Brock Purdy TNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds
Brock Purdy will line up against the Seattle Seahawks tonight at 8:15 p.m. ET for the fourth time since his rookie season, with the San Francisco 49ers signal-caller looking to build on his 368-yard passing outburst the last time he faced them.
- Purdy is 3-0 against the Seahawks, averaging 265 passing yards, 19 completions and 28 attempts per contest
- So far this season, he's averaging 275 passing yards, 20.6 completions, and 31.4 attempts
- The Thursday Night Football odds have the 49ers as 3.5-point favorites at our best NFL betting sites
Despite being plagued by injuries and inconsistency, the 49ers remain among the Super Bowl odds favorites.
Our Purdy TNF player props, part of our TNF coverage including the 49ers vs. Seahawks prediction, 49ers vs. Seahawks parlay, and 49ers vs Seahawks player props, focus on whether the Seahawks' pass defense is as good as the stats suggest.
Brock Purdy prop predictions for Thursday Night Football
- Brock Purdy touchdown pick: Over 1.5 TD passes (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Brock Purdy Over 250.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Brock Purdy Under 31.5 passing attempts (-120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
NFL odds as of Thursday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
Brock Purdy touchdown pick vs. Seahawks
Brock Purdy touchdown pick: Over 1.5 TD passes (-118) ⭐⭐⭐
While it's not a must-win situation, the 49ers are as close to that scenario as you can get so early in the season. Tonight's trip to Seattle represents an ideal opportunity for Purdy to step up and show why he's one of the most reliable quarterbacks in the league.
While he has hit the Over on this prop just once in five games, tossing three touchdowns against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 3, the Seahawks have allowed three passing touchdowns in the last two games. Plus, he deserved a lot better in the opener against the New York Jets, with a rusty Deebo Samuel dropping a dime in the end zone.
Seattle's safety Julian Love is questionable with a hamstring injury, while cornerback Riq Woolen has been ruled out. If Love cannot play, Seattle will be forced to start Coby Bryant, who played on just 147 snaps last season and 40 so far in 2024.
Purdy had 31 touchdown passes in 16 contests last season but had Christian McCaffrey at his disposal. Even without McCaffrey, Purdy has enough attacking weapons to expose a depleted Seahawks secondary.
FanDuel offers the best price at -118. A winning $10 bet will profit $8.47.
Best odds: -118 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 54.13%
Brock Purdy player props
NFL picks made Thurssday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Brock Purdy Over 250.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Seahawks have conceded 251 or more passing yards just once this season. They were exposed for 273 against a perfect Jared Goff, who completed all 18 pass attempts. While the Seahawks' pass defense looks good at a cursory glance, its walls disintegrate when you analyze the level of competition.
Seattle has played the New York Giants (16th-ranked pass offense), Denver Broncos (29th), New England Patriots (27th), and the Skylar Thompson-led Miami Dolphins (31st).
Purdy has hit the Over on this prop three times while coming close last week (244) against the Arizona Cardinals. Had he not thrown a costly pick in the final minute, he would have gone Over.
With Seattle's inflated pass defense stats and injury troubles, including the unavailable Byron Murphy II, Purdy should be able to hit the Over for the fourth time in the last five games.
Our best sports betting apps range from 250.5 to 253.5 yards, with bet365 offering excellent value at the lower 250.5 range. FanDuel offers a more expensive price (-113) and the highest total (253.5).
A winning $10 bet at bet365 pays a profit of $9.09.
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
Brock Purdy Under 31.5 passing attempts (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Purdy has hit this Over in three of five contests, but I'm assuming the 49ers won't be chasing this contest and should be able to run concertedly throughout.
He didn't attempted 32 passes in any of his three previous outings against the Seahawks, and I expect him to fall just below this number in Week 6.
FanDuel is the only one of our best sports betting apps offering 30.5. Their -114 price isn't substantially better than the -120 BetMGM offers for 31.5 pass attempts. I'm looking for a slight buffer at a competitive price, which BetMGM offers.
A winning $10 bet pays a profit of $8.33.
Best odds: -120 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 54.55%
49ers vs. Seahawks odds
Thursday Night Football game info
- Matchup: 49ers vs. Seahawks
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Lumen Field (Seattle)
- How to watch: Amazon Prime Video
- Weather: 54 degrees, 6 mph winds, 20% chance of rain
- Favorite: 49ers -3.5 (-105 via FanDuel)
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