Bills vs. Broncos Prediction, Picks & Best Bets: Today's NFL Divisional Round
Following a bye, Denver looks to prove they are deserving of the No. 1 seed in today's Divisional Round at Empower Field at Mile High (4:30 p.m. ET, CBS), but I'm backing Buffalo to advance to the AFC Championship for the second consecutive season in my Bills vs. Broncos prediction.
The line has moved back and forth all week, with the Broncos currently favored by 1.5 points. Denver has won 13 of its last 14 games and carries a nine-game streak in one-score contests. Despite that run, Iβm backing the battle-tested Josh Allen, who consistently raises his level in the postseason. The opinion below is part of our comprehensive NFL Divisional Round predictions.
π Bills vs. Broncos prediction today: NFL Divisional Round
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this postseason.
| Predictions | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Bills ML | -102 via FanDuel | ββββ |
| Under 46.5 | -115 via FanDuel | βββ |
| Josh Allen anytime TD | -105 via FanDuel | ββββ |
π° Bills vs. Broncos best bet: Bills ML (-102) ββββ
Follow all of our NFL analysis and betting advice for the 2026 NFL playoffs.
This game should come down to the fourth quarter, and there's nobody I'd rather have under center than Allen, who is 8-2 in the playoffs against teams not named the Kansas City Chiefs.
He ranks first in several key statistical categories and is No. 1 in my NFL QB ratings. While Bo Nix will one day have an impressive playoff record, the Bills will take advantage of the sophomore's inexperience.
Buffalo's defense is at best mediocre, and while its second-worst run-stop is concerning, Denver's middling ground attack isn't strong enough to dominate. Meanwhile, the mismatch on the other side is why our Sean Tomlinson is also taking the road team in the Bills vs. Broncos prediction markets.
Score prediction: Bills 23, Broncos 20
🔥 Bills vs. Broncos SGP
Our Phil Wood is also on the Bills moneyline as the first leg of his Bills vs. Broncos same-game parlay, with total odds of +823.
π Best Bills vs. Broncos touchdown scorer prediction today: Josh Allen (-105) ββββ
See all of our NFL touchdown props for the 2026 NFL playoffs.
Allen scored four TDs in the last three playoff games, punching it in twice against the Jacksonville Jaguars last week. I mean, come on, did you see his 10-yard tush push to set up the game-winning score? Brute force combined with unparalleled willpower facilitated it.
Allen has eight TDs in the previous seven playoff games, and with so much on the line, he'll be at his best again. Even the stingy Denver defense won't be able to stop him from hitting pay dirt. Our Mike Spector also backs Allen to score with his Bills vs. Broncos anytime touchdown scorer predictions.
Corey Scott features another Allen prop in his Bills vs. Broncos player props.
💰️ Bills vs. Broncos expert picks
π Bills vs. Broncos odds today
Our live Bills vs. Broncos odds update in real time.
π Latest odds:
Latest odds for Bills vs. Broncos via BetMGM.
The odds have held fairly steady throughout the week, with the Broncos still listed as a -120 moneyline favorite. The Bills are +100 on the moneyline.
We havenβt seen the odds move off these numbers all week, and I expect the closing line to be identical to what weβre seeing now.
π Bills vs. Broncos betting trends: NFL Divisional Round
| Bills | Statistic | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| 13-5 | W-L record | 14-3 |
| 9-9 | ATS record | 7-9-1 |
| 9-8-1 | O/U record | 7-10 |
| 5.9 | Yards per play | 5.3 |
| 5.3 | Yards allowed per play | 4.5 |
| 0.1 | Turnover margin | -0.2 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 games | 4-1 |
π Bills vs. Broncos latest injuries
π€οΈ Bills vs. Broncos weather: Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET
Follow our NFL weather report for the latest forecasts for every playoff game.
Both teams should consider themselves fortunate, as the weather looks set to cooperate. The temperature at kickoff is expected to be a pleasant 51 degrees, with a light breeze capped at 4 mph. There's only a 4% chance of precipitation, setting up perfect January conditions in the Mile High City.
Esten McLaren provides an in-depth look at the conditions for this matchup in his Bills vs. Broncos weather report.
πΊ How to watch Bills vs. Broncos: NFL Divisional Round
- Date: Saturday, Jan. 17
- Kickoff: 4:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver)
- TV: CBS
π‘ NFL Divisional Round expert picks
- NFL picks against the spread for Divisional Round
- NFL AI predictions for Divisional Round
- NFL weather report for Divisional Round
- NFL playoff QB power rankings for Divisional Round
- NFL upset picks for Divisional Round
- NFL best bets for Divisional Round
- Divisional Round picks to win
- Conference championship look-ahead odds
- Free printable NFL playoff bracket
- NFL playoff bracket predictions
- NFL player props for Divisional Round
- NFL anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Divisional Round
- NFL anytime touchdown scorer parlay for Divisional Round
- NFL long-shot parlay for Divisional Round
- How to live bet the Divisional Round
- NFL first touchdown scorer predictions for Divisional Round
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