Jarrett Stidham Super Bowl MVP Odds: Is Broncos QB a Smart Futures Bet?

We break down the Jarrett Stidham Super Bowl MVP odds to determine if there’s value in betting on Bo Nix’s replacement ahead of the AFC Championship.
Denver Broncos quarterback Jarrett Stidham (8), seen here dropping back to pass, is a long shot worth betting as we break down the Jarrett Stidham Super Bowl MVP odds.
Pictured: Denver Broncos quarterback Jarrett Stidham (8), seen here dropping back to pass, is a long shot worth betting as we break down the Jarrett Stidham Super Bowl MVP odds. Photo by David Gonzales / Imagn Images.
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With only four teams remaining - and Bo Nix out for the playoffs - it's time to break down the Jarrett Stidham Super Bowl MVP odds

Stidham has the longest odds among the four quarterbacks set to start Sunday. With the Denver Broncos listed as a 4.5-point betting underdog when they host the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship Game, he faces an uphill climb to win Super Bowl MVP.


📊 Jarrett Stidham Super Bowl MVP odds

See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.

Stidham’s Super Bowl MVP odds are longer than expected for a quarterback starting in a conference championship, as he hasn’t thrown a pass in an NFL game since 2023.

Despite that, bettors have been lining up to back the Broncos quarterback at +1900 or longer.

Here’s how Stidham’s Super Bowl MVP odds compare to Sunday’s other starting quarterbacks at the best sports betting sites:

Quarterback Team Best odds
Sam Darnold Seahawks +260 via DraftKings
Drake Maye Patriots +300 via BetMGM
Matthew Stafford Rams +330 via FanDuel
Jarrett Stidham Broncos +2000 via Caesars

With Stidham’s Super Bowl MVP odds at +2000, the market suggests he is the seventh-most likely player to win the award - behind the Los Angeles Rams’ Puka Nacua (+1600) and ahead of the Seattle Seahawks’ Rashid Shaheed (+3000).

🏔️ Who is Jarrett Stidham?

Our Dustin Saracini takes an in-depth look at Stidham's past performance in his What to Know About Jarrett Stidham.

Bettors should note that if Stidham (or any other player in the Super Bowl MVP betting market) doesn't advance to the Super Bowl, all bets on them to be crowned MVP of the Big Game would be graded as losers.


🐎 Will Jarrett Stidham win Super Bowl MVP?

It’s unlikely that Stidham will win Super Bowl MVP, as - barring a black swan event - the Broncos would be an underdog in the Super Bowl if they were able to upset the Patriots on Sunday.

However, seven of the last nine Super Bowl MVP winners have been quarterbacks, including Nick Foles, who began the 2017 season as the Philadelphia Eagles’ backup and didn’t start until Week 15.

If Foles could win Super Bowl MVP, there’s a path for Stidham to do the same. At +2000 odds, it’s worth a shot - he just has to win two games.

Best bet: Jarrett Stidham to win Super Bowl MVP (+2000 via Caesars)

💡 More NFL playoffs predictions

Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game through the playoffs.


💰 Recent Super Bowl MVP winners

Here are the recent Super Bowl MVP winners and their pregame betting odds:

No. Player Pregame odds
LIX Jalen Hurts, QB, Eagles +375
LVIII Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs +300
LVII Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs +135
LVI Cooper Kupp, WR, Rams +500
LV Tom Brady, QB, Buccaneers +175
LIV Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs +115
LIII Julian Edelman, WR, Patriots +2000
LII Nick Foles, QB, Eagles +325
LI Tom Brady, QB, Patriots +150
50 Von Miller, LB, Broncos +2200

Seven of the last 10 Super Bowl MVPs were quarterbacks (of the winning team). As such, there's a clear path for Stidham to enter the conversation if the Broncos can get past the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship. If Stidham is one of the last two QBs standing after this weekend, his Super Bowl MVP odds will surely shrink considerably, regardless of his stat line on Sunday.

🐎 Broncos Super Bowl MVP history

Von Miller was the last Broncos player to win Super Bowl MVP, earning the honor in Super Bowl 50.

The last Broncos quarterback to win the award was John Elway in Super Bowl XXXIII on Jan. 31, 1999, while running back Terrell Davis took home the trophy the previous year.


🏆 Super Bowl MVP odds

Here are the Super Bowl MVP odds for all players via our best Super Bowl betting sites:


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