Jarrett Stidham Super Bowl MVP Odds: Is Broncos QB a Smart Futures Bet?
With only four teams remaining - and Bo Nix out for the playoffs - it's time to break down the Jarrett Stidham Super Bowl MVP odds.
Stidham has the longest odds among the four quarterbacks set to start Sunday on Conference Championship weekend. With the Denver Broncos listed as a 4.5-point betting underdog when they host the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship Game, he faces an uphill climb to win Super Bowl MVP.
📊 Jarrett Stidham Super Bowl MVP odds
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
Stidham’s Super Bowl MVP odds are longer than expected for a quarterback starting in a conference championship, as he hasn’t thrown a pass in an NFL game since 2023.
Despite that, bettors have been lining up to back the Broncos quarterback at +1900 or longer.
Here’s how Stidham’s Super Bowl MVP odds compare to Sunday’s other starting quarterbacks at the best sports betting sites:
| Quarterback | Team | Best odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | Seahawks | +260 via DraftKings |
| Drake Maye | Patriots | +300 via BetMGM |
| Matthew Stafford | Rams | +330 via FanDuel |
| Jarrett Stidham | Broncos | +2000 via Caesars |
With Stidham’s Super Bowl MVP odds at +2000, the market suggests he is the seventh-most likely player to win the award - behind the Los Angeles Rams’ Puka Nacua (+1600) and ahead of the Seattle Seahawks’ Rashid Shaheed (+3000).
🏔️ Who is Jarrett Stidham?
Our Dustin Saracini takes an in-depth look at Stidham's past performance in his What to Know About Jarrett Stidham.
Bettors should note that if Stidham (or any other player in the Super Bowl MVP betting market) doesn't advance to the Super Bowl, all bets on them to be crowned MVP of the Big Game would be graded as losers.
🐎 Will Jarrett Stidham win Super Bowl MVP?
It’s unlikely that Stidham will win Super Bowl MVP, as - barring a black swan event - the Broncos would be an underdog in the Super Bowl if they were able to upset the Patriots on Sunday.
However, seven of the last nine Super Bowl MVP winners have been quarterbacks, including Nick Foles, who began the 2017 season as the Philadelphia Eagles’ backup and didn’t start until Week 15.
If Foles could win Super Bowl MVP, there’s a path for Stidham to do the same. At +2000 odds, it’s worth a shot - he just has to win two games. Our Sean Tomlinson took a look at how backup quarterbacks have fared in the Super Bowl, and the link between Stidham and Foles.
Best bet: Jarrett Stidham to win Super Bowl MVP (+2000 via Caesars)
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🤑 Super Bowl MVP betting insights
Betting insights via BetMGM, current as of Jan. 21.
| Player | Odds | Ticket % 🎟️ | Handle % 💰 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye, QB, Patriots | +300 | 7.6% | 10.4% |
| Puka Nacua, WR, Rams | +1600 | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Stafford, QB, Rams | +300 | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Seahawks | +1200 | 4.8% | 26.3% |
| Bo Nix, QB, Broncos | Off the board | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Sam Darnold, QB, Seahawks | +240 | 3.4% | 7.2% |
| Jarrett Stidham, QB, Broncos | +2000 | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Kenneth Walker III, RB, Seahawks | +1400 | 2% | 0.8% |
| Nik Bonitto, LB, Broncos | +10000 | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Surtain III, CB, Broncos | +25000 | 1.3% | 0.4% |
💰 Recent Super Bowl MVP winners
Here are the recent Super Bowl MVP winners and their pregame betting odds:
| No. | Player | Pregame odds |
|---|---|---|
| LIX | Jalen Hurts, QB, Eagles | +375 |
| LVIII | Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs | +300 |
| LVII | Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs | +135 |
| LVI | Cooper Kupp, WR, Rams | +500 |
| LV | Tom Brady, QB, Buccaneers | +175 |
| LIV | Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs | +115 |
| LIII | Julian Edelman, WR, Patriots | +2000 |
| LII | Nick Foles, QB, Eagles | +325 |
| LI | Tom Brady, QB, Patriots | +150 |
| 50 | Von Miller, LB, Broncos | +2200 |
Seven of the last 10 Super Bowl MVPs were quarterbacks (of the winning team). As such, there's a clear path for Stidham to enter the conversation if the Broncos can get past the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship. If Stidham is one of the last two QBs standing after this weekend, his Super Bowl MVP odds will surely shrink considerably, regardless of his stat line on Sunday. Our C Jackson Cowart broke down the AFC Championship odds, while Gary Pearson explored what to expect from the matchup in his Patriots vs. Broncos prediction.
🐎 Broncos Super Bowl MVP history
Von Miller was the last Broncos player to win Super Bowl MVP, earning the honor in Super Bowl 50.
The last Broncos quarterback to win the award was John Elway in Super Bowl XXXIII on Jan. 31, 1999, while running back Terrell Davis took home the trophy the previous year.
🏆 Super Bowl MVP odds
Here are the Super Bowl MVP odds for all players via our best Super Bowl betting sites:
🔮 Patriots vs. Broncos predictions
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