Rams vs. Falcons Predictions for Monday Night Football | MNF Picks & Odds Tonight
Ahead of the final Monday Night Football matchup of the 2025 NFL regular season, my Rams vs. Falcons prediction expects favored Los Angeles to win and cover against host Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN).
The Rams are the 8-point betting favorite to get back on track after their gut-wrenching Week 16 defeat to the Seattle Seahawks. I'm breaking down my best MNF picks, including a plus-money anytime TD pick, as part of our NFL Week 17 predictions.
🏈 Rams vs. Falcons predictions: Monday Night Football tonight
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
| Predictions | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Rams -8 | -110 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Blake Corum anytime TD | +140 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Rams vs. Falcons best bet tonight
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Rams -8 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Rams have enjoyed an 11-day break since their devastating loss to the division-leading Seahawks. Aside from the aforementioned walking wounded, Los Angeles will be highly motivated and fresh. While they can no longer win the NFC West, the Rams remain the Super Bowl odds betting favorite.
They sport the best ATS record (11-4), have the third-best defensive DVOA, and the best offensive DVOA, highlighted by their league-best 30.5 points per game.
The Falcons have won two in a row, but both victories came against struggling teams (Tampa Bay and Arizona). I expect an emphatic bounce-back game from Stafford and Co. Our Liam Fox dialed up his three top Matthew Stafford player prop picks for the MVP favorite on Monday Night Football.
Score prediction: Rams 30, Falcons 20
🙌 Best Rams vs. Falcons touchdown scorer pick tonight
See all of our NFL touchdown props and the rest of our NFL betting analysis.
Blake Corum, RB, Rams: Anytime TD (+140) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Blake Corum enters MNF with five touchdowns in the previous four games, scoring at least one in each.
He has only six TDs all season, underscoring just how hot he's been lately. He's also being trusted more in the red zone recently, which he's taken full advantage of. His +140 odds represent the best value of the most-likely TD scorers, and a winning $10 bet will profit $14.
I backed another L.A. player to score as part of my Rams vs. Falcons player props for Monday Night Football, while Mike Spector eyes Corum as well in his Rams vs. Falcons first touchdown scorer predictions.
🚑 Will Rams' injuries impact ability to cover on MNF?
Injuries are piling up for the Rams, most notably on the offensive side of the ball. Offensive lineman Kevin Dotson is out, while the latest Davante Adams injury update doesn't look good for the star receiver's chances of playing tonight.
Offensive lineman Alaric Jackson (ankle) and Braden Fiske (ankle) are listed as questionable, though head coach Sean McVay said neither would likely be ready in time. That's on top of not having right tackle Rob Havenstein, who is on IR, at their disposal.
With the second-most sacks (50), the Falcons don't need any additional help getting to Matthew Stafford. While those injuries are concerning, Stafford ranks 13th in time to throw and has been sacked 30 times, the third-lowest of QBs with at least 15 starts.
And if you're concerned about the impact of Adams' likely absence, rewatch the film from the Rams' Dec. 18 loss to Seattle last week, where the MVP odds front-runner roasted the league's second-best pass defense, according to DVOA, to the tune of 457 passing yards and 3 TDs.
📊 Live Rams vs. Falcons odds: MNF
📈 Rams vs. Falcons betting trends: MNF
| Rams | Statistic | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| 11-4 | W-L record | 6-9 |
| 11-4 | ATS record | 7-7-1 |
| 8-7 | O/U record | 7-7-1 |
| 6.2 | Yards per play | 5.5 |
| 5.1 | Yards allowed per play | 5.2 |
| +0.8 | Turnover margin | +0.1 |
| 3-2 | Last 5 games | 3-2 |
| L, 38-37 vs. Seahawks | Previous result | W, 26-19 vs. Cardinals |
📺 How to watch Monday Night Football: Rams vs. Falcons
- Date: Monday, Dec. 29
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)
- TV: ESPN
💡 Monday Night Football expert picks
- Rams vs. Falcons predictions
- Rams vs. Falcons player props
- Rams vs. Falcons anytime touchdown scorer predictions
- Rams vs. Falcons first touchdown scorer predictions
- Matthew Stafford player prop picks
- Bijan Robinson player prop picks
- Davante Adams injury update
- Rams vs. Falcons same-game parlay
- Rams vs. Falcons expert picks
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