NFL AI Predictions for Divisional Round: ATS Picks & Score Projections for Every Playoff Game
Last Updated: January 14, 2026 6:00 AM EST • 5 minute read X Social Google News Link
We're down to eight teams vying for a spot in Super Bowl 2026, and our NFL AI predictions continue this week with score predictions and projected stats for all four games in the Divisional Round via our advanced AI model.
We trained the latest ChatGPT model to offer its projected scores for every game this weekend based on real-time search and advanced metrics. As always, these are intended for entertainment only with everything below generated by our AI model. For our (human) expert picks, check out all of our NFL playoff predictions for the Divisional Round.
🤖 NFL AI predictions: Divisional Round
AI pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; see the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for the Divisional Round.
| Prediction | ATS pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Bills 31, Broncos 23 | Bills +1.5 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Seahawks 27, 49ers 20 | 49ers +7.5 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Patriots 24, Texans 20 | Patriots -3 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Rams 30, Bears 24 | Rams -3.5 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
🦬 Bills (+1.5) at Broncos
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
| Broncos | 7 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 |
🔢 Bills projected stats
- Passing leader: Josh Allen — 26/38, 287 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: James Cook — 18 carries, 91 yards, 1 TD
- Receiving leader: Khalil Shakir — 7 receptions, 94 yards
🔢 Broncos projected stats
- Passing leader: Bo Nix — 23/35, 258 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: R.J. Harvey — 15 carries, 69 yards
- Receiving leader: Courtland Sutton — 6 receptions, 87 yards
🔮 Bills vs. Broncos prediction
Buffalo’s ability to stay balanced under pressure is the difference in this matchup. Josh Allen’s willingness to take what the defense gives him, paired with James Cook’s efficiency on early downs, allows the Bills to avoid long-yardage situations and sustain drives. Against a Denver defense that thrives on disruption, that consistency matters more than explosive plays.
Denver keeps this competitive behind Bo Nix’s poise and home-field energy, but finishing drives remains the issue. The Broncos move the ball in spurts, yet Buffalo’s red-zone efficiency and late-game composure allow them to create separation in the second half. In a game that feels tight for three quarters, the Bills pull away late.
Score prediction: Bills 31, Broncos 23
⛏️ 49ers (+7.5) at Seahawks
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| Seahawks | 7 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
🔢 Seahawks projected stats
- Passing leader: Sam Darnold — 22/31, 247 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT
- Rushing leader: Kenneth Walker III — 18 carries, 86 yards
- Receiving leader: Jaxon Smith-Njigba — 7 receptions, 97 yards, 1 TD
🔢 49ers projected stats
- Passing leader: Brock Purdy — 21/33, 233 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: Christian McCaffrey — 17 carries, 71 yards
- Receiving leader: Jauan Jennings — 6 receptions, 79 yards
🔮 49ers vs. Seahawks prediction
Seattle has a clean blueprint in this rematch: win early downs, keep Brock Purdy in longer-yardage, and let the pass rush and coverage do the work. That approach just held San Francisco to 127 passing yards in the Week 18 meeting, and the matchup leans even more Seattle’s way with George Kittle out for the season.
San Francisco can hang around by leaning on Christian McCaffrey and shortening the game, but the margin gets thin if they’re chasing points and forced into obvious passing situations. With Seattle’s offense trending toward efficient, methodical drives (and Jaxon Smith-Njigba continuing to be the volume engine), the projection calls for the Seahawks to control the fourth quarter and win but the 49ers to cover in a tight contest.
Score prediction: Seahawks 27, 49ers 20
🪖 Patriots (-3) vs. Texans
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| Patriots | 7 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 24 |
🔢 Patriots projected stats
- Passing leader: Drake Maye — 27/41, 312 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: TreVeyon Henderson — 18 carries, 76 yards
- Receiving leader: Stefon Diggs — 8 receptions, 103 yards
🔢 Texans projected stats
- Passing leader: C.J. Stroud — 23/36, 254 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: Woody Marks — 15 carries, 69 yards
- Receiving leader: Christian Kirk — 6 receptions, 78 yards
🔮 Texans vs. Patriots prediction
Houston’s defensive profile has been one of the strongest in the league all season — particularly against the pass — and that gives the Texans a chance to keep this close in Foxborough. The Patriots’ secondary has a key question mark with Christian Gonzalez in concussion protocol this week, which could open up opportunities for Houston’s intermediate passing game if he’s limited or out.
Offensively, New England’s balanced attack with Drake Maye and TreVeyon Henderson allows them to control chunks of the game, and their comfort with situational football at home typically matters most in low-scoring playoff affairs. Houston’s offense will need efficient ball security and chunk gains from Christian Kirk and Woody Marks to stay competitive, but the Patriots’ ability to manufacture points in key moments likely decides a tightly contested divisional battle.
Score prediction: Patriots 24, Texans 20
🐏 Rams (-3.5) at Bears
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | 7 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 30 |
| Bears | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24 |
🔢 Rams projected stats
- Passing leader: Matthew Stafford — 24/38, 285 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: Kyren Williams — 17 carries, 76 yards
- Receiving leader: Puka Nacua — 9 receptions, 112 yards, 1 TD
🔢 Bears projected stats
- Passing leader: Caleb Williams — 28/42, 251 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: D’Andre Swift — 15 carries, 62 yards
- Receiving leader: D.J. Moore — 7 receptions, 88 yards
🔮 Rams vs. Bears prediction
Los Angeles’ offensive efficiency and depth clearly tilt this matchup in their favor. Despite Matthew Stafford’s finger sprain, he’s confirmed as active and coming off a 304-yard, three-touchdown Wild Card performance, and his connection with Puka Nacua has been prolific this season — Nacua led the NFL with 129 receptions and ranked second with 1,715 yards. With Chicago’s defense ranking poorly in both pass and total defense metrics, the Rams’ balanced attack has multiple avenues to sustain drives and convert in key moments.
Chicago hangs around behind Caleb Williams’ late-game poise and an offense that can mix tempo and keep chains moving, but their defense’s vulnerability — particularly without key personnel — makes it tough to limit explosive plays. Even if cold weather at Soldier Field caps some deep shots, Los Angeles’ efficiency on intermediate throws and red-zone execution gives them a late-game edge in a matchup projected to stay competitive until the fourth quarter.
Score prediction: Rams 30, Bears 24
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