NFL Draft Bold Predictions: Bijan Robinson Pick, Odds and Longshot Tickets for the 1st Round
The NFL Draft is almost here and there are thousands of props available to cash in on. Sportsbook Review's betting experts have collected their best NFL draft bold predictions. Read on for our NFL draft bold predictions based on the best NFL draft odds.
The NFL draft is one of the toughest events to predict, with the secrecy around each pick, constantly changing draft odds, and the surprise trades made each year. And for that reason, anyone betting on the NFL draft would be foolish not to include some long-shot bets to their collection.
With that in mind, here are four NFL draft bold predictions from Sportsbook Review's experts.
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NFL draft bold predictions: 1st-round picks
| Shane Jackson | Michael McClymont | Jon Metler | Neil Parker | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | Ravens draft RB Bijan Robinson | Giants draft WR Quentin Johnston | Lukas Van Ness No. 6 pick | Under 4.5 quarterbacks in Round 1 |
| Best Odds | +4000 | +1100 | +7500 | +160 |
| Best Sportsbook | FanDuel | bet365 | FanDuel | bet365 |
Check out our 2023 NFL Mock Draft 3.0
NFL draft bold predictions
Ravens draft RB Bijan Robinson (+4000 via FanDuel)
Let’s get weird, shall we? Texas running back Bijan Robinson is being mocked by many to No. 8 by the Atlanta Falcons, despite the fact a running back hasn’t been drafted in the top 10 since 2018. But many NFL teams will be tempted by Robinson outside the top 10.
The Ravens pick at No. 22, and will likely target a wide receiver or cornerback. If neither are available, I wouldn’t be surprised if they view Robinson as too much of a steal at that spot. The Ravens selected safety Kyle Hamilton at No. 14 and center Tyler Linderbaum at No. 25 last year, neither of which are considered premium positions.
Baltimore is going to try to make Lamar Jackson happy, and an offensive weapon like Robinson could do just the trick in the midst of contract negotiations. If Jackson ends up playing elsewhere, Baltimore’s next quarterback could be stepping in a favorable position with a supporting group that features Robinson, tight end Mark Andrews, and wideouts Rashod Bateman and Odell Beckham Jr.
At +4000, it's worth a flier on a team that we know likes to run the ball. - Jackson
Check out our 2023 NFL Draft odds
Giants draft WR Quentin Johnston (+1100 via bet365)
No chance the New York Giants enter the 2023 season with Sterling Shepard, Parris Campbell, Isaiah Hodgins, and Wan'Dale Robinson leading the depth chart at receiver. The free-agent market was thin at receiver, but the draft pool is deep, especially with first-round talents.
ESPN's Todd McShay believes TCU's Quentin Johnston is among a group of three wideout prospects that can go in the No. 20-to-31 range. The Giants pick 25th and could use a 6-foot-3 target who can make quarterback Daniel Jones look good by breaking tackles and busting off yards after the catch. See: His 163-yard performance versus Michigan in the College Football Playoff semifinal. - McClymont
No. 6 overall pick: Lukas Van Ness (+7500 via FanDuel)
I've read a few mock drafts that suggest the Detroit Lions might choose a defensive lineman with their sixth overall pick, with players like Tyree Wilson, Will Anderson, or Jalen Carter being the most commonly mentioned. However, I have a bold prediction that the Lions will surprise everyone and pick Lukas Van Ness from Iowa to pair with Aidan Hutchinson.
Van Ness seems like the kind of player that Dan Campbell, the Lions' coach, would like, and his weaknesses are some of Hutchinson's strengths. With some mentorship from Hutchinson, Van Ness could become another star on the defensive line.
This might seem like a long shot at +7500, but if you look at some mock drafts, you'll see that many of them have Van Ness being drafted in the top 10, just not necessarily by the Lions. - Metler
Under 4.5 quarterbacks in Round 1 (+160 via bet365)
This is strictly a fade on Tennessee quarterback Hendon Hooker being selected in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft.
The already 25-year-old prospect suffered a torn ACL in his left knee in November and ran a one-read offense with the Volunteers that will make acclimatizing to the NFL a potentially steep learning curve. Those are two immediate red flags.
My first reason for some hesitation, though, is I don’t trust NFL executives to make the right decision. Project quarterbacks are selected too early nearly every year; just look at the 2021 and 2018 quarterback classes for examples of that.
The second cause for concern is there’s been considerable steam on the odds for Hooker to be selected in the first round, and I’m going against the line movement with this bold prediction. - Parker
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