Our Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Predictions Tonight: Expert Picks for April 4

Andrew Brennan breaks down tonight's tasty 10-game slate and makes his best NBA player prop bets for April 4.

Andrew Brennan

Last updated: April 4, 2025 5:25 PM EDT • 5 min read

Best NBA Player Props Tonight: Picks, Predictions & Odds for April 4 — Pictured: Los Angeles Clippers guard Norman Powell (24) drives to the basket against Cleveland Cavaliers guard Darius Garland (10). Photo by Ken Blaze via Imagn Images.

We have a tasty 10-game slate in the NBA tonight, featuring some of the biggest teams and NBA championship odds contenders. Our best NBA player props today highlight four strong bets that offer plenty of value.

It's becoming increasingly difficult to project what will happen with various teams, whether they're tanking or resting some players ahead of the postseason, with the schedule winding down. However, we believe we've found some excellent plays for tonight's stacked slate.

We start in Indianapolis for the showdown between the Utah Jazz and Indiana Pacers at 7 p.m. ET and finish with one of two games in Los Angeles, as the Clippers host the Dallas Mavericks at 10:30 p.m. ET.

💰 Best NBA player prop bets & odds tonight: April 4

Here are my best NBA player prop bets and odds tonight with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

Kyle Filipowski player prop pick: Over 2.5 assists (+155 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Donovan Clingan player prop pick: Over 9.5 rebounds (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Darius Garland player prop pick: Under 4.5 rebounds (-135 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Norman Powell player prop pick: Over 17.5 points (-125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

🎯 Best NBA player prop predictions & expert picks tonight

Here's a breakdown of my best NBA player prop predictions and expert picks today. Check out the rest of our NBA picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NBA.

🏀 Kyle Filipowski (Jazz) Over 2.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +155 via bet365 (bet $10 to win $15.50)

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We targeted the Over on a low assists total last night and got burned, losing on the hook. However, when we're getting this kind of value, it'd be rude not to go right back to the well.

Jazz rookie Kyle Filipowski isn't exactly known for his abilities as a facilitator, but this one is more about the opportunities he'll have throughout the game.

After spending much of the early portion of the season as a reserve player, averaging fewer than 20 minutes per game, Filipowski has started for the Jazz with regularity for much of March and in the first game of April. He's played at least 30 minutes in four straight ahead of this showdown with the Pacers.

The Jazz are looking to lock up last place in the NBA, so they won't want to risk accidentally winning this one, which could result in the starters playing fewer minutes. However, the Pacers are expected to blow out Utah tonight, so Filipowski should once again play upward of 30 minutes and rack up the necessary three assists to cash this first player prop.

📊 Kyle Filipowski player prop odds vs. Pacers

🏀 Donovan Clingan (Trail Blazers) Over 9.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $8.70)

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We go to another rookie for our second player prop, and Clingan has been a monster on the glass when he starts. In 30 games off the bench, he averaged only 5.3 rebounds. However, in 32 as a starter, he's averaging 9.6.

For tonight's game, Clingan is projected to pull down 11.3 boards after grabbing 10-plus in three of his last five games. He recorded 13 rebounds last night against the Toronto Raptors.

Based on that projection, Over 9.5 rebounds should be trading closer to -200 than +100, as the break-even price is -185. I'd play this up to -140, which is the price at BetMGM. If this moves to 10.5, I'd still play the Over at plus money, but if it moves to +100 or shorter, I'd leave this alone.

📊 Donovan Clingan player prop odds vs. Bulls

🏀 Darius Garland (Cavaliers) Under 4.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -135 via bet365 (bet $10 to win $7.41)

This shouldn't be an especially challenging game for the Cleveland Cavaliers, as the San Antonio Spurs simply aren't on their level without Victor Wembanyama (to be fair, not many teams in the NBA are).

If this one gets ugly, that could lead to reduced minutes for Garland, who generally plays around 30 minutes each game. For the season, Garland is averaging just 2.9 boards per game, but that number did jump to 4.1 in March, so this isn't as guaranteed as it sounds.

However, the projection is really strong. Garland is expected to haul in just 3.3 boards tonight, which is why we're getting around 30% +EV on this Under.

This total should really be 3.5, and that's where it is at the majority of our best NBA betting sites. Therefore, let's take advantage of this inflated number, because there's a massive difference in the break-even price on Under 4.5 (-301) and Under 3.5 (-140).

📊 Darius Garland player prop odds vs. Spurs

🏀 Norman Powell (Clippers) Over 17.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -125 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $8)

Powell was long a contender by the NBA Most Improved Player odds, but he won't end up playing the minimum number of games to qualify for the award.

However, it needs to be said that he has had a truly tremendous season while serving as a full-time starter for the first time in three seasons. He's averaging a career high in points and has shot the ball very efficiently.

We're backing Powell to close out the season on a high note, and it starts with this game against the Mavericks.

He's projected for 20.8 points tonight, well Over this listed total. That's why some of our best sports betting sites are already offering Powell's points prop at 18.5, though there's plenty of value to be found on that Over, too.

The break-even price on Over 17.5 is -197, but it's still a very short -155 for Over 18.5. Therefore, if you can get the latter at odds hovering around -115 or better, I'd make that bet.

📊 Norman Powell player prop odds vs. Mavericks

🏀 Best NBA betting sites

Looking to bet on NBA player props tonight? Here are our best NBA betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for tonight's NBA games.

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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Written By:
Andrew Brennan

Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.