Pacers vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds & Game 7 Best Bet: NBA Finals Picks
Game 7. The two best words in sports.
The Indiana Pacers kept their season alive with a 108-91 victory in Game 6, and they are still +7.5 underdogs at our best sports betting sites for what will be the final game of the NBA season. Can Oklahoma City hold them off one more time on Sunday at Paycom Center?
Our Thunder vs. Pacers prediction breaks Game 7 down and answers the question everyone wants to know - who will hoist the Larry O'Brien trophy?
🏀 Thunder vs. Pacers odds
Here are the live odds for Pacers vs. Thunder in Game 7. See the latest NBA odds for the NBA Finals from our best NBA betting sites.
🔮 Pacers vs. Thunder prediction & picks for Game 7
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✅ Thunder vs. Pacers prediction: Thunder ML (-295 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best bet: Pacers +7.5 (-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
🆚 Who will win Pacers vs. Thunder Game 7?
It was a fun ride while it lasted, Pacers, but it's going to take a ton of work to snatch the Larry O'Brien away from NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - whom we feature in our Pacers vs. Thunder player props - and the Thunder on their home court, where they were 35-6 in the regular season.
Now, that's not to say it won't be close (my best bet for this game is actually Indiana +7.5), but when it comes down to it, the Thunder are just too strong on both ends of the court to let this final slip through their grasp. In Game 7s, when the game usually slows down and iso play becomes central, the Thunder employ the best player in the league in these situations in SGA.
In Game 6, the Pacers forced the Thunder into 21 turnovers, which played a huge role in the team rolling over Oklahoma City. You better believe that won't happen again in a do-or-die game - we'll see a ton of positive regression from the Thunder on Sunday.
✅ Moneyline pick: Thunder (-295 via FanDuel)
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💰 Pacers vs. Thunder best bet
Here is my best bet for Game 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals:
📈 Pacers +7.5
- Best odds: -108 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $9.26 profit)
- Implied win probability: 51.92%
What. Just. Happened?
Everyone counted the Pacers out going into Game 6. Hell, everyone counted them out going into this series initially (including me). But here we are, at Game 7 of the NBA Finals, and I'm betting the Pacers to cover the spread.
Historically, this makes sense. Since 2005, every Game 7 in the NBA Finals was decided by seven points or less.
| Date | Teams | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Jun 19, 2016 | Cavaliers vs Warriors | 93–89 |
| Thu, Jun 20, 2013 | Spurs vs Heat | 88–95 |
| Thu, Jun 17, 2010 | Celtics vs Lakers | 79–83 |
| Thu, Jun 23, 2005 | Pistons vs Spurs | 74–81 |
Not only do we have history on our side, but whatever Pascal Siakam was conjuring prior to Game 6 seemed to work out for them. He's now moved to +375 (the best odds from our best sports betting apps via ESPN BET) in the NBA Finals MVP odds, too.
The Pacers defense has really clamped down on the Thunder and was a big part why Oklahoma City shot just 26% from 3-point land in Game 6. The bench for the Thunder has long been a massive bright spot for them, too, but Indiana has matched them with the play of Obi Toppin and T.J. McConnell throughout the series.
With the Pacers making the necessary adjustments, and with Game 7 history on our side, ride Indiana +7.5 as our best Pacers vs Thunder prediction in what will be a close tilt wire-to-wire.
💵 Best NBA betting sites
Want to bet on Thunder vs. Pacers in Game 7? Here are the best NBA betting sites and best sportsbook promos for the 2025 NBA Finals:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
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