Arizona State vs. Arizona Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks for Tonight: Best Bets & AI Score Projections
The Arizona Wildcats take on the Arizona State Sun Devils in tonight's Big 12 matchup at McKale Center in Tucson, Ariz. Tipoff is set for 11 p.m. ET (ESPN).
Our Arizona State vs. Arizona prediction analyzes the chances of the Sun Devils keeping things relatively close and covering against the heavily favored Wildcats.
Based on the best college basketball odds and various other factors, we think that will be the case. The Wildcats have slumped recently, winning just two of the last six. Meanwhile, the Sun Devils have lost eight of the previous nine games.
ℹ️ Arizona State vs. Arizona betting action
Arizona State opened at 17.5-point underdogs at most of our best sports betting sites, which has increased to 18.5 in the hours before tipoff. About 60% of the money is on the underdogs to cover, while 66% is on the Over. The total is set at 155 points, which hasn't moved.
💰 Arizona State vs. Arizona predictions, expert picks & best bets today
Here are my best Arizona State vs. Arizona prediction, expert pick, and best bet tonight with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our college basketball picks along with our guide on how to bet on college basketball.
- Against the spread pick: Arizona State +18 (-110 via Caesars) vs. Arizona ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🏀 Arizona State vs. Arizona ATS prediction and pick
Here's why I'm betting on Arizona State to cover the spread (+18) for tonight:
✅ Arizona State to cover the spread (+18) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Sun Devils are in the middle of a season-ending spiral, but this spread is simply too large when considering the bigger picture. First, let’s look at the first meeting between these two teams. The Wildcats won by nine, but the game was tied with just 7:40 remaining, and the Sun Devils held the Wildcats to 37.1% from the floor.
Next, while the Sun Devils have lost eight of their last nine, only three of those losses were by more than 10 points. During that span, only one of their losses was by more than 15 points, but because that was their most recent game, it’s skewing the spread for this contest.
Meanwhile, the Wildcats have been one of the most inconsistent teams in the country. From Jan. 21 through Feb. 8, they rattled off six consecutive wins. Since then, they’ve lost four of six, and two defeats came against unranked opponents. Though Arizona is 13-5 in conference play, only one of its 13 wins has been by more than 18 points.
Do I think the Wildcats win this game? Easily, but I also think they’re being extremely overvalued by oddsmakers.
📊 Best odds: -110 via Caesars (bet $10 to win $9.09)
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🎯 AI Arizona State vs. Arizona score projections
🤖 AI score prediction: Arizona 82, Arizona State 69
Score prediction and analysis via ChatGPT - a large language model from OpenAI not specifically designed for predicting sporting events.
"Given Arizona's superior record, higher seeding, and recent performance, it is expected to win decisively.
However, considering their upcoming schedule, including a game against Kansas and the Big 12 tournament, the Wildcats may not be fully motivated to cover the large spread. Arizona State will need standout performances from players like Joson Sanon and hope for improved defense to keep the game competitive."
🖥️ AI predictions for Arizona State vs. Arizona
- Win probability: Arizona State 10% | Arizona 90%
- Projected total points: 151 (Under 155.5)
- Key takeaways:
- Expect Arizona to win comfortably, but Arizona State to keep it closer than the spread suggests.
- Arizona State would need a stellar performance and some factors in their favor (like shooting efficiency or turnovers from Arizona) to pull off the upset.
- Lean toward the Under, given both teams' recent scoring trends.
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI score prediction leans toward Arizona State covering the spread (+18) and a total of Under 155.5 points.
📊 Live Arizona State vs. Arizona odds & latest betting splits
Here are the latest odds for Arizona State vs. Arizona, which update live in real time. You can also check out our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool for the latest college basketball odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your region.
🔢 Arizona State vs. Arizona opening odds
Here's a look at the opening odds for Arizona State vs. Arizona according to FanDuel.
- Spread: Arizona State +17.5 (-105) | Arizona -17.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Arizona State +1200 | Arizona -3000
- Over/Under: Over 155.5 (-106) | Under 155.5 (-114)
🏆 Who will win Arizona State vs. Arizona?
As of Tuesday morning, Arizona is favored by 17.5 points to beat Arizona State with moneyline odds of -3000 at FanDuel, which suggests a 96.77% win probability for the Wildcats.
So far, 57% of bettors have wagered against the spread on Arizona State +18, but the spread has shifted in favor of the hosts regardless. Meanwhile, public bettors are backing Over 155.5 as they expect a higher scoring game than the previous meeting.
📺 How to watch Arizona State vs. Arizona tonight
📅 Date: Tuesday, March 4
🕗 Time: 11 p.m. ET
📍 Location: McKale Center (Tucson, Ariz.)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+
❓ Arizona State vs. Arizona FAQs
Who is favored to win Arizona State vs. Arizona?
Arizona is a heavily juiced favorite over Arizona State tonight, with -3000 moneyline odds at our best sports betting apps.
What are the betting odds for Arizona State vs. Arizona?
The latest spread is Arizona State +17.5 (-102) | Arizona -17.5 (-120), with a total of 154.5 points.
What will be the final score of Arizona State vs. Arizona?
ChatGPT predicts a final score of Arizona 82, Arizona State 69 entering tonight's matchup at McKale Center.
What time is Arizona State vs. Arizona tonight?
Arizona State vs. Arizona tips off tonight at 11 p.m. ET (ESPN).
⛹️ Best college basketball betting sites
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