Clippers vs. Nuggets NBA Player Props, Odds: Los Angeles Seeks First Win With Harden
James Harden and the Los Angeles Clippers look to end a five-game losing streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday, and we have our Clippers vs. Nuggets NBA player props based on the best NBA odds.
The Los Angeles Clippers’ blockbuster move to acquire James Harden hasn’t panned out at all. The team is 0-5 in November and 0-4 with "The Beard" in the lineup. Meanwhile, the defending-champion Denver Nuggets own the best record in the Western Conference at 8-2 despite dropping their last contest at Houston.
Can the Nuggets stay perfect at Ball Arena, or will the Clippers pull off an upset and finally secure a win with Harden?
To accompany our Spurs vs. Thunder player props, here are our best Clippers vs. Nuggets NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Clippers vs. Nuggets NBA player props
James Harden Under 26.5 points + rebounds + assists (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Harden’s start to his Clippers tenure has been far from idyllic. The team is winless, and his stats have gone down the drain. His PRAs have progressively worsened in the last three games, sitting at 26, 25, 22, and 18. Since joining L.A., Harden has been averaging just 13.5 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 4.3 assists.
Harden’s usage rate is the lowest of his career at a measly 17.7. Since joining the team, Russell Westbrook’s usage rate sits at 26.5, Kawhi Leonard’s at 23.3, and Paul George’s at 27.8. Harden has been playing poorly, but the massive drop in usage has contributed significantly to his lack of success.
Denver allows the fifth-fewest points per game to opponents at 106.1 overall and the eighth-fewest at home (107.5). Points will be tough to come by, and we can’t count on monster assist or rebound numbers with Westbrook in the lineup. In four games played with Harden, Westy’s still averaging 14.0 points, 6.3 boards, and 4.8 assists. We’ll take the Under on this one.
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Aaron Gordon Over 7.5 rebounds (+104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Another Nuggets game, another Gordon plus-money rebounds prop. Gordon has collected at least eight boards in five straight games, averaging 10.2 rebounds per game over that span with three double-doubles under his belt.
Los Angeles allows the 10th-fewest rebounds per game to opponents overall, but the team is middle-of-the-pack on the road, ranking 15th outside crypto.com Arena. The Clippers have struggled to limit offensive rebounds, allowing the fourth-most offensive boards overall (12.4) and the second-most on the road (14.6).
Gordon averaged 2.4 offensive boards a season ago, and he’s grabbing 2.3 per game this season and 3.0 across his last five. We’ll take the profitable odds here and bank on AG pulling down at least eight rebounds for the sixth straight game.
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Nikola Jokic triple-double (+135 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Through 10 games this season, Joker already has four triple-doubles. He’s fresh off a 36/21/11 domination of the Houston Rockets on Sunday, and he’ll look to add another triple-double at home tonight. In his career, Jokic has five triple-doubles against the Clippers, including two across his last seven matchups with the team. Of his 109 career triple-doubles, 69 of them have come at home.
Jokic has two MVP seasons and a runner-up, but 2023-24 is shaping up to be the best season of his career. He’s averaging a career-best 29.8 points with 13.7 rebounds (second-most of his career) and 8.3 assists (second-most). He’s been far better at home this season with 31.2 points, 13.3 rebounds, 9.5 assists, and three triple-doubles compared to 27.8 points, 14.3 rebounds, 6.5 assists and one triple-double on the road. Jokic has averaged a triple-double in 17.9% of career games played, but over the last three seasons, he’s done it in 29.7%.
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Clippers-Nuggets NBA player props made 11/14/2023 at 7 a.m. ET
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