Patriots vs. Broncos Prediction, Picks & Best Bets: AFC Championship Game
Denver hosts New England for the Conference Championship, and I'm dropping my best Patriots vs. Broncos prediction for the AFC Championship Game to get you set for Sunday's 3 p.m. ET kickoff from Empower Field at Mile High (CBS).
The Patriots come into this one as 4.5-point betting favorites - will the loss of Bo Nix be too much for the Broncos to overcome? Let's get into the picks as part of our Conference Championship predictions.
π Patriots vs. Broncos prediction: AFC Championship Game
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this postseason.
| Predictions | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Broncos +4.5 | -112 via FanDuel | βββββ |
| Under 42.5 | -105 via FanDuel | ββββ |
| Courtland Sutton anytime touchdown | +290 via FanDuel | βββ |
π° Patriots vs. Broncos best bet: Broncos +4.5 (-112) βββββ
Follow all of our NFL analysis and betting advice for the 2026 NFL playoffs.
Don't underestimate this Broncos team. The first time Drake Maye and the Patriots faced a real defense was last week against the Houston Texans, and he promptly turned the ball over three times, fumbling four times. If Jarrett Stidham can be serviceable, watch that vaunted Denver defense do the rest and keep this one close, if not win outright. This is undoubtedly one of my best bets for Conference Championship weekend.
Score prediction: Patriots 14, Broncos 10
π Best Patriots vs. Broncos touchdown scorer prediction: Courtland Sutton (+290) βββ
See all of our NFL touchdown props for the 2026 NFL playoffs.
Courtland Sutton, anyone? If there's one thing I know, it's that backup quarterbacks rely on their No. 1 weapon when getting thrust into the spotlight. Enter Sutton, who was targeted nine times last week. Yes, Bo Nix was at the helm, but head coach Sean Payton seems to have a ton of confidence in Jarrett Stidham, and New England's red-zone defense leaves a lot to be desired (ranked 23rd in football), leading me to believe this inflated price is worth sprinkling a .5u wager on. He's one of my favorite anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Conference Championship weekend.
π Patriots vs. Broncos odds: AFC Championship Game
Our live Patriots vs. Broncos odds update in real time.
π Patriots vs. Broncos betting trends: AFC Championship Game
| Patriots | Statistic | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| 14-3 | W-L record | 14-3 |
| 13-5-1 | ATS record | 8-9-1 |
| 12-7 | O/U record | 8-10 |
| 5.3 | Yards per play | 6.0 |
| 5.0 | Yards allowed per play | 4.5 |
| +0.2 | Turnover margin | +0.1 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 games | 4-1 |
π Patriots vs. Broncos latest injuries
π€οΈ Patriots vs. Broncos weather: Sunday, 3 p.m. ET
Follow our NFL weather report for the latest forecasts for every playoff game.
Denver is in for a brutally cold afternoon, with kickoff temperatures around 19 degrees and wind chills dipping to roughly 9 by the time the fourth quarter rolls around. Winds should be noticeable, but snow isnβt much of a concern, as the massive winter storm sweeping the U.S. is largely expected to bypass Colorado aside from the deep freeze.
π‘ More Patriots vs. Broncos picks
- AFC Championship odds
- How the Patriots win the Super Bowl
- How the Broncos win the Super Bowl
- Patriots vs. Broncos prediction market
- Patriots vs. Broncos prediction
- Patriots vs. Broncos player props
- Patriots vs. Broncos anytime touchdown scorer predictions
- Patriots vs. Broncos first touchdown scorer predictions
- Patriots vs. Broncos same-game parlay
- Drake Maye player props
- Jarrett Stidham Super Bowl MVP odds
- Jarrett Stidham player props
- Patriots vs. Broncos weather report
- Patriots vs. Broncos expert picks
πΊ How to watch Patriots vs. Broncos: AFC Championship Game
- Date: Sunday, Jan. 25
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High
- TV: CBS
π° More Conference Championship predictions
- Super Bowl odds ahead of Conference Championships
- Ranking Super Bowl matchups
- NFL playoff QB power rankings
- NFL best bets for Conference Championships
- NFL weather report for Conference Championships
- NFL anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Conference Championships
- NFL anytime touchdown scorer parlay for Conference Championships
- NFL player props for Conference Championships
- NFL AI predictions for the Conference Championships
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
Related Articles
