Falcons vs. Vikings Expert Picks: SNF Player Props, Touchdown Predictions & More

Last Updated: September 14, 2025 5:36 PM EDT • 4 minute read X Social Google News Link

After an absolute thriller on Sunday Football last week to open the NFL season, Week 2 brings an intriguing matchup between the Atlanta Falcons (0-1) and Minnesota Vikings (1-0) at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. We've gathered our best Falcons vs. Vikings expert picks ahead of kickoff tonight at 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC).
Falcons vs. Vikings expert picks: Sunday Night Football
NFL picks for Sunday Night Football with pick confidence based on 1-to-5-star scale; see the latest NFL odds for the best available price.
- Against the spread pick: Falcons +3.5 (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop pick: Michael Penix Jr. Over 33.5 pass attempts (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Touchdown scorer prediction: T.J. Hockenson to score anytime TD (+250 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- First touchdown prediction: Bijan Robinson to score first TD (+500 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Don't miss our Falcons vs. Vikings parlay picks for our best plus-money parlay!

Best Falcons vs. Vikings picks for Sunday Night Football
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Best ATS pick: Falcons +3.5 ⭐⭐⭐
Here's what our NFL expert Gary Pearson wrote this week on why he's expecting the Falcons to keep it close tonight as underdogs:
"Yes, Vikings' QB J.J. McCarthy set records for a signal-caller in his debut, and he ranked among the most clutch QBs in Week 1.
However, much of that success was thanks to the Chicago Bears' implosion on both sides of the ball. I cannot discount McCarthy's first-half struggles so flippantly. I find it impossible to imagine his adaptation to life in the NFL consists of just one half of football."
Pearson also breaks down more about his ATS pick and his favorite prop bet in his Falcons vs. Vikings prediction.
Best player prop pick: Michael Penix Jr. Over 33.5 pass attempts ⭐⭐⭐
Here's why our NFL expert Matt Jacob is betting on Falcons quarterback Michael Penix Jr. to air it out tonight on Sunday Night Football:
"If someone created a graph that tracked Falcons quarterback Michael Penix’s passing attempts since he became the starter, the line would be pointing due north. First start: 27 attempts. Second: 35. Third: 38. Fourth: 42 (last week against Tampa Bay).
That’s pretty clear evidence that Falcons coach Raheem Morris is loosening the leash on his 2024 first-round pick with each passing (no pun intended) game. There’s no reason to think Penix won’t continue to air things out Sunday night in Minnesota (where, by the way, Kirk Cousins threw the ball 37 times in his penultimate game as the Vikings’ starter back in Week 14 of last season)."
Jacob is also betting on two Vikings stars to be involved tonight with his best Falcons vs. Vikings player prop bets. Penix is also featured prominently in our Michael Penix vs. J.J. McCarthy player prop picks.
Best touchdown scorer prediction: T.J. Hockenson to score anytime TD ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Here's why our NFL expert Esten McLaren is betting on Vikings tight end T.J. Hockenson as his best anytime touchdown scorer pick for Sunday Night Football:
"Hockenson caught three of four targets but for only 15 yards last week in QB J.J. McCarthy's regular-season debut. Much of the first half for the Vikings offense can be thrown out, and I expect a bigger and better game for Hockenson and others with McCarthy's newfound confidence following the comeback win over the Chicago Bears.
The Falcons held Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Cade Otton without a catch last week, but Minnesota lacks receiving threats outside of No. 1 Justin Jefferson with Jordan Addison under suspension. The 6-foot-5, 248-pound Hockenson should be more heavily featured tonight, and I'm backing him to score his first touchdown since score five times in 2023."
McLaren also has his focus on two Falcons pass-catchers at long odds as part of his Falcons vs. Vikings anytime touchdown scorer predictions.
Best first touchdown scorer prediction: Bijan Robinson to score first TD ⭐⭐⭐
Here's why our NFL expert Isaiah Sirois is betting on Falcons running back Bijan Robinson to score the first touchdown on Sunday Night Football:
"The Falcons are loaded with talent on offense, but no one jumps out more than running back Bijan Robinson. Last year, Robinson ranked second in the NFL in red-zone carries with 59. He also ranked third on the Falcons in red-zone targets with seven. This year, he already has four red-zone rushing attempts and a receiving touchdown that he posted from outside the red zone.
That kind of volume is exactly what you want with a first touchdown scorer pick. Robinson is Atlanta’s first choice near the goal line, and he has the athleticism necessary to turn a screen pass or dump-off from a short-yardage gain into a broken scoring play."
Sirois also breaks down his favorite Vikings bet and long shot in his first touchdown scorer predictions for Sunday Night Football.
How to watch Sunday Night Football: Falcons vs. Vikings info
- When: Sunday, Sept. 14
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Where: U.S. Bank Stadium (Minneapolis)
- How to watch: NBC
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