Drake Maye MVP Odds: Will Patriots QB Take Over as Favorite on Monday Night Football?

Drake Maye was the favorite by the NFL MVP odds for a brief moment last month before Matthew Stafford wrestled away the top spot. But he could steal it right back tonight when his New England Patriots host the New York Giants on Monday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN) from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass.

The second-year star is priced behind only Stafford, who was pulling away as the overwhelming favorite before throwing two interceptions in the Los Angeles Rams' stunning loss to the Carolina Panthers on Sunday. That opens the door for Maye to seize the top spot again with just five more weeks left in the 2025 season.

Here's a look at the latest Drake Maye MVP odds entering Monday Night Football and how I'd bet this market ahead of Week 14:

📊 Drake Maye MVP odds entering Monday Night Football: Week 13

Latest NFL MVP odds from our best NFL betting sites as of Monday, Dec. 1.

Entering the season, Maye was priced as a 50/1 long shot to win MVP following an impressive albeit inconsistent rookie season. But he's been nothing short of sensational in his sophomore campaign for New England.

The Patriots passer enters Monday Night Football ranked third in passing yards (3,130) and fifth in touchdowns (21) while boasting the NFL's highest completion rate (71%). He's thrown just six interceptions despite featuring the second-highest yards per attempt (8.8), and his QBR (73.0) trails only Dak Prescott and Patrick Mahomes as of Week 13.

As a result, Maye's MVP odds have skyrocketed in recent weeks with his current best odds sitting at +145 across our best NFL prop betting sites, which implies a 40.82% chance that he wins the award and would turn a $100 bet into a $145 profit if he does. Those are his shortest odds all season - and they could get even shorter tonight.

🏆 Should you bet on Drake Maye to win NFL MVP in 2025?

There are two schools of thought when betting on the MVP award: chasing value and predicting the actual winner.

From a value perspective, it's hard to find a better bet right now than Maye, who features an "MVP profile" as a top-five rated passer across the board for a team that has a legitimate chance of claiming the No. 1 seed in the AFC. It's an even stronger narrative case considering how few people expected the Patriots to even win the division this year, let alone compete for a first-round bye and a possible Super Bowl run.

This could theoretically be the last time to get Maye at plus-money odds, too, after Stafford sullied his chances to win the award with his turnover-laden performance in Carolina. If Maye goes out tonight and throws multiple touchdowns against a shaky Giants secondary, he could vault to the very top of the oddsboard.

All of that said ... I still think Stafford is going to win this award, and the betting market clearly agrees. If the Rams star returns to form next week against the Arizona Cardinals, I won't be surprised if he's the runaway favorite shortly thereafter. And Maye isn't without his blemishes, too, having thrown four interceptions in his last five games with back-to-back games throwing just one touchdown.

So what would I do in this case? If you think Maye is set for a strong performance tonight, I'd recommend adding an MVP bet to your portfolio at these plus-money odds while they last. And if he's the favorite by Tuesday morning? I'd sprinkle a little on Stafford at that point, too, and guarantee yourself a profit when the award is announced in February.

📊 Live NFL MVP odds 2025

See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.