NFL Divisional Round Parlay: Best Long-Shot Parlay Picks for Divisional Round
My NFL Divisional Round parlay features two separate plays, one of which will profit $487 if all five legs hit.
And the other, as part of our NFL Divisional Round predictions, features moneyline projections for all four games on tap. My focus centers on the NFC, where three teams from the NFC West and the Chicago Bears battle for two NFC Championship spots.
🎯 My best Divisional Round long shot parlay
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this postseason.
💵 Divisional Round long-shot parlay
- Bills vs. Broncos: Bills ML (-102)
- Rams vs. Bears: Colston Loveland Over 54.5 receiving yards (-114)
- Rams vs. Bears: Colby Parkinson Over 19.5 receiving yards (-114)
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: Brock Purdy Over 17.5 rushing yards (-114)
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: 49ers ML (+280)
Best odds: +4878 via FanDuel ($10 to win $487.76)
If you haven't read my Bills vs. Broncos prediction or against the spread picks for the Divisional Round, let me catch you up: Josh Allen. Allen is No. 1 in my NFL QB rankings, and he is the difference-maker the Bills will need to clear the formidable Denver hurdle.
Colston Loveland was exceptional in his playoff debut, amassing 137 receiving yards. After that performance, the towering tight end will be one of Caleb Williams' go-to options, especially in the wintery conditions.
Rams tight end Colby Parkinson needs only one 20-yard reception to hit the Over, which he did in Carolina.
Could the biggest underdogs, via the Divisional Round odds, pull off the improbable upset? I'm taking a flier on this one and saying yes. The 49ers are 8-2 on the road and have enough game-breakers to make it happen. Brock Purdy, meanwhile, rushed for at least 21 yards in the previous three games, including against the Seahawks in Week 18.
💡 More Divisional Round predictions;
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game during Wild Card Weekend.
🚀 My best moneyline parlay picks for Divisional Round
I'm banking on the Bills' 20th-ranked defense to hold their own against the Broncos' 15th-ranked offense. If that occurs, Allen and his fourth-best offense will take care of the rest.
The 49ers must play mistake-free football to pull off this enormous upset. That means Purdy must have his best game of the season, along with Sam Darnold turning it over once or twice. Both are reasonable expectations.
Drake Maye has all season shown his unflappable composure in the face of stiff adversity. I expect him to be more productive than a Texans offense that was disjointed in Pittsburgh. In addition, the Texans' defense, inarguably one of the most elite, was fortunate enough to face middling offenses for most of the second half of the season. That won't be the case against New England's third-ranked unit.
It's time for Matthew Stafford, who is 1-9 in his last 10 playing in rain or snow, to conquer his cold-weather demons. It will be close, but Stafford won't miss out on this opportunity against a Chicago team that will finally run out of lives.
| Game | Prediction | Odds (BetMGM) | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills vs. Broncos | Bills | -102 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | 49ers | +270 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Patriots | -170 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Rams vs. Bears | Rams | -200 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total odds: +1646 via BetMGM | $10 bet pays $164.52
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