup in Kansas City.
Texans vs. Chiefs same-game parlay
Here's an excerpt from our NFL expert Brenden Schaeffer on why he's betting Patrick Mahomes Over 23.5 rushing yards as the final leg of his Texans vs. Chiefs same-game parlay for Sunday Night Football:
"Though Houston has the fourth-ranked run defense in the NFL (91.7 yards per game allowed), they’ve allowed, relatively, a more generous 211 rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks (16th in the NFL). We’re looking for Patrick Mahomes to play some hero ball, running for his life to mitigate the deficiencies of his O-line. Four of Houston’s last six opponents have seen their quarterback exceed 22.5 rushing yards, and Mahomes has cleared this line in eight of 12 games on the season."
You can follow all of our NFL same-game parlay bets for the biggest games every week.
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How to watch Sunday Night Football: Texans vs. Chiefs
- Date: Sunday, Dec. 7
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Mo.)
- TV: NBC
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