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Jayson Tatum of the Boston Celtics reacts after a play during the fourth quarter in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Indiana Pacers. We're breaking down our top Jayson Tatum player props for Game 3.
Jayson Tatum of the Boston Celtics reacts after a play during the fourth quarter in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Indiana Pacers. Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images via AFP.

The Indiana Pacers look to avoid falling into a 3-0 hole when they host the Boston Celtics on Saturday, and we're offering our top Jayson Tatum player props predictions based on the best NBA odds for Game 3.

After needing a hard-fought overtime victory to secure Game 1, the Boston Celtics followed up with a commanding performance in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals, securing a blowout win over the Indiana Pacers. The series now shifts to Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis for Game 3, scheduled for Saturday at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

The Celtics are 7-point road favorites as Pacers star Tyrese Haliburton deals with an injury. Boston's NBA championship odds have significantly improved, now as short as -230.

NBA Finals MVP odds favorite Jayson Tatum has been a bit inconsistent in the playoffs, in part because his team simply hasn't needed him to carry them. Despite this, the Celtics' depth and overall talent have positioned them strongly as they look to take a commanding 3-0 series lead.

Along with our Celtics vs. Pacers player props and our Celtics vs. Pacers Parlay, here are our best Jayson Tatum NBA player props predictions for Saturday's Celtics vs. Pacers matchup (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Jayson Tatum odds, player props

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Jayson Tatum Under 29.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Much of the hate spewed towards Tatum comes from talking heads who expect him to put up video game numbers on a nightly basis. I think the crux of it all is the fact that he's dripping with talent, but is content to defer to teammates. It worked pretty well in Game 2 with Jaylen Brown scoring 40.

Tatum is one of the best all-around players in the NBA and the fact that he's not putting up 30 per game in the playoffs doesn't matter with such a talented team. The Celtics are 10-2 in the postseason, and Tatum has only scored Over 29.5 three times. 

With Indiana's struggles, and Haliburton hurt, I suspect that Tatum once again won't be needing to put up huge numbers. These odds imply a 51.46% probability he'll hit the Under, according to our odds converter, with a $10 bet paying $9.43 profit. 

Best odds: -106 via FanDuel

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Jayson Tatum Under 2.5 made 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This is a pure value play. Coming off a 1-for-7 night from behind the arc, I thought surely the odds on this prop would be too short to justify. Yet, it's even money for Tatum to hit less than three 3-pointers against a Pacers team that allowed the fewest per game this season (10.7).

While Indiana's defense is stronger on the perimeter, it's weak inside, which is where Tatum has found mismatches early in this series. Given his shooting woes, I expect he'll look to win inside the arc in Game 3, rather than continue to try to break his shooting slump. 

He's hitting just 26.6% of his threes in the postseason and averaging 1.8 makes per game. Tatum's only hit Over 2.5 threes in one playoff game thus far. These odds imply a 50% probability he hits the Under with a $10 bet paying out $20.

Best odds: +100 via DraftKings

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Jayson Tatum Over 10.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐

The length off these odds are jaw-dropping. It seems like an overreaction after Tatum's six-rebound performance in Game 2. He's been bringing down boards as frequently as Tony Hawk breaks them, with seven games of Over 10.5 rebounds in the playoffs.

Tatum's averaging 10.2 rebounds per game in the postseason and brought in 12 in Game 1 against the Pacers. Indiana is one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA, ranking 28th in rebounds per game (41.5) and giving up the sixth-most offensive rebounds (11.0). 

During the regular season, power forwards averaged 10.41 rebounds per game against the Pacers. This same prop was minus-money for the first two games of the series, and while the odds only imply a 44.64% probability he hits the Over, a $10 bet pays a $12.40 profit. 

Best odds: +124 via DraftKings

Jayson Tatum player props picks made Friday at 2:30 p.m. ET.

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