NFL Parlay Picks, Predictions for Wild Card Weekend: Can Vikings Continue Success at Home?

Top parlay picks for Wild Card Weekend during the 2023 NFL postseason.

Connor Cooper

Last Updated: September 11, 2024 2:56 PM EDT • 4 minute read

It’s hard to lay points with a Minnesota Vikings team that had a negative point differential this season, but do they have value on the moneyline? Read on for our NFL Wild Card Weekend parlay picks.

The Kansas City Chiefs were the only team in the NFL to win more games this season than the Vikings, but there aren’t many believers in Minnesota going into this weekend’s Wild Card Round. The Vikings are just 3-point favorites against the Giants, one of three games this weekend that are lined at a field goal or less.

Here are our best NFL parlay picks for Wild Card Weekend (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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NFL Parlay Picks for Wild Card Weekend

Minnesota Vikings moneyline (-165)
Baltimore Ravens Under 16.5 points (-110)
Dak Prescott Over 0.5 interceptions (-180)

Combined odds: +376

NFL Parlay Predictions

Vikings moneyline (-165)

It’s no secret that the Vikings may be one of the weakest 13-win teams in NFL history, becoming the first team to win that many games in a season with a negative point differential. That has made the New York Giants a popular choice to pull off an upset in the Wild Card round, with oddsmakers making New York just a 2.5-point underdog for Sunday’s meeting in Minneapolis.

Even at that short point spread, we’re not interested in laying the points with a Vikes team that saw five of its 13 wins come by a field goal or less. However, the -165 moneyline price looks like a bargain to back a team that went 8-1 at home this season and is loaded with veterans with previous playoff experience — especially against a young Giants squad that overachieved this season and is making its first postseason appearance since 2016.

Baltimore Ravens Under 16.5 points (-110)

It doesn’t look like Lamar Jackson is going to be able to return from a knee injury in time to face the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday, and there’s also concern that backup Tyler Huntley might not be able to take the field due to a shoulder injury that sidelined him for last week’s regular-season finale in Cincinnati.

That could mean that third-string Anthony Brown gets his second career start against a Bengals defense that not only has game tape on the undrafted rookie, they also got a really close look at him last week. Although Brown threw for nearly 300 yards in Baltimore’s 27-16 loss to the Bengals, he needed nearly 50 attempts to gain that yardage, completing less than half of his passes and getting intercepted twice.

Even if a rusty Jackson or a banged-up Huntley start at quarterback for Baltimore, the Ravens know their best chance at the upset is to stay conservative and keep things as low-scoring as possible. That’s the style of game Baltimore has been playing since Jackson went down to injury, scoring 16 or fewer points in six of its last eight games, and there’s not much reason to expect anything different Sunday night.

Dak Prescott Over 0.5 interceptions (-180)

Despite missing five games due to injury, Prescott still managed to tie for the league lead in interceptions, getting picked a career-high 15 times. Eleven of those interceptions have come in Dallas’ last seven games, with Prescott throwing at least one INT in each one of them — the longest such streak for a Cowboys quarterback in nearly two decades.

Prescott’s not exactly oozing with confidence after going an ugly 14-for-37 with a pick-6 last week against Washington, and now he’ll face a Bucs defense that has intercepted him in both meetings between the teams since the start of last season. With Dallas’ passing game struggling so badly, expect the Bucs to focus on snuffing out the Cowboys’ rushing attack and daring Prescott to beat them through the air — increasing the chances of at least one more interception this week.

NFL parlay picks made 1/11/2023 at 3 p.m. ET.

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Written by:
Connor Cooper

Connor Cooper has written about sports in various capacities for more than 20 years, including as a newspaper reporter, sports handicapper, and betting analyst. He originates hockey plays every day throughout the NHL season, regularly bets his own opinions on NFL and college football, and relies on handicappers he trusts to find daily action in basketball, baseball, soccer, tennis, and golf. A diehard Maple Leafs and Blue Jays fan growing up in the Toronto area, Connor quickly shed all his allegiances once he realized that making money betting on sports was much more fun than cheering for his favorite team. Connor won’t hesitate to bet on — or against — anybody if that’s where the value lies. In addition to analyzing recent and season-long statistics, Connor always looks to account for the human element when breaking down games, weighing situational and motivational factors into his handicapping process. He's also a big believer in finding creative ways to generate more value, constantly scouring BetMGM, Caesar, FanDuel, and other regulated sportsbooks' derivative markets such as team totals, alternate lines, and player props.