Packers vs. Browns Player Prop Bets: NFL Week 3 Odds & Expert Picks
The Green Bay Packers visit the Cleveland Browns in a showdown of two solid defenses as I offer my best Packers vs. Browns player props, which feature Josh Jacobs, Jerry Jeudy, and Matthew Golden.
The Packers are the 7.5-point betting favorite for Sunday's game at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland (1 p.m. ET, FOX). The below NFL picks, part of the NFL predictions for Week 3, expect a run-heavy approach from the visitors and the opposite from the home underdogs.
🏈 Best Packers vs. Browns player props: Week 3
NFL player prop bets made Friday; odds subject to change.
- Josh Jacobs Under 11.5 Receiving Yards (-118 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Jerry Jeudy Over 4.5 Receptions (+108 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Matthew Golden anytime TD scorer (+225 via Caesars) ⭐⭐
🤕 Packers vs. Browns injury update
- Browns' receiver DeAndre Carter (concussion) is questionable for Sunday's game versus the Packers, head coach Kevin Stefanski told reporters
- Browns' DT Michael Hall Jr. (knee) won't play
- Packers' receiver Jayden Reed (foot/shoulder; did not practice) won't play
- Packers' tight end Tucker Kraft (knee; DNP) is expected to play after tweaking his knee during Thursday's practice
💰 Best Packers vs. Browns player prop bets
Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬇️ Josh Jacobs Under 11.5 Receiving Yards (-118) ⭐⭐⭐
Green Bay Packers running back Josh Jacobs has scored touchdowns in each of the first two games, but he’s yet to really hit his stride. The Packers’ lead back is averaging 75 yards per game on the ground and could find yards tough to come by again this week against the Browns’ league-leading run defense.
While that may have many looking to bet Jacobs Under his rushing yards, I’m nervous to do so in a game where the Packers are likely to run the ball more with a comfortable lead. Instead, I’ll target Jacobs to go Under 11.5 receiving yards. He’s been targeted just once in the passing game this season, while backup running back Chris Brooks ran routes on 11 of his 13 snaps last week.
The Packers may also look to lighten Jacobs’ workload after their bellcow was limited in practice earlier this week with a sore ankle. DraftKings, Caesars, and FanDuel all list Jacobs’ receiving yardage total at 10.5, but you can find an extra yard of value at BetMGM. Its -118 odds on Under 11.5 imply a 54.1% probability and return $8.47 on a $10 wager.
⬆️ Jerry Jeudy Over 4.5 Receptions (+108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
No team has attempted more passes this season than the Browns, and they’ll likely have to chuck it a lot again this week as a sizable underdog. It’s dicey betting on Joe Flacco passing props, however, after the veteran was pulled last week in favor of third-round pick Dillon Gabriel.
A more reliable way to back Browns passing props is to target top receiver Jerry Jeudy, something Flacco has done eight times in each of Cleveland’s first two games. It hasn’t resulted in huge yardage totals for Jeudy (117 yards so far), but he did catch five balls in both contests.
This is the consensus line on Jeudy’s Over/Under receptions, with most of the best sports betting sites offering in the neighborhood of even money. You can wring out a few extra cents at DraftKings, which pays +108 odds on Jeudy to haul in at least five passes again this week. A $10 wager returns $10.80 profit with an implied probability of 48.1%.
🔥 Matthew Golden Anytime Touchdown (+225) ⭐⭐
With Packers wideout Jayden Reed suffering a broken collarbone last week, the door is open for rookie Matthew Golden to see increased usage in the Packers’ offense. That’s especially true if tight end Tucker Kraft, who leads the team with 140 receiving yards and two touchdown catches, is limited by a knee injury suffered in practice this week.
Golden has caught two balls through two weeks, but he might have had his first career touchdown last week if not for an underthrown pass by Jordan Love. Packers coaches also acknowledged this week that Golden was consistently creating separation and could be targeted more.
Caesars and DraftKings are both offering +225 on a Golden anytime touchdown, suggesting a 30.8% chance he finds the end zone and paying $22.50 on a $10 bet. FanDuel is another good option at +220 odds, far more generous than the +170 at bet365.
📈 Packers vs. Browns updated betting insights
- The Packers moved from 8.5 to 7.5-point betting favorites
- 67% of bets are on the Packers to cover
- The total opened at 42.5 points. It is now at 41.5, with 54% of bets backing the Over
Most popular NFL bets today
Here are the most popular NFL predictions today, based on ticket count at BetMGM as of Sunday morning:
| Most bet games (tickets) | Most bet spreads (tickets) | Most bet spreads (handle) | Most bet totals (tickets) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Packers at Browns | Packers -7.5 | Texans +1.5 | Cowboys at Bears Over 50.5 |
| Saints at Seahawks | Cowboys -1 | Browns +7.5 | Bengals at Vikings Over 41.5 |
| Rams at Eagles | Colts -4.5 | Jets +6.5 | Rams at Eagles Over 44.5 |
| Cowboys at Bears | Chargers -3 | Panthers +5.5 | Lions at Ravens Over 53.5 |
| Steelers at Patriots | Saints +7 | Saints +7 | Texans at Jaguars Under 43.5 |
📺 Packers vs. Browns game info
- When: Sunday, Sept. 21
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Where: Huntington Bank Field (Cleveland)
- How to watch: FOX
❓ Packers vs. Browns FAQs
What are the best Packers vs. Browns player props?
My best Packers vs. Browns player props are Josh Jacobs Under 11.5 receiving yards, Jerry Jeudy Over 4.5 receptions, and Matthew Golden to score a touchdown at +225 odds.
When is the Packers vs. Browns game?
The Green Bay Packers and Cleveland Browns game will kick off Sunday, Sept. 21, at 1 p.m. on FOX.
How do NFL player props work?
Player props are wagers on individual performances rather than the outcome of the game. Common props include passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and touchdown scorers. For example, if a QB’s passing yards line is set at 250.5, you can bet the Over (251-plus yards) or Under (250 or fewer yards). You can also bet on if a specific player will score a touchdown in the entire game, the first or last touchdown, and more NFL odds markets.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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