Cowboys vs. Packers Picks, Predictions Week 10: Pack’s Struggles Continue in McCarthy's Lambeau Return

Check out our best Cowboys vs. Packers picks and predictions!
Connor Cooper
Connor Cooper

Last Updated: November 13, 2022 4:20 AM EST • 3 minute read

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The Green Bay Packers host the Dallas Cowboys at Lambeau Field Sunday afternoon. Can the Packers avoid their first six-game losing streak in 34 years? Find out in our Cowboys-Packers Week 10 picks and predictions.

Green Bay’s playoff hopes are quickly slipping away, and things won’t get easier when Dallas head coach Mike McCarthy leads the 6-2 Cowboys into town for his first visit to Lambeau since Green Bay fired him in 2018.

We like McCarthy to exact revenge as one of our Cowboys-Packers picks and predictions (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, PointsBet and Caesars Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5 star scale.)

Check out all of our NFL picks for Week 10, along with our best bets and touchdown scorer props.

Cowboys vs. Packers Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 13, 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV: FOX
  • Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
  • Weather: 36 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 10-mph winds

Cowboys vs. Packers Odds

Cowboys vs. Packers Odds Analysis

Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers has never been a 4-point or more home underdog in his career, but that could change this week. The Cowboys opened as 3-point road favorites before moving to as high as -5, receiving 69% of the early money and 72% of tickets. Action on the total has split with 55% of bettors supporting the Over but 58% of the handle backing the Under.

Cowboys vs. Packers Picks

  • Spread: Cowboys -4.5 (-105 via FanDuel) ★★★★
  • Over/Under: Under 44 (-107 via PointsBet) ★★
  • Prop: Aaron Rodgers Over 0.5 interceptions (+133 via Caesars) ★★★★

Cowboys vs. Packers ATS Pick

Cowboys -4.5 (-105) ★★★★

Dallas has dominated since quarterback Dak Prescott returned from injury, outscoring the Lions and Bears 73-35 in two games before its bye. Prescott hasn’t put up eye-popping numbers, averaging less than 200 passing yards in his three season starts, but the simple threat of a downfield air attack opens up ground opportunities for running backs Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard.

Elliott missed the Cowboys’ last game with a knee injury, and his status for Sunday was uncertain at the time of writing. If he's missing, it means more work for Pollard, who gained 131 yards on 14 runs against Chicago and averages 6.2 yards per carry this season.

On the other side of the field, the Packers are an absolute mess, losing five straight games for the first time since Rodgers’ rookie season in 2008. Rodgers' lingering thumb injury caused him to miss some practice time this week, and he matched a career high three interceptions in Green Bay's 15-9 loss to Detroit. Top RB Aaron Jones is also banged up (ankle), veteran wide receiver Randal Cobb and sack leader Rashan Gary are out, and WRs Allen Lazard and Romeo Doubs might miss this one as well.

Cowboys vs. Packers O/U Pick

Under 44 (-107) ★★

Green Bay’s best chance is to keep this game low-scoring, because the Packers certainly won't put up many points themselves. Green Bay averaged less than 14 points per game over the past month and cracked the 24-point plateau in regulation time just once all year. Rodgers still doesn’t have any chemistry with his receivers, and now he might need to adjust to some new ones if Lazard and Doubs can't play.

Although the Cowboys exploded for 49 points last time out, Dallas is built on defense. The Cowboys have given up 10 points or less in three of their last four victories and allowed more than 19 just twice all season. Just one of Dallas’ games this year has seen more points scored than this total of 43.

Cowboys vs. Packers Prop Pick

Rodgers Over 0.5 interceptions (+133)  ★★★★

Rodgers is notoriously careful with the ball, throwing just 15 interceptions over his past four full seasons, but Green Bay’s struggles this year have forced him to take more chances. He threw three interceptions last week in Detroit — including two inside the Lions’ five-yard line — and has now been picked seven times through nine games.

Dallas led the NFL with 26 interceptions last season and has seven through eight matchups this year. The Cowboys also have the type of pass rush that can force Rodgers into throwing the ball before he wants to, leading the NFL with 33 sacks.

Where to Bet on Cowboys vs. Packers Picks

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

Cowboys-Packers picks made 11/11/2022 at 9:56 a.m. ET

Written by:
Connor Cooper
Connor Cooper has written about sports in various capacities for more than 20 years, including as a newspaper reporter, sports handicapper, and betting analyst. He originates hockey plays every day throughout the NHL season, regularly bets his own opinions based on NFL experience and college football, and relies on handicappers he trusts to find daily action in basketball, baseball, soccer, tennis, and golf. A diehard Maple Leafs and Blue Jays fan growing up in the Toronto area, Connor quickly shed all his allegiances once he realized that making money betting on sports was much more fun than cheering for his favorite team. Connor won’t hesitate to bet on — or against — anybody if that’s where the value lies. In addition to analyzing recent and season-long statistics, Connor always looks to account for the human element when breaking down games, weighing situational and motivational factors into his handicapping process. He's also a big believer in finding creative ways to generate more value, constantly scouring BetMGM, Caesar, FanDuel, and other regulated sportsbooks' derivative markets such as team totals, alternate lines, and player props.