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Argentina forward Lautaro Martinez celebrates his goal as we look at the best 2024 Copa American top goal scorer odds
Argentina forward Lautaro Martinez celebrates his goal during the second half against Chile at MetLife Stadium. Photo by: Vincent Carchietta/USA TODAY Sports.

The list to capture the Copa America 2024 Golden Boot gets shorter each day, and, according to the odds from our best soccer betting sites, Argentina's Lautaro Martinez's odds of winning the award are doing the same.

The Inter Milan player has impressively dominated the scoresheet with four goals and is the sole top goal-scorer leader. Remarkably, he's done it while only starting in two out of five matches.

With Martinez's mastery, Argentina sits atop the Copa America odds ahead of their final against Colombia. 

He has a two-goal buffer over his nearest competition - teammate Julian Alvarez - heading into the final.

Top goal scorer odds for Copa America 2024

(Copa American top goal scorer odds from our best sports betting sites as of July 14 | 🔥 = best odds | ❄️ = worst odds)

PlayerDraftKingsBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Lautaro Martinez 🇦🇷-2500-10000 ❄️ -1600 🔥-2800
Julian Alvarez 🇦🇷   +2000+1800 +1400 ❄️  +2500 🔥
Jhon Cordoba 🇨🇴+2500 +2500+2800 +3300 🔥  
Luis Diaz 🇨🇴  +3000 🔥  +2500+1600 ❄️+2800
Lionel Messi 🇦🇷  +3000+5000+2500   +5000     
Jefferson Lerma 🇨🇴  +3000+10000OFF+10000

Copa America 2024 top goal scorer favorites

Lautaro Martinez (-1600)

Argentina's Martinez potted four goals despite only starting two games, and that seems to be enough to earn him these honors. Teammates Messi and Alvarez trail him by three and two goals, respectively.

Martinez has scored in five of the last eight international games he's played in and has logged 28 goals across 63 caps for Argentina. 

The Inter Milan man came off the bench in Argentina's semifinal match against Canada, but he's expected to get the nod against Colombia in the final. 

Best odds: -1600 via Caesars | Implied probability: 94.12%

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

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What to look for in a Golden Boot winner

There are many ways to identify solid candidates to win the Golden Boot at a major international tournament.

First, you want to select players who are more likely to advance deeper into the tournament. This is likely why Messi's odds are so short, as he offers a combination of all-time goal-scoring ability and the potential to advance to the final. 

Second, you want to target teams that are more offensively minded. If you track a nation's recent form and see they win most games by scoring only one or maybe two goals, then even the best player on that team may not be the right option in this market. This is less important in this tournament vs. the Euros, as most of these South American teams play a more fluid style of football.

The third thing to look for is players who are on penalties. As someone who plays Premier League fantasy and just saw how valuable Cole Palmer was thanks to his role as Chelsea's penalty-taker, this is really something to track. Messi will almost certainly be on penalties for Argentina, providing us with another reason to bet him.

Finally, if you're looking for longer odds and want to bypass the favorites, target players in relatively easy groups. We mentioned that players who advance further will have an obvious advantage, but an attacking player who's prolific enough against inferior competition may just be able to win the Golden Boot in far fewer matches.

How to bet on the 2024 Copa America top goal scorer odds

Four of our best sportsbooks feature odds for the top goal scorer. You'll be able to bet on the Golden Boot winner, as well as on singular goal scorers for each match throughout the tournament.

Odds will change as the tournament nears and once games start being played. The lower (or shorter) the odds, the more likely that player is believed to be capable of leading the tournament in goals.

Past Copa America top goal scorers

YearPlayer(s)CountryGoals
2021Lionel Messi/Luis DiazArgentina/Colombia4
2019Everton/Paolo GuerreroBrazil/Peru3
2016Eduardo VargasChile6
2015Eduardo Vargas/Paolo GuerreroChile/Peru4
2011Paolo GuerreroPeru5
2007RobinhoBrazil6
2004AdrianoBrazil7
2001Victor AristizabalColombia6
1999Rivaldo/RonaldoBrazil5
1997Luis HernandezMexico6

If two or more players are tied for the goal-scoring lead at the end of the tournament, the market will result in a dead heat. This means the amount you were set to win will be divided by the number of players who tie for the lead. 

Where can you bet on Copa America 2024?

All five of our sites with the best sportsbook promos offer Copa America 2024 odds, with the tournament rapidly approaching and the group-stage matches scheduled.

Copa America 2024 FAQs

Who is the 2024 Copa America top goal scorer favorite?

Argentina's Lautaro Martinez has the shortest odds of any player to lead the 2024 Copa America in goals, with odds as short as -1600. Those odds imply a 94.12% probability he'll finish with the most goals.

Who won the last Copa America Golden Boot?

Lionel Messi and Luis Diaz finished joint-top of the goal-scorers list at the 2021 Copa America.

Where is the 2024 Copa America?

The United States is hosting the 2024 Copa America, with Atlanta and Miami Gardens holding matches.

When is the 2024 Copa America?

The tournament began on June 20, 2024 and will run until July 14, 2024.

Check out our best World Cup betting sites.

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