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NBA Player Props & Best Bets Today: Schedule, Picks for Saturday

Zachary Hanshew

Last Updated: March 9, 2024 6:34 PM EST • 4 min 59 sec read.

Draymond Green #23 of the Golden State Warriors reacts after making a three-point basket as we look at our NBA player props and best bets for Saturday
Draymond Green #23 of the Golden State Warriors reacts after making a three-point basket against the Milwaukee Bucks in the second half at Chase Center. Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images via AFP.

Saturday's seven-game NBA slate features plenty of value in the combos market, and our NBA player props and best bets for Saturday are based on the best NBA odds.

With seven games on the NBA schedule on Saturday, we're attacking a handful of combo props for some of the top players in action.

The night begins with Dennis Schroder and the shorthanded Brooklyn Nets facing the Charlotte Hornets. Shortly thereafter, Draymond Green will look to pick up the slack for the injured Stephen Curry as the Golden State Warriors host the San Antonio Spurs.

Aaron Gordon and the Denver Nuggets play their best basketball at Ball Arena, and Gordon is in a great spot against the Utah Jazz at home. We’ll wrap up the slate with Kelly Olynyk and the Toronto Raptors facing a Portland Trail Blazers team that’s running on fumes down the home stretch of the season.

The Nuggets are threatening in the NBA Finals odds with Nikola Jokic again the favorite by the NBA MVP odds. The Warriors feature prominently in the Play-In Tournament odds.

Here are our NBA player props and best bets for Saturday (NBA picks based on odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Saturday’s NBA best bets

  • Dennis Schroder Over 22.5 points+assists vs. Hornets (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Draymond Green Over 23.5 points+rebounds+assists vs. Spurs (-125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Aaron Gordon Over 23.5 points+rebounds+assists vs. Jazz (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Kelly Olynyk Over 12.5 rebounds+assists vs. Trail Blazers (-104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

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Saturday’s NBA schedule and odds

(Odds via FanDuel)

Saturday’s NBA player props

Dennis Schroder Over 22.5 points + assists vs. Hornets (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Ben Simmons is done for the season, and the Nets will be without both Cam Thomas and Cam Johnson on Saturday. That means another heavy dose of Schroder in Brooklyn’s starting five.

Schroder has started seven straight games for the Nets, averaging 19.1 points, 2.6 boards, and 6.7 assists. He’s been light in the rebounds department, yet his points+rebounds+assists prop is set at 26.5. Rather than bet on him approaching four rebounds here, we’ll take just the points and assists combo, which is set at a reasonable 22.5.

Schroder hit the Over on this prop in four of his last seven outings, including two straight. He’s done it in three of his last five, and in the two that he hit the Under, he missed it by a hook, hitting exactly 22 points+assists. The Hornets allow the fifth-most assists and the 10th-most points this season, which sets Schroder up for a favorable matchup.

Schroder has hit the Over in 57% of games since joining the Nets' starting five, but we can get this at a discount of -113, which gives an implied probability of 53%.

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Draymond Green Over 23.5 points + rebounds + assists vs. Spurs (-125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Curry is out after rolling his ankle against the Chicago Bulls, so we have options here. We can target Brandin Podziemski, but the rookie has been up and down over the last three weeks. Jonathan Kuminga has cooled off after a blistering scoring run, but there’s one guy we can count on for consistency in Golden State’s rotation. We’re taking the Over on Green’s points+rebounds+assists prop. 

Over his last five games, Green has averaged 23.2 points+rebounds+assists and hit this mark in three of five outings. He totaled exactly 23 points+rebounds+assists in one of those games that hit the Under, so we can feel good about grabbing this line as it’s offered. He averages 22.3 points+rebounds+assists on the season and has hit the Over in 16 of 38 games overall.

Green is fresh off of a triple-double against Chicago, and he’s set up nicely at home against a generous opposing defense. The Spurs allow the fifth-most points, the sixth-most rebounds, and the seventh-most assists to opponents this season. San Antonio also allows the third-most points in the paint, which is another bonus for Green, who does most of his scoring down low.

With no Curry, we can expect Green to take on more responsibility as a facilitator, and this is an easy Over.

Aaron Gordon Over 23.5 points + rebounds + assists vs. Jazz (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Gordon and Green have the exact same line for this combo prop, and the Over feels like a great bet once again. Over his last six games, Gordon has averaged 25.5 points+rebounds+assists and hit the Over in five of them. He’s averaged 25.4 points+rebounds+assists at home compared to just 22.4 on the road, so Gordon is at an advantage when playing at Ball Arena.

In two matchups with the Jazz, Gordon posted 21 points+rebounds+assists at Utah, and 29 at home. Utah will be without Lauri Markkanen, Walker Kessler, and Taylor Hendricks, so the size and physicality advantages favor Gordon.

The Jazz allow the 10th-most points in the paint to opponents, and Gordon is not an outside scorer. He’s averaging just 0.5 makes and 1.9 attempts from beyond the arc this season, which are his lowest rates since the 2015-16 campaign. The implied probability of this line is 54.5%, according to our odds converter, but Gordon has hit the Over in 83.3% of his last six outings. The juice on this one is appropriate, and we’ll take the Over.

Kelly Olynyk Over 12.5 rebounds + assists vs. Trail Blazers (-104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

When looking at combo props, we’re always making sure that the combos we target are the most favorable. Schroder’s prop was best without rebounds, and Olynyk’s is best without points. His rebounds+assists prop is set reasonably at 12.5, but if we add points to the mix, the line moves to 25.5. He’s scored 13 or more points in just three of his last seven games and in 15 of 61 games on the season. He’s averaging 8.4 points per contest, which is the second-lowest mark of his career.

Instead, we’ll take just the rebounds and assists, and Olynyk has hit the Over on this line in one of two games since joining Toronto’s starting five. He’ll remain with the first unit while Jakob Poeltl finishes the season on the sidelines. Portland allows the ninth-most rebounds and 11th-most assists, and Olynyk should have an advantage in the paint.

The Trail Blazers will likely be without Deandre Ayton, and Jerami Grant and Jabari Walker may not play, either. We’ll back Olynyk against the Blazers' undersized frontcourt.

NBA best bets made Saturday at 8:55 a.m. ET.

Here are our best NBA betting sites:

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Written By:
Zachary Hanshew
Zak is a lucky husband and blessed father of four. He’s been writing about sports since 2018 with prior stops at FantasyPros, RotoWire, and FantasyLabs. In addition to Sportsbook Review, you can find his work at NBC Sports Edge, Yahoo, and OwnersBox. When he’s not writing, Zak can be found playing the guitar, hanging out with his family, coaching his son’s basketball team, or laughing way too hard at old Simpsons episodes.