Bucks vs. Pacers Player Props & Odds: Thursday's NBA Playoff Prop Bets

The Pacers look to close out the Bucks at home in Game 6, though that could depend on the availability of Milwaukee's stars.

C Jackson Cowart

Last Updated: May 2, 2024 5:57 PM EDT • 4 minute read

The Indiana Pacers welcome the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday with a chance to finish the first-round series, as we offer our best Bucks vs. Pacers player props and expert picks based on the best NBA odds.

The Milwaukee Bucks (49-33) managed to avoid elimination on Tuesday and will return a familiar face for Thursday's Game 6 against the Indiana Pacers (47-35), which is set to tip off at 6:30 p.m. ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse (TNT).

The Pacers are the 8-point favorites across our best sports betting sites despite the Bucks' Game 5 win without Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) or Damian Lillard (Achilles). While the former is still on the shelf, Lillard is set to return Thursday to help Milwaukee keep its NBA championship odds alive:

To complement our Knicks vs. 76ers player props, here are our best Bucks vs. Pacers player props and NBA picks for Game 6 (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Bucks vs. Pacers Game 6 player props

Tyrese Haliburton Under 9.5 assists (+105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
Myles Turner Over 2.5 made 3-pointers (-102 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Andrew Nembhard Over 16.5 points + assists (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

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Bucks vs. Pacers prop bet predictions for Thursday

Tyrese Haliburton Under 9.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐

Have the Bucks cracked the code on Haliburton? After the Pacers star averaged 12 assists through the first three games of this series, he's combined for just 10 over the last two games with Patrick Beverley as his primary defender.

It's not just the basic stats, either. Haliburton averaged 22.3 potential assists through Game 3, but that's dropped to 11.0 per game over the last two games - even fewer than teammate Andrew Nembhard (11.5), whom we'll discuss more later.

These +105 odds imply a 48.78% chance that he falls below 10 assists for a third straight game, per our odds converter, and would pay out $20.50 in total on a $10 wager if he does. That feels like nice value after the adjustments we've seen from Milwaukee.

Best odds: +105 via BetMGM

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Myles Turner Over 2.5 made 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐

After averaging 26.7 points and 4.7 made threes in the Pacers' three wins, Turner took a step back in Game 5 with 13 points and just one triple on four attempts. I'd be surprised if that continues in a critical Game 6.

Before Tuesday's loss, Turner had made at least three 3-pointers in every game this series. Even with that performance, he's still averaging 2.7 made threes over his last 15 games while clearing this mark in eight of them - including a prolific 7-for-9 showing from deep in his last game in front of his home crowd.

I buy the overall defensive adjustments by Milwaukee in Game 5, but this is a modest bar to clear for Turner, especially if he plays more than his series-low 30 minutes in Game 5.

Best odds: -102 via DraftKings

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Andrew Nembhard Over 16.5 points + assists ⭐⭐⭐

We highlighted Nembhard earlier in this series, and he's been the clear X-factor for Indiana with 15.8 points and 5.3 assists over his last four games.

The former second-round pick has been a revelation on both ends of the court, agitating the Bucks' key players defensively while serving as a secondary playmaker alongside Haliburton. He ranks third on the team in average plus-minus (plus-5.2) through five games, and his potential assists over the last two games (11.5) rank first.

These -105 odds imply a 51.22% hit rate with a $19.52 payout on a $10 wager. Nembhard has cleared this total in four straight games, and I like his chances of doing that again on Thursday.

Best odds: -105 via DraftKings

Bucks vs. Pacers Game 6 info & odds

When: Thursday, May 2
Tip-off: 6:30 p.m. ET
Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
How to watch: TNT
Favorite: Pacers -8 (-110 via bet365)

Bucks-Pacers player props made Wednesday at 2:30 p.m. ET.

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Written by:
C Jackson Cowart

C Jackson Cowart is the Senior Publishing Editor at Sportsbook Review. An award-winning writer, reporter, and editor with a decade of sports media and NFL experience, "C-Jax" has worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and various daily newspapers before joining the Sportsbook Review team. He's a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he served as a beat writer for the Tar Heels' championship run through the NCAA men's basketball tournament in 2017. Jackson has spent the last five years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter. Since joining the team in 2023, he's played a key role in Sportsbook Review's coverage of the Super Bowl, March Madness, and NBA playoffs while serving as the lead writer for the growing WNBA and NASCAR betting scenes. Though he's cashed some big bets over the years -- including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) -- he's still haunted by enough second-place bet slips to wallpaper his home office. While Jackson is a committed "process over results" bettor with a keen eye for advanced stats and subtle bias in futures markets, he also embraces sports betting as a vehicle for entertainment and personal investment. He's written about everything from hot dogs to groundhogs and still hasn't forgiven his "inside source" for a sabotaged bet on the Gatorade color in Super Bowl LV.