Super Bowl Long-Shot Picks 2026: +1000 Bets (or Better) for Seahawks vs. Patriots

We're guaranteed to see a Super Bowl long shot hoist the Lombardi Trophy this year with the Seattle Seahawks (+6000) and New England Patriots (+8000) both ranking outside the top half of the Super Bowl odds entering this NFL season.

If you missed the boat on a preseason bet for either team (as I did), we still have time to turn a little investment into a major profit with our best Super Bowl long-shot picks ahead of Sunday's kickoff at 6:30 p.m. ET (NBC) for Super Bowl 2026. All of these bets can be made at FanDuel.

Our Gary Pearson already broke down his favorite Super Bowl long shots to bet now, and I'm diving into every major market for the best Super Bowl long-shot bets at +1000 odds or longer. Check back closer to kickoff when I break down every single bet I'm making this year as part of our Super Bowl predictions for Seahawks vs. Patriots.

🏆 Super Bowl MVP long shots

See the latest Super Bowl MVP odds and all of our Super Bowl MVP predictions.

Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, Patriots (+3000)

It's been 29 years since a running back won Super Bowl MVP, which is hard to believe, but it's still rare to see a starter dealing at such long odds to win it - especially one like Stevenson who has dominated the workload for the Patriots as of late. If he rushes for two touchdowns in a Patriots win (which pays out at +1360 odds), he'd be live to win MVP honors and break the running back curse.

Rashid Shaheed, WR, Seahawks (+4500)

It's not hard to see the script that ends with Shaheed winning MVP honors: a kickoff return touchdown for the Seahawks plus an explosive play or two, ideally for a touchdown, to lead Seattle to victory. That may sound like a lot, but he returned the opening kickoff for a TD in the Divisional Round and hauled in a 50-yard bomb in the NFC Championship. If he does both on Sunday, watch out.

Marcus Jones, CB, Patriots (+10000)

The case for Jones is pretty similar to that for Shaheed, except Jones plays on defense and will have fewer opportunities to touch the ball. Yet Jones has more touchdowns (4) than Shaheed (3) this year after returning two punts and two interceptions for six. He'd likely need to score twice or secure one TD and another pivotal pick, but I wouldn't put it past him.

Christian Gonzalez, CB, Patriots (+12500)

I can't believe Gonzalez is priced at 125/1 odds to win MVP despite a general consensus among the public that he's the best player on the Patriots' defense. If New England wins an ugly defensive slog, couldn't he get the credit? With Jaxon Smith-Njigba entering this game as a popular MVP pick, shutting down JSN could be a fast track to MVP honors for Gonzalez.

🙌 Super Bowl touchdown scorer bets

See our best Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer bets and first touchdown bets.

Eric Saubert, TE, Seahawks: Anytime TD (+1000)

One of the Seahawks' best ways to exploit this Patriots defense is to play in 12 personnel (two tight ends) or 13 personnel (three tight ends) and attack New England with size. Not only does that mean Saubert should see the field a fair bit on Sunday - he played 38 snaps in the NFC Championship - but he could be a prime candidate to slip into the end zone uncovered and help us cash this 10/1 long shot.

AJ Barner, TE, Seahawks: First TD (+1200)

That increase in the usage of 12/13 personnel would also benefit Barner, who has been one of the top targets in the Seahawks' passing attack outside of JSN. He scored six times in the regular season and should be one of the first options if the Seahawks march into the red zone early in the game - these odds are simply too long.

Cooper Kupp, WR, Seahawks: Last TD (+1400)

Kupp is no stranger to scoring last-minute touchdowns in the Super Bowl having won MVP honors behind a clutch performance for the Rams in 2022. If the Patriots overcommit resources to slow down JSN - which feels like the smartest way to shut down the Seahawks' offense - Kupp could play hero late and help make us rich along the way.

Rashid Shaheed, WR, Seahawks: First TD (+1800)

If the Patriots kick it off first, Shaheed will likely be the first player to touch the ball on the opening kickoff - and as we've discussed, he has the speed to break it loose a la Devin Hester in 2007. But the 'Hawks also like to dial up deep shots to Shaheed early in the game, so this bet has multiple pathways to cash even at such long odds.

George Holani, RB, Seahawks: First TD (+2700)

I broke down this bet in full detail earlier this week, so if you want to know why you have to bet George Holani to score the first TD, I dive fully into the reasons there. But here's the cliff notes: Holani is stepping into a high-volume passing down role for the Seahawks after Zach Charbonnet's injury, and he's drawn red-zone carries, too. Sign me up at these odds.

Jack Westover, FB/TE, Patriots: Anytime TD (+3000)

Mike Vrabel and Josh McDaniels are both clever coaches with experience scoring touchdowns in unconventional ways in the Super Bowl. Westover hasn't been a major weapon this year - he has two catches all season - but he's seen his snap count increase to around 25 plays per game of late with legitimate opportunities to score downfield. At these insane odds, I'm taking a shot on a potential secret weapon for New England.

🚀 Super Bowl game leader bets

See our Super Bowl player props and our guide on how to bet Super Bowl player props.

TreVeyon Henderson, RB, Patriots: Most rushing yards (+2000)

I actually can't believe Henderson is dealing at such long odds to lead this game in rushing, even if he's ceded much of his snap count to Stevenson of late. I tend to blame the game conditions in those recent contests, but the rookie is still the Patriots' most explosive back and figures to be the best way to crack this historic Seahawks defense.

Rashid Shaheed, WR, Seahawks: Most receiving yards (+2000)

Shaheed is the third option for the Seahawks' passing attack behind JSN and Kupp, but he might have the highest upside of the position group thanks to his elite straight-line speed and ability to turn a short gain into a touchdown. Even if he only sees a few targets on Sunday, he's a play or two away from cashing in this market at long odds.

Kenneth Walker, RB, Seahawks: Most receiving yards (+3500)

Walker is best known for being a prolific rusher (and he is), but he's also a dangerous weapon in the screen game for Klint Kubiak and this Seahawks offense. It's going to take a couple of explosive catches for him to be viable in this market, but with the Patriots' defense posing such a threat up front, it'd be smart for Seattle to use him that way.

Rashid Shaheed, WR, Seahawks: Most rushing yards (+6000)

OK, this probably won't happen, but here's the case for it: both of these teams have elite rushing defenses and especially up the middle, so the best way to attack on the ground could be sweeps or quick screens to the outside. If Shaheed takes a backwards pass and turns it upfield for 50-plus yards, he could lead the game in yards with just one "carry."

1️⃣ Super Bowl first drive bets

We simulated every play with our Super Bowl AI prediction for Seahawks vs. Patriots.

Rashid Shaheed, WR, Seahawks: First Seahawks reception (+1000)

Look, I get it: this is a lot of bets on Shaheed. But it's hard for me to ignore that the Seahawks' first pass completion in the NFC Championship was a 51-yard strike to Shaheed, who shouldn't be priced as such a long shot given his game-breaking upside. He'll likely face a favorable matchup early, too, with JSN drawing so much attention.

Austin Hooper, TE, Patriots: First Patriots reception (+1200)

The Seahawks' defense has been elite in just about every category, but it's particularly vulnerable to tight ends with the fifth-most receptions (105) allowed to the position. With Drake Maye making his first-ever start in the Super Bowl, I wouldn't be surprised in the slightest to see him check down to his safety valve on the opening play.

AJ Barner, TE, Seahawks: 2+ receptions on Seahawks' 1st drive (+1200)

This is a fun bet that plays into the game script I mentioned before: if the Seahawks come out early and attack the Patriots with heavy personnel, Barner could be a major beneficiary in the passing game. I wouldn't call it the likeliest scenario, but it feels a heck of a lot more possible than these 12/1 odds suggest.

🎯 More Super Bowl long shots

See all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for Super Bowl 2026.

Rashid Shaheed, WR, Seahawks: 25+ receiving yards in each half (+1100)

I promise this is my last bet about Shaheed, but players with this type of upside make for incredible targets as a long shot - just as we saw two years ago when we cashed an 80/1 bet on Mecole Hardman. Shaheed only needs one catch to clear 25 yards in either half, as we've seen throughout the postseason. I don't love the dependence on two explosive plays to cash our bet here, but at 11/1 odds, it's hard not to take a shot at this price.

Drake Maye, QB, Patriots: 150+ passing yards in each half (+1200)

I think Maye will struggle against this Seahawks defense, but I also think he won't have much of a choice but to keep slinging it for the Patriots to have a chance. Whether he's having an efficient day or a volume-dependent one, this bet is live in all scenarios and feels far too generous at these odds.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Seahawks: 3+ receptions in each quarter (+7500)

This is much harder to pull off than it seems, as Smith-Njigba would have to finish with at least 12 receptions and likely more to cash this bet. But if anyone can do it, why not the player with one of the highest target shares in recent memory? The Seahawks' entire offense is built around funneling targets to JSN, so these long odds are intriguing.

💰 Best Super Bowl value bets

See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.

🏈 More Super Bowl predictions: Seahawks vs. Patriots player props

We've broken down every major player prop market for Super Bowl 2026, including our best picks to score an anytime touchdown, first touchdown, and other popular prop bets.

• Super Bowl player props
• Seahawks vs. Patriots player props & best bets
• Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer odds
• Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer predictions
• Super Bowl first touchdown scorer predictions
• Super Bowl running back player props
• Super Bowl tight end player props
• Super Bowl defensive player props
• Best Super Bowl specials
• How to fade Sam Darnold vs. Patriots
• How to fade Drake Maye vs. Seahawks
• How to bet on Seahawks' historic defense
• Why you have to bet George Holani to score first touchdown
• 5 Super Bowl long shot bets to make now
• Will any Super Bowl records be broken?

💡 How to bet the Super Bowl

Our NFL experts have put together a "how to" series for betting on the Super Bowl, including a basic explainer and our tips and best practices for every major Super Bowl betting market.

• How to bet the Super Bowl spread
• How to bet the Super Bowl Over/Under
• How to bet the Super Bowl moneyline
• How to bet Super Bowl player props
• How to bet Super Bowl novelty props
• How to bet Super Bowl alt lines
• How to bet the Super Bowl national anthem
• How to bet the Super Bowl coin toss
• How to bet the Super Bowl opening kickoff
• How to bet the Super Bowl Gatorade bath
• Super Bowl betting strategies
• Super Bowl betting history

📺 How to watch Super Bowl 2026: Seahawks vs. Patriots

• Date: Sunday, Feb. 8
• Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Levi's Stadium (Santa Clara, Calif.)
• TV: NBC/Peacock

See our full breakdown for how to watch Super Bowl 2026, including TV info and streaming options for Seahawks vs. Patriots in Super Bowl 60.

❓ Super Bowl 60 FAQs

Who is favored to win the Super Bowl?

The Seattle Seahawks are the Super Bowl favorites with odds of -240 to beat the New England Patriots in Super Bowl 2026. Those odds carry an implied probability of 70.59% for the Seahawks to win the Super Bowl, according to our odds converter.

When is the Super Bowl?

The Super Bowl will be on Sunday, Feb. 8, at 6:30 p.m. ET from Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.

Where is the Super Bowl?

Super Bowl 60 will be at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., on Sunday, Feb. 8 at 6:30 p.m. ET.

Who's playing in the Super Bowl?

The NFC champion Seattle Seahawks will face the AFC champion New England Patriots in Super Bowl 2026.