Canada vs. Lebanon Prediction, Pick & Odds: FIBA World Cup
Canada began its 2023 FIBA World Cup campaign with a convincing win over France, and the team will look to carry that forward as we make our Canada-Lebanon prediction for Sunday morning. The opening win greatly improved Canada's standing in the FIBA World Cup odds.
The anticipation surrounding Canadian basketball ahead of the 2023 FIBA World Cup could hardly be loftier. Following a resounding 95-65 dismantling of France, a team that stands as a fellow contender within the second-tier echelons of the tournament, the bar of expectations has been further raised as the nation strides into its sophomore match as we look at our Canada vs. Lebanon prediction.
On Sunday in Indonesia, Canada will face a Lebanon outfit that suffered a 109-70 loss to Latvia. The opening-game performances from the two teams have resulted in our best sports betting apps setting Canada as a 40.5-point favorite for Sunday's clash.
Here is our best Canada-Latvia prediction for Sunday's FIBA World Cup matchup (odds via our best NBA betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Canada vs. Lebanon prediction: FIBA World Cup
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 25.5 points (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Canada with 27 points in Friday's tournament opener against France. Canada was only a slight moneyline favorite in that game against a fellow pre-tournament favorite. The Canadians also face a four-point deficit at the end of the first quarter.
As Canada gears up for its Sunday showdown, the odds are stacked higher than the CN Tower at a monumental 40.5-point margin in its favor. Given this scenario, it's safe to bet that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's court time might be on the conservative side. In its previous matchup, the Canadian squad showcased its depth, rotating all 12 players for at least 2 minutes and 15 seconds apiece, a testament to the team's abundant resources.
Anticipate Gilgeous-Alexander to spearhead the offensive charge in the early stages of the game, orchestrating the pursuit of a commanding lead. However, once the scoreboard tilts favorably, don't be surprised if his court appearances dwindle during the latter half. The team's strategic move will see the star player conserved for higher-stakes battles as the tournament progresses into more critical junctures.
This Canada-Lebanon prediction targets an inflated betting line, as everyone is expecting Canada to roll in this matchup and SGA is the best-known player on the team.
However, Canada will need Gilgeous-Alexander much more later in this tournament. Canada also helped its point differential in the event of a tiebreaker with a resounding 30-point win over its closest competition in Group H.
Without fear of Lebanon challenging for a top-two seed in the group stage, expect Canada to settle for a comfortable victory closer to the 25-35-point margin. The team will roll through its bench while looking for reliable secondary scoring options heading into the knockout round.
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Canada vs. Lebanon odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada -38.5 | Canada -38.5 | Canada -38.5 | Canada -38.5 | Canada -38.5 |
| -112 | -111 | -110 | -115 | -110 |
Only DraftKings and BetMGM offer Over/Under lines on player point totals. BetMGM has SGA's line at 24.5 points with +120 odds on the Under.
Canada vs. Lebanon odds analysis
BetMGM offers the best odds for anyone who may want to take Canada to win on the spread, with even-money odds on a line of -40.5. bet365 is posting the most appealing and lowest line for a Canadian win, with equal -110 odds on either side.
There won't be a lot of betting action on Lebanon across our best sportsbooks in the U.S., so I'd expect this line to swing further in Canada's favor come early Sunday morning.
Canada vs. Lebanon game info
- When: Sunday, Aug. 27, 5:45 a.m. ET
- Where: Indonesia Arena, Jakarta, INA
- How to watch: Sportsnet
Canada-Lebanon pick made 08/25/2023 at 2:30 p.m. ET.
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