NFL Survivor Pool Picks Today: Survivor Strategies & Safest Pick Week 14
Who's ready to learn of our best survivor pool picks for Week 14, which include the safest play, the best survivor pick, and the top strategy move?
The first four games of Thanksgiving week were tough sledding, but things improved vastly thereafter for survivor pool contestants. The strategy below complements our NFL Week 14 predictions.
Best NFL survivor pool picks: Week 14
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 14 based on the latest NFL odds.
| Team | Opponent | Moneyline | Win probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | vs. Saints | -490 | 83.05% |
| Broncos | at Raiders | -450 | 81.82% |
| Seahawks | at Falcons | -460 | 82.14% |
| Ravens | vs. Steelers | -325 | 76.47% |
| Rams | at Cardinals | -450 | 81.82% |
| Browns | vs. Titans | -218 | 68.55% |
| Packers | vs. Bears | -275 | 73.33% |
| Bills | vs. Bengals | -300 | 75.00% |
| Eagles | at Chargers | -190 | 65.52% |
| Chiefs | vs. Texans | -200 | 66.67% |
Safest NFL survivor pick: Buccaneers (83.05%) over Saints
Tampa Bay did not cover as a 4.5-point favorite in a 20-17 home win over the Arizona Cardinals last week, as the Buccaneers were outgained 386-279. But it should be in line for a much better performance this week against a New Orleans team that is amid its worst 12-game start since 1999 (2-10).
The Buccaneers have already blown out the Saints 23-3 at the Caesars Superdome in Week 8, a game in which it was also outgained by 63 yards. Thus, even if Tampa Bay’s offense isn’t clicking as it would hope amid all of its injuries, its lockdown defense does not make it susceptible to a home upset.
Our Gary Pearson is taking the Buccaneers (-8.5) in his NFL picks against the spread this week. Meanwhile, Philip Wood takes a look at his best Buccaneers vs. Saints player props.
Best NFL survivor pick: Ravens (76.47%) over Steelers
These two teams are tied for first place in the AFC North standings and are each coming off losses last week. But I have more faith in Baltimore righting the ship, given how poor Pittsburgh looked in a loss to the Buffalo Bills.
The Bills ran for 249 yards, the most by an opposing team in Pittsburgh in 50 years. That is asking for trouble against a Ravens offense that features Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry.
In addition, it is also fair to wonder if Aaron Rodgers had any business being under center for Pittsburgh last week. While dealing with a left wrist injury, it completely changed Pittsburgh’s offensive scheme, with him having to operate out of the pistol on running plays.
Baltimore had won five straight before its loss to Cincinnati, so I am still more optimistic about it as a home favorite than a Steelers team that is 2-5 in its last seven games. For more detailed analysis, check out our Steelers vs. Ravens player props.
💡 More 14 predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 14.
NFL survivor strategy pick: Browns (68.55%) over Titans
About the only thing captivating about the Browns lately is Myles Garrett’s pursuit of the single-season sack record, as he enters this week four sacks shy of setting the mark.
However, this is also a great opportunity for Cleveland to earn its fourth win of the season, as it faces a Tennessee Titans team that has tied its worst 12-game start (1-11) in franchise history.
Titans rookie quarterback Cam Ward has yet to throw multiple touchdown passes in a game. He does not figure to break that drought against a Browns defense that ranks second in sacks and yards per game allowed.
Cleveland’s next three games are against teams at .500 or better (Bears, Bills, Steelers), making it a great survivor strategy pick if one has not advanced with it in any of its previous three wins.
NFL survivor pick to avoid: Seahawks (82.14%) over Falcons
Seattle occupies the first wild card spot in the NFC at 9-3 after a 26-0 shutout win over Minnesota. But I worry about travel catching up to the Seahawks at some point, with this being the second time in three weeks they have traveled to the East Coast for a 1 p.m. ET start.
The previous such trip was a 30-24 win over Tennessee, whose 24 points were the most it scored all season. The Titans ran 21 more plays and held the ball for nearly 15 more minutes in that game, and the Falcons could turn in a similar script behind the competent running back duo of Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier.
Circa Survivor contest update entering Week 14
There are 45 current live entries remaining in the Circa Sports survivor contest entering Sunday's action. The Buccaneers (28) represent 62.2% of all picks this week. The Browns (5) make up 11.1%, and the Seahawks and Rams (3 each) combine for 13.4% of the entries. The Broncos were picked twice, while each of the Dolphins, Packers, Ravens, and Eagles were picked once.
All of our Week 14 NFL game picks
- Seahawks vs. Falcons player props
- Bengals vs. Bills player props
- Saints vs. Buccaneers player props
- Colts vs. Jaguars player props
- Steelers vs. Ravens player props
- Broncos vs. Raiders player props
- Rams vs. Cardinals player props
- Bears vs. Packers prediction
- Texans vs. Chiefs prediction
NFL expert picks for Week 14
Follow all of our NFL analysis for Week 14 throughout the week.
- NFL picks against the spread Week 14
- NFL survivor picks Week 14
- NFL AI predictions Week 14
- NFL weather report Week 14
- NFL upset picks Week 14
- NFL player props Week 14
- NFL best bets Week 14
- NFL anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 14
- NFL first touchdown scorer predictions Week 14
- NFL 2+ touchdown scorer predictions Week 14
- NFL anytime touchdown scorer parlay Week 14
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