NC State vs. Texas Tech Prediction & March Madness Odds: Horne to Keep Wolfpack Magic Alive
The No. 11 NC State Wolfpack and No. 6 Texas Tech Red Raiders clash in the Round of 64 at March Madness, and we foresee DJ Horne maintaining his hot streak in our NC State vs. Texas Tech prediction based on the best March Madness odds.
The NC State Wolfpack are poised to prolong their remarkable run as they confront the Texas Tech Red Raiders on Thursday. Initially deemed underdogs with odds of +10000 in the ACC Tournament, the Wolfpack defied expectations and reeled off five straight wins in as many days to secure a March Madness berth.
NC State encounters a formidable Texas Tech team that has claimed victories over BYU, Baylor, and Kansas this season. The Wolfpack enter the matchup as 4.5-point underdogs across our best sportsbooks, presenting a challenging task to sustain their momentum. Nevertheless, Kevin Keatts' team has showcased scoring prowess, demonstrating the capability to compete with any opponent.
As part of our March Madness predictions, here is our best NC State vs. Texas Tech prediction and college basketball picks (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
NC State vs. Texas Tech odds
NC State (11) vs. Texas Tech (6) prediction: South Region
DJ Horne Over 14.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -104 via FanDuel
Keatts has his team playing meaningful basketball in mid-March all thanks to DJ Horne and D.J. Burns, the heroes of the ACC Tournament title run. The senior combo picked apart every ACC team that stood in their way and elevated an offense that ranks 47th in adjusted offensive efficiency this season, per KenPom.
Behind Horne and Burns, NC State averaged 81.6 points per game in the ACC Tournament and upset Duke, Virginia, and North Carolina. Horne was especially spectacular in conference play this season, taking his 16.9 points per game average up to 18.1.
He dropped 29 on the Tar Heels in the ACC Tournament final and showcased his sharpshooting ability - he hit 41.4% of his 3-pointers on 6.7 attempt in conference play this season. Horne can continue his high-scoring streak against a Red Raiders defense that allowed 72.3 points per game this season in Big 12 games.
Horne's range from behind the arc should help him take advantage of Texas Tech's perimeter defense. The Red Raiders allowed opponents to hit 7.4 3-pointers per game, 202nd in the country, and it slipped down the stretch with Big 12 opponents hitting 33.4% from three. Horne's usage in conference play - he led the Wolfpack in minutes and shots - will likely continue into the tournament and help him hit the Over.
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NC State vs. Texas Tech best odds
FanDuel (-104)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 15.5 points | Over 14.5 points | N/A | N/A | Over 15.5 points |
| -125 | -104 | N/A | N/A | -120 |
Three of our best sports betting apps are offering player props for NC State's game against Texas Tech. FanDuel has a complete outlier price among our best sportsbooks with its line on Horne. Not only does it have Horne's line a point less than both DraftKings and bet365, but it also features longer odds, and therefore better value.
We'd happily take Horne Over 15.5 points against the Red Raiders at -120, but FanDuel's making this bet that much sweeter.
With Horne's recent play, we'd take the Over on his points up to 16.5 with odds as short as -120. DraftKings' -125 odds imply a 55.56% probability Horne hits the Over, but at our price of -104, a $10 wager would lead to a $9.62 profit.
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NC State vs. Texas Tech spread & Over/Under analysis
After a successful season in arguably the toughest conference in the country, the Red Raiders opened as 5.5-point favorites against the Wolfpack. The line has since shifted a point at our best live betting sites with NC State +4.5. We don't expect it to move much more as tip-off approaches. Texas Tech is 15-17-1 ATS this season and NC State is 17-18-1 but has covered in four straight.
With both programs possessing fairly consistent offenses, the game total opened at 145.5 and hasn't budged. It's likely it will move more before the game on Thursday night - it could rise to as high as 147.5. The Red Raiders are a solid 19-14 to the Over this season and the Wolfpack are even better at 21-14-1.
NC State vs. Texas Tech game info
- When: Thursday, March 21
- Tip-off: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, Pa.
- How to watch: CBS
NC State-Texas Tech prediction made Monday at 1:15 p.m. ET.
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