First Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Thursday Night Football: Falcons vs. Buccaneers TD Picks

My Falcons vs. Buccaneers first touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Night Football feature Tyler Allgeier, Bucky Irving, and a long shot listed at +3300 odds. 

The Buccaneers enter as a 5.5-point betting favorite over the Falcons, with kickoff from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla., set for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let's dive into my TNF picks as part of our NFL predictions for Week 15.

First touchdown scorer predictions: Falcons vs. Buccaneers

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 15 based on the latest NFL odds.

Best Thursday Night Football first touchdown scorer bets

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Tyler Allgeier, RB, Falcons (+1200) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

I’m surprised DraftKings is offering Allgeier at +1200.

The Falcons running back has scored an anytime touchdown in seven of his 13 games this season, has delivered the team’s first touchdown in five of those matchups, and has hit as the game’s first touchdown scorer twice. While it’s unlikely the Falcons strike first tonight, if they do, Allgeier has a strong chance to cash this bet.

DraftKings’ +1200 price on Allgeier to score first is the best among the best sports betting sites. The odds reflect a 7.69% implied probability, and a winning $10 ticket would return $120 in profit.

Looking for an SGP to root for while watching Thursday Night Football? Check out Brenden Schaeffer's Falcons vs. Buccaneers same-game parlay.   

Bucky Irving, RB, Buccaneers (+675) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield has thrown for 194 yards or fewer in four straight games, so if the Buccaneers score first, we’ll likely need to rely on Irving to cash a bet for us.

Irving has hit as an anytime touchdown scorer in each of his last three games and delivered the Buccaneers’ first touchdown against the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. While he hasn’t cashed as a first touchdown scorer this season, the market is rarely wrong, and he has the shortest odds among Tampa Bay players because the Buccaneers will likely lean on their run game today with Mayfield struggling.

Irving’s +675 odds carry an implied probability of 12.9%, and a winning $10 ticket would profit $67.50.

Our Dustin Saracini also expects Irving to score in his Falcons vs. Buccaneers player props, and Gary Pearson backs Tampa Bay to exceed expectations tonight in his Falcons vs. Buccaneers prediction.

David Sills V, WR, Falcons (+3300) ⭐⭐⭐

David Sills V is my best long shot for Thursday Night Football. While this bet is unlikely to cash, the +3300 price at bet365 is far too high - it should be closer to +2400.

Although Sills had zero receptions on four targets in Sunday’s loss to the Seattle Seahawks, he has scored a touchdown in two of his last three games and hit as the first touchdown scorer in a road matchup against the Saints in Week 12.

Sills’ odds to score first are as low as +1600 at some of the best NFL betting sites, so take the +3300 at bet365 - which carries an implied probability of 2.94% - while it’s still available. A winning $10 bet would profit $330.

Our Esten McLaren features more TD picks in his anytime touchdown scorer predictions.

First touchdown scorer odds: Falcons vs. Buccaneers

See all of our NFL touchdown props for Thursday Night Football and more.

How to watch Thursday Night Football: Falcons vs. Buccaneers

• Date: Thursday, Dec. 11
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Fla.)
• TV: Prime Video