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Thunder vs. Mavericks Player Props & Odds: Saturday's NBA Playoff Prop Bets

Rob Paul

Last Updated: May 18, 2024 3:53 PM EDT • 3 min 22 sec read.

Luka Doncic of the Dallas Mavericks moves against Luguentz Dort of the Oklahoma City Thunder during Game 5 of the NBA playoffs. We're backing Doncic in our Thunder vs. Mavericks Player Props.
Luka Doncic of the Dallas Mavericks moves against Luguentz Dort of the Oklahoma City Thunder during Game 5 of the NBA playoffs. Photo by Joshua Gateley/Getty Images via AFP.

The Oklahoma City Thunder aim to avoid elimination as they visit the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Friday, and we're offering our top Thunder vs. Mavericks player props for Game 6 based on the best NBA odds.

The Dallas Mavericks secured a 3-2 series lead against the Oklahoma City Thunder with a 104-92 victory on the road in Game 5. Game 6 will take place at American Airlines Center on Saturday at 8 p.m. ET, broadcasted on ABC.

With the Thunder's season on the line, the Mavericks enter as 4-point home favorites, buoyed by Luka Doncic's stellar performance. Doncic has climbed the 2024 NBA Finals MVP odds rankings, thanks to his triple-double in Game 5.

Dallas now holds the third-shortest NBA championship odds and will count on Doncic to maintain his hot streak to finish off Oklahoma City.

To accompany our Knicks vs. Pacers player props and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player props, here are our best Thunder vs. Mavericks player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 6 player props

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Thunder vs. Mavericks prop bet predictions for Saturday

Luka Doncic Over 19.5 rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐

It turns out that even on two bad legs Doncic is one of the best basketball players the NBA has ever seen. A graphic flashed in Game 5 of the myriad injuries Doncic is dealing with, and he still finished with 31 points, 11 assists, and 10 rebounds. 

It's been pretty clear that the knee sprain suffered in the opening round has impacted his 3-point shooting in the playoffs, but he continues to be a lethal rebounder and passer. That's why I'm more comfortable backing this prop as opposed to one involving him scoring. 

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Doncic has topped 19.5 rebounds and assists in three straight games and averaged 19 during the regular season.

This same prop is as short as -117 at our other best sportsbooks. Those odds imply a 53.92% probability the Over hits, according to our odds calculator, but our odds pay out $19.62 on a $10 bet.

Best odds: -104 via FanDuel

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Jalen Williams Under 18.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

Time is running out on the Thunder, and their fans know better than most that while the future is bright, nothing is guaranteed. The youth and inexperience of Oklahoma City have tripped them up, and players like Jalen Williams and Josh Giddey have struggled under the bright lights.

Williams' shooting woes have hindered the Thunder's offense, and he's averaging 3.1 fewer points per game in this series than he did during the season. Shooting just 40.8% from the floor and 31.3% from three, Williams has put up only 16 per game against Dallas and 14 over his last three.

With fewer than 19 points in four of five games, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander taking on an even bigger role, Williams' inability to score should strike again in Game 6.

These odds imply a 52.61% probability the Under hits with a $10 bet paying out $19.01.

Best odds: -111 via FanDuel

Chet Holmgren Over 2.5 blocks ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Some may not be familiar with the cinematic classic Thunderstruck. It stars Kevin Durant as himself and a young uncoordinated boy who manages to switch talents with KD to become a star (did they kind of rip off "Like Mike?").

That boy may have grown up to be Chet Holmgren because he looks like he should be the least coordinated player on the court, but he's quickly become a monster. Holmgren's shot-blocking prowess has been on full display against Dallas. He's averaging 2.8 blocks per game in the series and has gone Over 2.5 in three of five.

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These odds are the longest they've been all playoffs for Holmgren after just one block in Game 5, and I like the value too much to pass on it. The odds imply a 53.05% probability the Over hits with a $10 bet cashing an $8.85 profit.

Best odds: -113 via FanDuel

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 6 info & odds

  • When: Saturday, May 18
  • Tip-off: 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
  • How to watch: ABC
  • Favorite: Mavericks -4 (-110 via bet365)

Thunder-Mavericks player props made Thursday at 1:45 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Rob Paul
A diehard Pittsburgh Steelers fan, Rob's passion for the NFL led him to the NFL Draft, which in turn sparked his love for collegiate sports. Growing up, he was particularly obsessed with the old Big East, MAC, and the Big Ten. That obsession led him to pursue a career in sports media, first as a local reporter, and now as a betting analyst. There's nothing Rob loves more than spending hours on the couch watching college football/basketball, NFL, NBA, or MLB, and hopefully hitting a few bets.