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Saints vs. Eagles Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 17: Philadelphia Favored Despite Jalen Hurts Injury

Philip Wood

Last Updated: January 1, 2023 7:09 AM EST • 2 min 39 sec read.

Miles Sanders of the Philadelphia Eagles celebrates after defeating the Tennessee Titans at Lincoln Financial Field.
Miles Sanders of the Philadelphia Eagles celebrates after defeating the Tennessee Titans at Lincoln Financial Field. Photo by Scott Taetsch/Getty Images via AFP.

Even without starting quarterback Jalen Hurts for the second week in a row, but the Philadelphia Eagles remain favorites against the New Orleans Saints. Here are our Saints vs. Eagles picks.

The Saints have won two games in a row to keep their playoff hopes alive, despite being just 6-9 on the season. Over their last six games, the Saints' defense has been outstanding, holding each of their opponents to 20 or fewer points.

This week, the Saints will be tasked with slowing down the highest-scoring offense in the NFL. Yet, the Eagles may have to turn to Gardner Minshew for the second week in a row. Last week, Minshew led the Eagles to 34 points, but his team fell to the Dallas Cowboys by a 40-34 margin.

Here is our best Saints vs. Eagles NFL pick for Week 17 (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

  Check out our NFL best bets and all of our top NFL picks for Week 17!  

Saints vs. Eagles Game Info

Date: Sunday, Jan. 1, 2023, 1 p.m. ET
TV: FOX
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Weather: 59 degrees, 15-mph winds, 2% chance of precipitation

Saints vs. Eagles Odds

Saints vs. Eagles Odds Analysis

The Eagles opened as 7-point favorites, but with the status of Hurts in doubt, it didn’t take long for the line to move below the key number. It has since settled in at 5.5 with 78% of the tickets and 80% of the cash on pregame.com backing the Eagles.

As for the total, it opened at 44, and it has dropped to 42.5. The Over is receiving slightly more than half the support on pregame.com. 

Saints vs. Eagles Pick

Under 42.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Hurts has practiced a bit this week, but he has done so in a limited capacity. The Eagles can wrap up the No. 1 seed in the NFC with a win, but it’s unlikely Philadelphia is going to rush Hurts back while they still have breathing room. Additionally, Minshew played pretty well last week and the Eagles should feel confident in him going against a 6-9 team.

However, even with Minshew throwing for 355 yards and helping the Eagles to 34 points last week, the Under is the play this week. The Saints’ defense has been phenomenal over the past few weeks, holding teams to 20 or fewer points no matter where they play.

The nice thing about the Saints, at least from the perspective of an Under bettor, is they struggle to score the ball. They are averaging just 20.2 points per game, and they have scored more than 21 points just once in their last seven outings. Even during their two-game win streak, they're only averaging 19 points per game.

The Eagles gave up 40 points last week, but they had allowed just 52 in their previous three games combined, and they are still allowing just 20.5 points per game on the season. Without Hurts, the Eagles’ defense will pick up the slack in a way they didn’t do last week, which will keep this one low-scoring.

Saints vs. Eagles Best Odds

BetMGM, Caesars, and PointsBet (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
U 41.5 (-110)U 41.5 (-110)U 42 (-110)U 42 (-110)U 42 (-110)

All five of the major sportsbooks are within a half-point of each other when it comes to this total. PointsBet, BetMGM, and Caesars are each offering the number at 42, while DraftKings and FanDuel are offering 41.5. Interestingly, both DraftKings and FanDuel are offering the standard price of -110, despite being a half-point lower than the other books.

The total movement was based on the expectation that Jalen Hurts would not play and now that Gardner Minshew is slated to start for Philadelphia, there is not likely to be more movement. 

Saints vs. Eagles pick made 12/30/2022 at 9:28 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil is a Sports Betting Analyst for Sportsbook Review and BettingPros.com, specializing in NFL and college football. He previously covered college football and college basketball for CanesInsight.com, where he also hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast. Phil is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is if a line doesn't make sense, just assume that Vegas knows something you don't. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. Some would call him a frontrunner for his love of the Yankees and the Celtics, but he's also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and will never forgive the refs for the blown pass interference call against the Cowboys in 2015.