Rams vs. Packers SGP Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 15: Dillon Set to Rumble

Check out our best Rams vs. Packers SGP picks based on the top odds.

Last Updated: December 19, 2022 11:25 AM EST • 4 minute read

The final game of Week 15 of the NFL season is here and we've built a same-game parlay to take advantage of the best NFL odds. Here are our Rams-Packers SGP picks.

The Los Angeles Rams (4-9) are looking to sustain some momentum after last week’s comeback win over the Las Vegas Raiders. But can the Green Bay Packers (5-8) prove Baker Mayfield’s sudden success with L.A. was a one-hit wonder?

Here are our best Rams vs. Packers NFL SGP picks (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our Rams vs. Packers picks, Monday Night Football prop picks, and Aaron Rodgers player prop picks.

Rams vs. Packers SGP Picks Week 15

Rams vs. Packers Odds

SGP Predictions for Rams vs. Packers

Packers -7.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Despite the Rams’ Week 14 win over Vegas being genuinely exciting and surprising, it feels as though the Packers are more equipped for success heading into Monday. Though the Packers are just 2-3 ATS at home this season, they are 3-0 in games against teams that currently have losing records, as the Rams do.

Green Bay has averaged 27.25 points per game over its last four contests. The Rams have scored above 20 points just three times all season while six of their nine losses have come by more than the hefty 7.5-point spread on Monday night’s contest.

DraftKings and FanDuel both list the Packers at -7.5 on the spread, with FanDuel posting the more favorable odds on the home team at -105.

Baker Mayfield Over 193.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐

The Packers rate as the third-toughest pass defense in the NFL, allowing an average of 192.9 passing yards per game to their opponents. But the line on Mayfield’s passing yards doesn’t feel particularly prohibitive given recent trends.

Green Bay has softened slightly of late, allowing 237 passing yards per game over its past three games. Though Mayfield’s 230-yard performance in relief of John Wolford last Thursday doesn’t automatically mean success on Monday against a tough defense, this line should be set to at least 200 yards before I’d consider fading it.

Mayfield has cleared this passing total in four of his last five games, albeit for two different teams. He should have plenty of opportunities to throw given our expectation for a negative game script Monday. DraftKings lists a more aggressive Mayfield passing line at 199.5 yards with +105 odds.

AJ Dillon Over 48.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

AJ Dillon has posted a rushing total of 64 yards or higher in three of his past four games while out-rushing his backfield mate Aaron Jones in three of his past five. In the cold weather at Lambeau Field on Monday night, the Packers should look to ride Dillon to wear down the interior of a Rams’ defensive front that will once again be without Aaron Donald.

Dillon’s success correlates to our expectation for a positive game script for Green Bay. FanDuel had the line set at 49.5 rushing yards as of Monday morning, so the line movement to 48.5 is in our favor. DraftKings lists the Dillon prop at 49.5 rushing yards with even odds.

Our player props carry more favorable odds at DraftKings but with yardage lines that are more difficult to attain. Even with the less friendly lines for the individual props at FanDuel, though, the combined odds at FanDuel (+520) easily trump the DraftKings listing (+425), making FanDuel the obvious choice for Monday’s parlay.

Rams-Packers same-game parlay picks made 12/19/2022 at 2:15 p.m. ET.

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Written by:
Brenden Schaeffer

Brenden has covered the St. Louis Cardinals as a credentialed baseball writer for KMOV-TV since 2016. His sports writing has appeared in outlets including the Austin American-Statesman and Columbia Daily Tribune. Since 2021, Brenden has co-hosted 'The Big Show' during the afternoon drive for KTGR, the ESPN radio affiliate in Columbia, MO. He has appeared on radio stations around the country, including KMOX, and hosts a daily St. Louis Cardinals podcast. In the sports betting content space, Brenden has covered the NFL, college football, NBA, and college basketball for outlets including SBR since 2019. For his football handicapping, Brenden looks to target NFL player prop markets as well as sharp underdog lines in college football. Brenden looks to reference FanDuel for his sports betting articles because of its consistently competitive odds on parlays. FanDuel's boost offerings are also customer-friendly, and its odds on the NFL Same Game Parlay articles he's written for SBR have historically been consistently competitive compared to other books.