Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction: Game 3 Odds & Expert Picks
The Oklahoma City Thunder dominated the Denver Nuggets in Game 2, winning 149-106. We make the best Thunder vs. Nuggets prediction as part of our top NBA picks, with the tied series heading to Ball Arena in Denver.
The Thunder are the 4.5- or 5-point favorites for Friday’s 10 p.m. ET (ESPN) game, and they're getting a moneyline of at least -180 at all of our best NBA betting sites.
💰 Thunder vs. Nuggets expert picks for Game 3
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✅ Against the spread pick: Thunder -4.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Thunder (-180 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 233.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🏀 Game 3 prediction & best bet
🎯 Score prediction: Thunder 125, Nuggets 118
After blowing a double-digit lead in Game 1, the Thunder put together one of the most dominant performances of this NBA postseason in Game 2, leading 45-21 after just the first quarter. They won each of the first three quarters by at least seven en route to a 43-point rout.
While that dominance was unbelievably impressive, I’m staying away from the spread for Friday’s game. You could argue the Thunder have been dominant in both contests, despite the series being tied at one. But the Nuggets are 3-1 at Ball Arena in this postseason, and their only home loss was a narrow three-point defeat.
Therefore, the safer bet is the Over. There were eight Thunder players who ended up scoring in double figures during Game 2. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander dropped a game-high 34 while shooting an astounding 11-of-13 from the floor.
While the Thunder won’t score 149 again, there’s little doubt they'll tally at least 120. They scored 119 in Game 1, and the club registered at least 122 points in three of its four regular-season games against the Nuggets.
The Nuggets aren’t very good defensively after allowing 116.6 points per game this season. However, they're the league's fourth-highest scoring team, and while the Nuggets only tallied 106 points in Game 2, Denver has topped 120 in three of its six games against the Thunder this season.
This is a really high number from our best sports betting sites. But the Over is the best play of the game due to the style of these two teams.
✅ Best bet: Over 233.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
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📈 Thunder vs. Nuggets odds
Live updated odds from our best sports betting sites.
🪧 Game 3 opening odds
Opening odds via BetMGM.
- Spread: Thunder -4.5 (-115) | Nuggets +4.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Thunder -200 | Nuggets +165
- Over/Under: Over 233.5 (-110) | Under 233.5 (-110)
🚑 Thunder vs. Nuggets injury report
Follow the official NBA injury report for more injury news.
📡 How to watch Thunder vs. Nuggets live (Game 3)
📅 Friday, May 9
🕗 10 p.m. ET
📍 Ball Arena (Denver)
📺 ESPN | 🛜 Fubo, YouTube TV, Sling TV
💵 Best NBA betting sites
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