NFL MVP Odds & Early Prediction as Preseason Begins: It's Burrow's Time

Joe Burrow made a late surge on the NFL MVP odds last season. Can he finally claim the award this year?
NFL MVP Odds & Early Prediction as Preseason Begins
Pictured: Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow - who's highlighted in our NFL MVP odds - during practice at Paycor Stadium. Photo by: Kareem Elgazzar-Imagn Images

The NFL MVP odds are already moving as preseason begins, and it's time to highlight a couple of players whom we think might be in the best position to take home the crown.

Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and Joe Burrow are the top three favorites entering the campaign, but is there a sleeper out there you can count on? We all love a long shot - let's see if we can pinpoint one for you and grab a large payday at the end of the season.

Let's dive into some of the favorites and drop a sleeper pick using odds from the best sports betting sites

๐Ÿ“Š 2025 NFL MVP odds as preseason begins

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๐Ÿ† NFL MVP odds and predictions: Favorites

The familiar faces you've come to love are back on the top of the NFL MVP odds board as preseason begins. Is there a better dual-threat quarterback than Lamar Jackson? Will Joe Burrow steal the show? Or is there a sleeper pick in our midst? These are all questions that need answering as part of our early predictions.

๐Ÿฆโ€โฌ› Lamar Jackson (+550 via BetMGM)

NFL MVP Odds 2025 as Preseason Begins: Early Prediction & Betting Favorites
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) warms up during training camp at Under Armour Performance Center. Photo by Mitch Stringer-Imagn Images

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: +550 via BetMGM ($10 to win $55)
๐Ÿ”ข Implied probability: 15.36%

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The man who leads the Super Bowl odds favorites is also the front-runner to win the NFL MVP - who knew?

Jackson led arguably the best offense in football last year and is in a prime position to do so again with the addition of DeAndre Hopkins and another year of Derrick Henry in the backfield.

The Ravens were the best rushing offense, third-best scoring offense, and the seventh-best passing offense in the NFL a year ago - all with Jackson as the focal point. There is really nobody in the league who can do what he does, leaving jockstraps on the field and breaking ankles with the best of them.

But the question remains, can he build off one of the best quarterback seasons in the history of football? After throwing for 41 touchdowns against four interceptions and running for nearly 1,000 yards, how can he possibly build off that season - one in which he didn't win the MVP?

It's a monumental task, so we're going to move on from his NFL MVP odds and into the loving arms of Mr. Burrow.

๐Ÿ… Joe Burrow (+650 via DraftKings)

NFL MVP Odds 2025 as Preseason Begins: Early Prediction & Betting Favorites
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) throws a pass during a preseason training camp practice. Photo by Sam Greene/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: +650 via DraftKings ($10 to win $65)
๐Ÿ”ข Implied probability: 13.33%

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That's right, fire up Joe Burrow during his redemption campaign.

I not only see him as the passing yards leader this season, but also as a prime candidate to capture the NFL MVP - and for good reason.

Despite the Bengals missing the playoffs last year, he still drew MVP buzz. Heโ€™ll once again carry a heavy workload, and with Cincinnati capable of winning the AFC North, the stage is set for him to take home one of the NFL's most coveted award.

Burrow didnโ€™t just top the league in passing yards - he finished nearly 300 yards clear of Jared Goff a year ago. Remember, Goff ran the highest-scroing offense in the league a year ago at 33 points per game.

Burrow also attempted 652 passes, far more than Aaron Rodgers, who ranked second with 584. Thatโ€™s elite volume, which should remain the same heading into this season.

With Jaโ€™Marr Chase and Tee Higgins back, and even Mike Gesicki capable of making big plays, expect him to maximize that workload and create plenty of scoring opportunities to pad those stats.

The Bengalsโ€™ defensive issues remain, which likely means even more offensive fireworks. Just like last year, you'll see Burrow trying to erase second-half deficits, and at +600 on FanDuel, the value speaks for itself.

๐Ÿ”ฎ NFL MVP odds and prediction: Sleeper pick

๐Ÿฆ Jared Goff (+3500 via Caesars)

NFL MVP Odds 2025 as Preseason Begins: Early Prediction & Betting Favorites
Jared Goff walks off the field after practice during training camp at Meijer Performance Center in Allen Park. Photo by Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK.

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: +3500 via Caesars ($10 to win $350)
๐Ÿ”ข Implied probability: 2.78%


The quarterback on the highest-scoring offense in football? At +3500? Sign me all the way up, please.

The Lions scored 33 points per game a year ago, three points more than any other team in the NFL - and you better believe Goff played a huge role in that.

Goff was firmly in the passenger's seat last year regarding NFL MVP odds consideration before a five-interception game against Houston knocked him down a few pegs. However, the Lions will undoubtedly be special once again this year, and at +3500 betting odds, you could do much worse on a flier.

โ“ NFL MVP odds FAQs

What are NFL MVP odds?

NFL MVP odds reflect the likelihood of a player winning the Most Valuable Player award in a given season. These odds are set by sportsbooks and updated throughout the year based on player performance, team success, and market movement. Shorter odds (like +300) suggest a stronger favorite, while longer odds (like +5000) indicate a longshot.

How do I bet on the NFL MVP?

To bet on the NFL MVP, visit a legal online sportsbook and navigate to the NFL futures section. Select the player you believe will win MVP, view their odds, and place your wager. For example, betting $100 on a +1000 MVP candidate would return $1,000 if they win.

Who usually wins the NFL MVP?

Quarterbacks dominate the NFL MVP award, winning over 85% of the time in recent decades. Voters typically reward elite stats, team success, and game-changing moments. Keep an eye on QBs from playoff-contending teams when evaluating MVP bets.

๐Ÿ’ต Best NFL betting sites

Want to bet on the NFL MVP? Check out our best NFL betting sites and the best sportsbook promos for the 2025-26 NFL season:

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